Dodgers vs Padres Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 27, 2026 , 10:20 AM ET • 4 min read

Yoshinobu Yamamoto will burn through the San Diego Padres on Saturday night.

MLB

Match starts: 8 hrs
LAD
62 %
SD
38 %
EXPERT PICK - RUN LINE
LA Dodgers -1.5 (-115) LA Dodgers -1.5 (-115)
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Yoshinobu Yamamoto of the Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Yoshinobu Yamamoto of the Los Angeles Dodgers MLB

The Los Angeles Dodgers are -200 favorites to rebound from Friday night's 7-1 trouncing.

My Dodgers vs. Padres predictions and MLB picks see value in backing them to do just that. 

Who will win Dodgers vs Padres today: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-115)

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has posted an xERA of 3.0 or lower in six of his last seven appearances. He is consistently stringing together quality starts and is about the last pitcher the San Diego Padres would want to see.

They rank dead last in runs per game and have hit just .226 against right-handed pitching in June.

They are unlikely to cause problems for Yamamoto, who pitched seven innings of one-run ball against them in May.

The Los Angeles Dodgers should do damage against Randy Vasquez (6.47 xERA), positioning them to win by multiple runs.

Bet to -125.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Randy Vasquez ranks in the eighth percentile in Pitcher Run Value.

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Dodgers vs Padres Over/Under pick: Under 8.0 (-110)

Only three of the past 10 head-to-head meetings have gone Over the total, and I expect another low-scoring game in the cards here.

It’ll be very difficult to string together hits against Yamamoto and the Padres lack power for quick-strike offense.

The Dodgers are missing a couple of key bats in Teoscar Hernandez and Will Smith. They’re also playing in a pitcher-friendly park, which will lower their offensive floor and ceiling.

I see this being a 5-2 type of game, and would play the Under to -120.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 44-32, +3.20 units
  • Over/Under bets: 40-32-4, +3.99 units

Dodgers vs Padres weather

Temperatures in the high 60s are expected with winds blowing east. Slight boost to the pitchers.

Dodgers vs Padres odds

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -200 | Padres +165
  • Run line: Dodgers -1.5 (-115) | Padres +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.0 (-110) | Under 8.0 (-110)

Dodgers vs Padres trend

San Diego has been generous to Under bettors this season, owning a 35-44 O/U record. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Padres.

How to watch Dodgers vs Padres and game info

Location Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Date Saturday, June 27, 2026
First pitch 8:40 p.m. ET
TV SNLA, KFMB-CBS8
Dodgers starting pitcher Yoshinobu Yamamoto
(7-5, 2.65 ERA)
Padres starting pitcher Randy Vasquez
(6-5, 4.17 ERA)

Dodgers vs Padres latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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