Brewers vs Red Sox Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 8, 2026 , 10:02 AM ET • 4 min read

Brewers starter Shane Drohan makes his MLB debut against the organization that drafted him, and the Red Sox will give him a rude welcome to the bigs, per our MLB betting picks.

MLB

Match starts: 2 hrs
MIL
43 %
BOS
57 %
Read Analysis
 Boston Red Sox MLB baseball Wilyer Abreu hits a home run
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Boston Red Sox right fielder Wilyer Abreu (52) hits a home run.

The Milwaukee Brewers and Boston Red Sox wrap up a three-game set at Fenway Park on Wednesday afternoon.

Boston evened the series by winning 3-2 last night, and my Brewers vs. Red Sox predictions are backing the home side to win again. 

Here are my best free MLB picks for this interleague showdown on April 8.

Who will win Brewers vs Red Sox today: Boston moneyline (-121)

Sonny Gray was roughed up in his Boston Red Sox debut but bounced back with a solid start last week. Gray had a 4.28 ERA last year but his FIP was much better at 3.39.

I trust him more than southpaw Shane Drohan, who makes his MLB debut for the Milwaukee Brewers. Drohan has good swing-and-miss stuff but struggles with command.

Boston has struggled with strikeouts this season but is hitting well against lefties (.256 BA). The Red Sox are also 10th in the majors in barrel rate and sixth in exit velocity, indicating positive regression.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Sonny Gray had a 3.29 SIERA and a 26.7% strikeout rate in 2025 — both numbers ranking sixth in the majors among qualifying starters.

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Brewers vs Red Sox Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (-101)

Drohan has potential as a back-of-the-rotation starter, but there's a reason Boston traded him away in the offseason. He was also just the No. 25-ranked prospect in the Brewers system on MLB pipeline. 

Meanwhile, Gray has been inconsistent dating back to the midway point of last season. The Brewers are fourth in the majors in OPS (.782) and third in runs per game (6.36). They are also familiar with Gray's stuff since he spent most of his career in the NL Central.

There's simply too many question marks for both starters for the total to be this low.

Rohit Ponnaiya's 2026 MLB Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 3-3, -0.7 units
  • Over/Under bets: 2-0, +2 units

Brewers vs Red Sox odds

  • Moneyline: Brewers +117 | Red Sox -122
  • Run line: Brewers +1.5 (-178) | Red Sox -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (+100) | Under 7.5 (-104)

Brewers vs Red Sox trend

The Red Sox have won 31 of their last 50 games at home (+6.20 Units / 8% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Brewers vs. Red Sox.

How to watch Brewers vs Red Sox and game info

Location Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Date Wednesday, April 8, 2026
First pitch 1:35 p.m. ET
TV BREW, NESN
Brewers starting pitcher Shane Drohan
(MLB debut)
Red Sox starting pitcher Sonny Gray
(1-0, 4.50 ERA)

Brewers vs Red Sox latest injuries

Brewers vs Red Sox weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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