The MLB betting board for Sunday features an afternoon game between the struggling Los Angeles Dodgers and the Milwaukee Brewers.
The Brewers have taken the first three games in this set but the Dodgers are installed as -180 favorites for the series finale this afteroon.
Here are our best free Dodgers vs. Brewers picks and predictions for Sunday, May 2, with the first pitch at 2:10 p.m. ET.
Dodgers vs Brewers odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Compare MLB odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
MLB Sharp Money and Line Movement Report
By Patrick EversonLos Angeles landed on FanDuel's odds board at -186 this morning and by lunch hour was up to -210, then backed up to -198, where the moneyline stands just before 1 p.m. ET. It's a landslide at the moment for the Dodgers, who are taking 92 percent of bets and 95 percent of cash. The total moved from 8 (Over -118) to 8.5 (Over -122) and is now 8.5 flat (-110), with the Over taking 55 percent of bets/65 percent of money.
Check out the full line movement for this gameDodgers vs Brewers betting preview
Starting pitchers
Julio Urias (3-0, 3.23 ERA): Urias has been up-and-down this season, pitching to an impressive 0.98 WHIP across five starts but coming off a performance against the Reds where he gave up three runs in five innings. The 24-year-old has flashed plenty of promise since making his major league debut in 2016, posting a 3.20 ERA across 269 2-3 career innings.
Alec Bettinger (0-0, -.-- ERA): The 25-year-old will make his big league debut after being promoted from the alternate training site on Thursday. The 10th round pick in 2017 had an impressive 2019 season at Double-A Biloxi, where he posted a 3.44 ERA with a 1.07 WHIP.
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.
Key injuries
Dodgers: Zach McKinstry 2B (Out), Cody Bellinger CF (Out), Joe Kelly RP (Out).
Brewers: Manny Pina C (Probable), Christian Yelich OF (Out), Lorenzo Cain OF (Out), Omar Narvaez C (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Over is 7-1 in Dodgers last 8 games as a favorite. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Brewers.
Run line pick
Not only have the Dodgers lost the first three games in this series but they are now just 3-10 over their last 13 games. This is a brutal slide for the defending World Series champs but they have more than enough talent and — time left in the season — to turn things around.
Keep in mind that they still rank an impressive seventh in the majors with an OPS of .737 and they strand an MLB-worst 4.36 runners in scoring position per game. They are still getting on base and will likely start batting well enough in the clutch to eventually start driving more runs in.
On the other side, Milwaukee has really missed two-time NL batting champion Christian Yelich, who has been out for almost three weeks with a sore back, as the Brewers are 24th in the majors in both runs per game (4.00) and OPS (.668).
Now the Brewers face Urias, and while the lefty has been a tad inconsistent this season he still has a track record of getting the job done. The southpaw has pitched to a 2.89 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP in 165 1-3 innings since the start of the 2019 season. The Dodgers are 9-2 in his last 11 starts and he hasn't been credited with a regular-season loss since August of 2019.
The Brewers are giving the ball to Bettinger, who will make his big league debut and is being thrown to the wolves against a very dangerous Dodgers lineup. Take L.A. on the runline.
PREDICTION: Dodgers -1.5 (-120)
Over/Under pick
Urias hasn't been the most reliable of starters this season, allowing three runs in three of his five starts. And as poorly as Milwaukee has been hitting this season, they have been decent against southpaws, batting .250 with an OPS of .792.
That said, I have even less faith in Bettinger. The youngster didn't pitch in the spring because of an elbow injury and he spent last season at the team's alternate training site. His last competitive work came in Double-A baseball back in 2019 and now he's going up against a squad led by Mookie Betts, Justin Turner and Corey Seager.
The Brewers rotation has been decimated by injuries to Brett Anderson and ace Corbin Burnes and today their lack of depth will be exposed. With the Dodgers cashing the Over in seven of their last nine games and the Brewers going 5-2-1 O/U in their previous eight contests at home, back the Over today.
PREDICTION: Over 8.5 (-110)
Dodgers vs Brewers betting card
- RL Dodgers -1.5 (-120)
- Over 8.5 (-110)
Picks made on 5/02/2021 at 11:15 a.m. ET
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