There's a small board to choose from for our MLB picks today, but our baseball experts have still found some value to get action on.
Our baseball experts are double-dipping on today's White Sox/Royals matchup, as well as banking on the Mets to bounce back, for their favorite plays today at Polymarket — which allows MLB fans all across the country to join in on the action.
MLB expert picks for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Josh Inglis: CWS/KC u9.5 |
-108 |
 Jon Metler: KC ML |
-170 |
 Joe Osborne: NYM ML |
-156 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket.
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Josh Inglis' expert pick: White Sox/Royals Under 9.5
Price: 52¢ (-108) at Polymarket
This is a big number for a Kansas City Royals squad that has been one of the best Under teams in the league at 4-8 O/U. The offense is coming off a three-game set in Cleveland, where it managed just seven runs and cashed the Under in each game. They're also sending Seth Lugo, who has allowed just three total runs through two starts, to the mound today against the White Sox. The wind is blowing out, which is inflating this total, but it feels like an overreaction given that both teams have recently been lined closer to 7.5.
Jon Metler's expert pick: Royals moneyline
Price: 63¢ (-170) at Polymarket
The Royals are trading as a 63% favorite, and this price still isn’t short enough — I make them closer to a 69% favorite in this matchup against Chicago. Seth Lugo features a deep arsenal, mixing seven different pitches, with his curveball serving as his primary weapon. That variety of off-speed pitches should create significant problems for a young White Sox lineup, which is anchored by Munetaka Murakami, who thrives when he can hunt fastballs... but that’s not what he’ll be seeing from Lugo today. If Murakami isn’t able to provide power in the middle of the order, the White Sox offense looks much less threatening.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Mets ML
Price: 61¢ (-156) at Polymarket
Eduardo Rodriguez comes back down to earth tonight with the cooler temperatures in New York. He has a horrible track record at Citi Field, where he was rocked for eight earned runs in an April start last season, while also getting smacked for five earned runs there in a 2024 start. Meanwhile, Nolan McLean has looked sharp early, and Arizona’s offense ranks a brutal 27th in OPS vs righties. Add in a major bullpen edge (with the Mets third in ERA and the Diamondbacks 26th), and this sets up for a bounce-back win for New York.
More MLB best bets for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| A's/Yankees o8 | -115 |
| Read analysis in our A's vs. Yankees predictions | |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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