The Detroit Tigers look to avoid a series sweep when they face the Minnesota Twins in AL Central Division action at Target Field.
Minnesota starter Mick Abel has struggled, and my Tigers vs. Twins predictions expect Detroit to avoid the broom today.
Read on for my MLB picks for Thursday, April 8.
Who will win Tigers vs Twins today: Tigers (-130)
Two shaky starters on the mound, but Jack Flaherty's xFIP sits at 6.64 against Mick Abel's 6.75, and on a chilly April afternoon, that tiny edge could be the difference.
Abel is in historically rough shape with a robust hard-contact rate in the 83rd percentile plus an 11.05 ERA, and this Detroit Tigers lineup boasts enough Statcast pop to exploit him early.
Once both starters exit, the Minnesota Twins bullpen is walking hitters at a nearly 15% rate. Detroit's relief corps is meaningfully better across every underlying metric. Trust Flaherty and the Tigers' bullpen edge.
COVERS INTEL: The Tigers' bullpen boasts a 77.6% LOB rate, the ninth-best in MLB. The Twins have stranded only 70.3%.
Tigers vs Twins Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (+108)
Neither starter figures to pitch deep or stymie anyone, meaning two shaky bullpens should see heavy action, and the Twins' relief corps boasts a 26th-best 4.92 xFIP across 41.1 frames.
Detroit ranks 12th in wRC+ at 104 with the seventh-most Barrels per plate appearance, while Minnesota averages nearly 4.5 runs per game.
This matchup has gone Over in six of the last 10 head-to-heads. Detroit's lineup has genuine pop, and Minnesota has averaged more than six runs per game in its last three home bouts against these Tigers.
- ML/RL bets: 1-2, 0.9 units
- Over/Under bets: 2-0, +1.94 units
Tigers vs Twins odds
- Moneyline: Tigers -122 | Twins +117
- Run line: Tigers -1.5 (+127) | Twins +1.5 (-133)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+108) | Under 8.5 (-113)
Tigers vs Twins trend
The Over is 6-3-1 in their last 10 meetings. Find more MLB betting trends for Tigers vs. Twins.
How to watch Tigers vs Twins and game info
| Location | Comerica Park, Detroit, MI |
| Date | Thursday, April 9, 2026 |
| First pitch | 1:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | DSN, MNNT |
| Tigers starting pitcher | Jack Flaherty (0-1, 7.56 ERA) |
| Twins starting pitcher | Mick Abel (0-2, 11.05 ERA) |
Tigers vs Twins latest injuries
Tigers vs Twins weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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