Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions: L.A. Continues Abuse of 'Zona

It could be a rough outing for the Diamondbacks tonight, whom the Dodgers have been using as their personal punching bag. With a breakout stud on the mound tonight, don't expect much different than Dodger domination, as our MLB betting picks explain.

Last Updated: May 28, 2022 1:54 PM ET Read Time: 4 min
Mookie Betts Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
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The Los Angeles Dodgers probably wish they could play the Arizona Diamondbacks every day. The Dodgers are 7-2 against the Diamondbacks this season and have won the last six against Arizona. 

The Diamondbacks, who are nine games back of the Dodgers in the National League West, had a six-game winning streak snapped by the Dodgers on Thursday.

Will the Diamondbacks be able to win a game against the Dodgers at home or will Los Angeles continue its dominance? Find out with our free MLB betting picks and predictions for Dodgers vs Diamondbacks on May 28. 

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Dodgers have owned the Diamondbacks and it’s a bit surprising that the moneyline for them is just -175. The Diamondbacks are getting +162, after opening at +140. The total is 9.5, with the Under the favorite at -110 and the Over at -105. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks predictions

Picks made on 5/28/2022 at 1:10 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Dodgers vs Diamondbacks game info

Location: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Date: Saturday, May 28, 2022
First pitch: 7:15 p.m. ET

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks betting preview

Starting pitchers

Tony Gonsolin (4-0, 1.62 ERA): When you think of an ace pitcher for the Dodgers, Clayton Kershaw or Walker Buehler would come to mind, but maybe they shouldn’t. The star of the staff right now is Tony Gonsolin. The 28-year-old right-hander has a 1.62 ERA — the lowest on the staff. He sports a 0.97 WHIP and has held opposing hitters to a .164 batting average. The last time he faced the Diamondbacks, he allowed two runs on three hits in six innings, picking up the win. 

Merrill Kelly (3-2, 3.49 ERA): The 33-year-old righty is the second-best of the five starting pitchers on the Diamondbacks. He’s tied with Zac Gallen for most wins among the starters and his 49 innings pitched is tops among the five. Now the bad news: His 46 hits allowed is the most of any pitcher on the staff and his 19 earned runs is second. The last time Kelly faced the Dodgers 10 days ago, He didn’t get out of the second inning, allowing eight earned runs on five hits and walking four. 


Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Dodgers: Max Muncy IF (Doubtful), Tommy Kahnle RP (Out), Blake Treinen RP (Out).
Diamondbacks: Nick Ahmed SS (Out), Carson Kelly C (Out), Jose Herrera C (Out), Kyle Nelson RP (Out), Keynan Middleton RP (Out). 

Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Dodgers are 14-5 in their last 19 games in Arizona. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Run line analysis

The Los Angeles Dodgers, the team with the best record in the National League, has been feasting on the Arizona Diamondbacks. They’re in the third game of a four-game road trip to Chase Field and have won both prior games. 

The first was a 14-1 thumping, while the second was a more reasonable 6-4. Scoring five-plus runs against the second-worst team in the NL West is standard operating procedure for Los Angeles, since they have done it in six of the nine games. In those nine games, the Dodgers have outscored the Diamondbacks 57-29. 

Los Angeles has the highest batting average in the league at .254 and an on-base percentage of .339. They also lead in runs (256), RBI (239), and slugging percentage (.431). 

The Diamondbacks are near the bottom of the league in most of those categories. They’re 29th out of 30 teams in batting average (.218) and second in strikeouts (432). One area they do excel at is home runs. They have 57 of them, good for fifth. 

Of the Dodgers’ seven victories against the Diamondbacks this year, five have been by at least two runs. With a stud on the mound and a huge advantage at the plate, back them on the run line. 

Prediction: Dodgers -1.5 (-105 at FanDuel)

Over/Under analysis

When Kelly took the mound against the Dodgers on May 17, it was a disaster. Kelly, who was pitching the second game of a double-header at Chavez Ravine, didn’t get to the third frame. The right-hander allowed eight earned runs in two innings, including a three-run homer to Edwin Rios. Kelly surrendered four other hits and walked four, getting only two strikeouts.

It was his second appearance against the Dodgers. The first was April 25 at home, when he went six innings, giving up three earned runs on seven hits and walking two. So, Kelly’s record is 3-2 and both losses have come at the hands of the Dodgers. The third should happen Saturday. 

The Over is definitely trending, at 4-1-1 in the last six meetings between the two. The Dodgers are 5-1-1 to the Over in their last six against the NL West. Los Angeles is also 8-2-2 in its last 12 games against a right-handed starter and 4-1 versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. 

For Arizona, the Over is 4-0 in their last four games against a right-handed starter and 7-0 versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. 

Prediction: Over 9.5 (-105 at Caesars)

Best bet

The Dodgers score runs in bunches, especially against the Diamondbacks. In the first game of the first series this season, LA tagged Arizona for two runs in the first inning, the most in any inning. 

A month later the Dodgers were at it again.  In the first game of that series, they had the most runs in an inning with three. The next night they had five runs in the sixth inning. In Game 3, they posted six runs in an inning. In the finale, they had four runs in the fourth. 

In this current series, the Dodgers have had four runs in the first game and four runs in the second inning of Friday’s game. 

With the Dodgers tagging Arizona pitching pretty consistently, and the fact they’re leading the majors in runs, I’ll take this bet. 

Pick: Dodgers with highest-scoring inning (-110 at FoxBet)

MLB parlays

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