The Milwaukee Brewers are off to a remarkably strong 7-2 start, with each win coming by multiple runs.
My Brewers vs. Red Sox predictions expect Boston to cool off Milwaukee's unsustainably hot bats at Fenway Park.
Let’s break down my MLB picks for Monday, April 6.
Who will win Brewers vs Red Sox today: Red Sox (+100)
The Boston Red Sox are off to a disappointing 2-7 start, but there are some underlying positives. They rank third in hard-hit rate against right-handed pitching, a sign that the offense is better than the results indicate.
The Milwaukee Brewers have piled up the runs, but there are some concerns with their batted-ball profile. They rank last in line-drive rate and have posted the highest ground-ball percentage against righties.
A league-high .349 batting average on balls put in play makes them look better than they are. That’s an unsustainably high number, and the bats will come down to earth in the cold Boston weather.
COVERS INTEL: Only the Dodgers and Rangers — both of whom rank Top-8 in SLG — have higher hard-hit rates than the Red Sox.
Brewers vs Red Sox Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-133)
Brewers right-hander Brandon Woodruff allowed two runs or fewer in nine of 12 starts last year and picked up where he left off, allowing just two in his season debut.
He’s a high strikeout pitcher and should generate plenty of them against a Red Sox team with a 30.3K% to righties.
Brayan Bello is generally a reliable innings-eater, and he excels at keeping the ball in the park. With very frigid temperatures expected in Boston, it should be even tougher for Milwaukee to hit for power.
- ML/RL bets: 0-1, -1.12 units
- Over/Under bets: 0-1, -1.22 units
Brewers vs Red Sox odds
- Moneyline: Milwaukee -108 | Boston +104
- Run line: Milwaukee -1.5 (+150) | Boston +1.5 (-156)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+108) | Under 8.5 (-113)
Brewers vs Red Sox trend
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 78 games at home (+10.70 Units / 13% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Brewers vs. Red Sox.
How to watch Brewers vs Red Sox and game info
| Location | Fenway Park, Boston, MA |
| Date | Thursday, April 2, 2026 |
| First pitch | 6:45 p.m. ET |
| TV | BREW, NESN |
| Brewers starting pitcher | Brandon Woodruff (1-0, 3.60 ERA) |
| Red Sox starting pitcher | Brayan Bello (0-1, 9.64 ERA) |
Brewers vs Red Sox latest injuries
Brewers vs Red Sox weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
