Rockies vs Padres Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

JD Yonke - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
JD Yonke • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 9, 2026 , 10:56 AM ET • 4 min read

Chase Dollander, like many a Rockies pitcher, is a better hurler on the road than at Coors Field. He gives Colorado enough of an edge over fool's gold Padres starter Randy Vasquez to take the underdogs at big plus money.

MLB

Match starts: 9 hrs
COL
34 %
SD
66 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u8.0 (-109)
Read Analysis
Chase Dollander Colorado Rockies MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Colorado Rockies pitcher Chase Dollander (32) pitches during the third inning against the Philadelphia Phillies

The Colorado Rockies head to Petco Park for a four-game series with the San Diego Padres, with Game 1 taking place tonight.

These two teams are deadlocked at 6-6 in the NL West standings after Colorado’s surprising four-game winning streak.

See why the underdogs may not cool off so quickly in my Rockies vs. Padres predictions and MLB picks for Thursday, April 9.

Who will win Rockies vs Padres today: Rockies moneyline (+170)

Randy Vasquez was all the rage in spring training and in his first start due to his increased velocity. 

Turns out, that was illusory, as Vasquez was back down to his 2025 level (93.6 mph) during his April 4 start. His 5.37 xERA and 4.6% K-BB% with that velocity a year ago hardly indicate future success.

Colorado Rockies right-hander Chase Dollander is up a tick to 98.8 mph, has a solid 102 Pitching+, and will throw in tandem with an effective bullpen (2.74 SIERA).

The San Diego Padres have a lowly 85 wRC+ against RHP, so there’s cause for concern both at the dish and on the mound.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Vasquez was one of the most fortunate hurlers in 2025 as his xERA and xFIP (5.51) both undersold his 3.84 ERA. The increased velocity from his first start is gone, as is the cold and windy weather from his second.

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Rockies vs Padres Over/Under pick: Under 8 (-109)

Neither lineup has performed well enough to have confidence in an offense-oriented game. Colorado checks in with a 94 wRC+ while San Diego is even worse at 81.

The Padres have one of the most talented bullpens in the league, whereas the Rockies have been one of the most effective. 

Colorado has been an Under bettor’s dream this season, cashing tickets in nine of their 12 contests. 

Dollander has an effective 3.86 ERA on the road, holding batters to a .208 AVG, and his increased stuff to start the year should pay dividends against a down lineup.

JD Yonke's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 3-2, +1.25 units
  • Over/Under bets: 3-3, -0.11 units

Rockies vs Padres odds

  • Moneyline: Rockies +164 | Padres -196
  • Run line: Rockies +1.5 (-134) | Padres -1.5 (+112)
  • Over/Under: Over 8 (-105) | Under 8 (-115)

Rockies vs Padres trend

The Rockies have hit the Under in 14 of their last 20 away games. Find more MLB betting trends for Rockies vs. Padres.

How to watch Rockies vs Padres and game info

Location Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Date Thursday, April 9, 2026
First pitch 9:40 p.m. ET
TV COLR, SDPA
Rockies starting pitcher Chase Dollander
(1-1, 5.40 ERA)
Padres starting pitcher Randy Vasquez
(1-0, 0.75 ERA)

Rockies vs Padres latest injuries

Rockies vs Padres weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

JD is a diehard college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax, and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his inclination to look at things with an exhausting and in-depth, analytic viewpoint combined with a love for statistics and metrics to form a well-rounded handicapping approach.

e's an integral member of the niche (but growing!) college fantasy football community, twice traveling to Canton, OH for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King's Classic drafting squad. His specialization in college football DFS and prop betting taught him that there are exploitable markets to be found and that narrowing your focus is integral to being a profitable bettor.

A lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, football, and lacrosse, he's glad to share a passionate love for sports with this wonderful community.

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