MLB Expert Picks: Baseball Predictions for June 25

Joe Osborne: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Joe Osborne • Senior Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 25, 2026 , 09:39 AM ET • 4 min read

The Cardinals should glide to a win at home against the Diamondbacks.

Michael McGreevy (36) throws a pitch in the first inning against the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Michael McGreevy (36) throws a pitch in the first inning against the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium.

Thursday is here, and our MLB experts have a pair of plays you need to hop on ASAP.

Find out what their favorite MLB picks for this June 25 slate are below!

MLB expert picks for today

Pick Odds
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis: Cubs vs. Mets - Over 8.5 -104
Joe Osborne Joe Osborne: Cardinals ML -132

Prices courtesy of Polymarket.

Trade on the MLB at Polymarket!

Sign up now using our exclusive Polymarket promo code 'COVERS' (on your mobile app only) and get a $50 trading bonus after you deposit $50 to trade on any other event contracts — including MLB expert picks!

*Eligible locations only

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Josh Inglis' expert pick: Cubs vs Mets - Over 8.5

Price: 51¢ (-104) at Polymarket

This series has already produced 43 runs through three games, and today's conditions might be the best yet for offense.

It's the top-hitting weather on the slate with 14-mph winds blowing out to center field, and temperatures in the mid-70s.

Neither bullpen comes into this game well-rested. The Chicago Cubs are without their closer and could also be missing two other relievers after using five arms yesterday. On the home side, things might be even worse, as the New York Mets could be down four of their top high-leverage relievers.

That bullpen situation becomes even more important with Matthew Boyd making his first start off the IL. He threw just 58 pitches in his final rehab outing and was pitching to a 6.00 ERA before the injury.

Freddy Peralta isn't exactly in peak form either. He allowed 10 runs in his last start and has surrendered 29 runs over his last 36 innings.

This is not a game showcasing elite pitching talent, and the weather and bullpen situations only add to the scoring upside.

  • Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: SNY, Marquee

Joe Osborne's expert pick: Cardinals moneyline

Price: 57¢ (-132) at Polymarket

Home/road splits point strongly toward the St. Louis Cardinals tonight.

Michael McGreevy has been excellent at Busch Stadium, posting a 2.35 ERA across seven home starts, and now gets an Arizona Diamondbacks lineup that's been among the worst in the league both away from home and against right-handed pitching over the last month.

Meanwhile, Zac Gallen's nightmare season continues, especially on the road, where he owns a 6.98 ERA in eight starts. He's gotten worse as the season has gone on, with Arizona just 3-8 in his last 11 starts.

With the Cardinals ranking fourth in OPS vs. righties over the last two weeks, this sets up as a great spot for St. Louis to take care of business.

  • Time: 7:45 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: Cardinals.TV, Diamondbacks.TV

More MLB best bets for today

Pick Odds
Royals moneyline +104
Read analysis in our Royals vs. Rays predictions

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Joe Osborne Senior Betting Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

Joe is an industry veteran who loves the entertainment aspect of the sports betting industry. His opinions are always backed by data and he enjoys digging into the numbers and coming up with interesting nuggets to share with sports bettors.

Joe takes a high-energy and fun approach to covering his favorite sports which include the NFL, MLB, UFC, NBA and NHL, and there’s no bet type he loves more than an NFL six-point teaser. Joe is the host of our daily sports betting program, Before You Bet, while he also leads our weekly UFC show, P4P Picks, and our 'Covers on the Ground' series where he's covered many UFC, NFL and NBA games in person. A monthly highlight for Joe is conducting interviews with UFC legend Georges St-Pierre ahead of every UFC PPV.

Outside of his work at Covers, Joe has appeared on many top media brands including ESPN Radio, Mad Dog Sports Radio, VSIN, TSN, and SportsNet. He always recommends not reading too much into narratives when placing your bets as those factors are already cooked into the lines set by oddsmakers.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo