Although Citi Field is not usually known as a hitter-friendly environment, Mother Nature has other plans tonight, and we're taking advantage.
With plenty of baseball markets available at Polymarket, we’ve got you covered with our best MLB picks for Tuesday, June 9.
MLB expert picks for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Josh Inglis: STL/NYM o7.5 |
-108 |
 Jon Metler: PIT ML |
-108 |
 Neil Parker: CHC -1.5 |
+100 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket.
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Josh Inglis' expert pick: Cardinals/Mets Over 7.5
Price: 52¢ (-108) at Polymarket
This is one of the best Overs on the board, with 9.44 runs projected and a fair price of -133 on Over 8. The weather is a major factor, with 15-mph winds blowing out to center field in what should be one of the better hitting environments of the day.
Freddy Peralta is a fly-ball pitcher with concerning HR/FB metrics, making him vulnerable in these conditions. On the other side, Dustin May has been getting squared up at one of the highest rates among MLB starters over the last 30 days and now faces a New York Mets lineup that ranks among the Top 8 in slugging over the last two weeks.
The St. Louis Cardinals aren't typically known for their power, but this matchup and ballpark environment should help elevate their offensive ceiling. With favorable weather, two pitchers carrying home-run risk, and strong projection support, this Over stands out as one of the best totals on the slate.
- Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- How to watch: Cardinals.TV, SNY
Jon Metler's expert pick: Pirates moneyline
Price: 52¢ (-108) at Polymarket
You rarely get the chance to back the Pittsburgh Pirates at this price when Paul Skenes is on the mound, but that’s exactly the opportunity the market is giving us against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
On paper, the Dodgers appear to have a strong platoon advantage with left-handed hitters like Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman, Kyle Tucker, and Max Muncy in the lineup. In reality, Skenes is one of the few right-handed pitchers capable of minimizing that advantage. His elite sinker-splitter combination tunnels perfectly off a triple-digit fastball, with the splitter diving away from left-handed hitters.
That movement makes it extremely difficult to pull the ball with authority and helps explain why lefties are hitting just .194 with a .554 OPS against him. The Pirates are trading around 52-cent favorites, but I make them closer to 58-cent favorites in this matchup.
That gap is enough for me to back Pittsburgh at this price.
- Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- How to watch: SportsNet LA, SportsNet Pittsburgh
Neil Parker's expert pick: Cubs -1.5
Price: 50¢ (+100) at Polymarket
Colorado Rockies righty Tomoyuki Sugano owns a 7.52 xERA that is the highest in baseball among starters with at least 60 innings, and the Chicago Cubs rank 27th in BABIP over the past 30 days despite posting the ninth-highest hard-hit rate.
As a result, I'm anticipating the Chicago line to cash in on statistical correction against a struggling Sugano. Additionally, Cubs starter Colin Rea has surrendered a .191 batting average while allowing just seven runs across his past three starts, so I’m confident he can limit the damage enough for the Cubbies to pull away.
- Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
- How to watch: Marquee, Rockies.TV
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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