Diamondbacks vs Rangers Prediction, Picks & Odds — Wednesday, August 13

Merrill Kelly will pitch the lights out against his former team when the D-backs visit the Rangers today, per our MLB betting picks.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Aug 13, 2025 • 09:12 ET • 4 min read

MLB

Match starts: 1 hrs
TEX
58 %
AZ
42 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Merrill Kelly u2.5  Earned Runs Allowed (-145) Merrill Kelly u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-145)
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Texas Rangers Merrill Kelly MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Texas Rangers starting pitcher Merrill Kelly (23) throws during the first inning.

The Arizona Diamondbacks will be going for the sweep this afternoon against the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field in Arlington. 

Today is a revenge game for Merrill Kelly versus his former team, and my Diamondbacks vs. Rangers predictions are eyeing him to put together a quality start. 

See more for my MLB picks for Wednesday, August 13. 

Diamondbacks vs Rangers prediction

Diamondbacks vs Rangers best bet: Merrill Kelly Under 2.5 earned runs (-145 at BET99)

Merrill Kelly came over to the Texas Rangers at the trade deadline after serving as the Arizona Diamondbacks’ most consistent starter this season. In 24 starts, he’s gone 9-7 with a 3.38 ERA, striking out 131 in 138 2/3 innings while walking just 43 batters. 

While the right-hander did give up four earned runs last time out against the Philadelphia Phillies, he put together a dominant streak before that. Kelly had cashed the Under in earned runs surrendered in five consecutive outings, only allowing more than one run once during that span.

I’m definitely playing into the revenge narrative here, too. While there’s no bad blood by any means between Kelly and the Diamondbacks, there’s always extra motivation for any player when he faces his ex-team.

Essentially, all of this Arizona lineup has never seen Kelly, which stands to reason as he was with the ball club for the last number of years. Pitchers typically have the advantage in such a scenario.

Overall, he’s having a very consistent year, and I do believe Kelly will put his best foot forward and help Texas avoid the sweep.

Diamondbacks vs Rangers same-game parlay (SGP)

Merrill Kelly Under 2.5 earned runs

Zac Gallen Over 2.5 earned runs

Corey Seager Over 0.5 singles

Zac Gallen takes on Kelly this afternoon, but the righty has struggled in 2025. 

He’s been a completely different pitcher than in past years. Gallen owns a 9-12 record and 5.31 ERA, with opponents hitting nearly .260. 

Although Gallen has cashed the Under in earned runs allowed in back-to-back outings, he does have an ERA well over 5.00 on the road. Day games are also not his forte, compiling a 5.94 ERA across nine appearances this season. He’s given up Over 2.5 earned runs in two of his previous three road outings, too. 

Corey Seager is one of the hitters on the Texas roster who has enjoyed himself against Gallen. He’s 8-for-25 lifetime with one double. That means seven of his hits have been singles, and that’s the focus with this pick. 

Seager has cashed the Over in singles in four of his last six contests. Of his 87 hits this season, 54 have been singles.

Diamondbacks vs Rangers odds

Diamondbacks vs Rangers live odds

Diamondbacks vs Rangers opening odds

  • Moneyline: Arizona +127 | Texas -141
  • Run line: Arizona +1.5 | Texas -1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 8 | Under 8

Diamondbacks vs Rangers trend

The Rangers have hit the Under in 40 of their last 62 games at home (+16.50 Units / 24% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Diamondbacks vs. Rangers.

How to watch Diamondbacks vs Rangers and game info

Location Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
Date Wednesday, August 13, 2025
First pitch 2:35 p.m. ET
TV DBACKS.tv, RSN
Diamondbacks starting pitcher Zac Gallen
(9-12, 5.31 ERA)
Rangers starting pitcher Merrill Kelly
(9-7, 3.38 ERA)

Diamondbacks vs Rangers latest injuries

Diamondbacks vs Rangers weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications. He's currently a senior editor at ClutchPoints and has published work for numerous betting websites in the past. 

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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