Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 3, 2026 , 10:07 AM ET • 4 min read

Kyle Harrison continues to pitch the lights out against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

MLB

Match starts: 9 hrs
MIL
58 %
AZ
42 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Milwaukee -155 Milwaukee -155
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Kyle Harrison of the Milwaukee Brewers MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Kyle Harrison of the Milwaukee Brewers MLB

The Milwaukee Brewers are sizable -155 favorites in their series opener against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

With Kyle Harrison on the mound, my Brewers vs. Diamondbacks predictions and MLB picks are backing the Brew Crew to pick up a low-scoring victory.

Who will win Brewers vs Diamondbacks today: Milwaukee Brewers (-155)

Kyle Harrison gives the Milwaukee Brewers a pitching advantage almost every time on the bump. His consistency has been almost shocking, with the talented lefty conceding more than two earned runs once all season – in an extreme hitter-friendly park against the Athletics.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are excellent against lefties and yet it likely won’t matter. Harrison has allowed two or less in five of six games vs. Top-10 teams in OPS against lefties.

The Brewers rank fifth in wOBA vs. righties and Jose Cabrera’s indicators are worse than his counting stats. Harrison should get run support.

Back Milwaukee to -165.

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Brewers vs Diamondbacks Over/Under pick: Under 9.0 (-120)

Harrison ranks in the 93rd percentile in Pitcher Run Value and has held opponents to two or less in 14 of 15 starts

He has a solid, right-handed heavy bullpen behind him. That is important as the Diamondbacks are much more potent against left-handed pitching.

The Brewers are well-equipped to slow the Diamondbacks down. They will likely need a ceiling offensive performance to push this total Over the number, and we haven’t seen that as often of late – Milwaukee is tied for 20th in runs scored over the past two weeks.

Play the Under to -130.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 47-38, -1.45 units
  • Over/Under bets: 45-36-4, +4.69 units

Brewers vs Diamondbacks weather

Arizona plays in a rarely opened dome so the weather has little to no impact.

Brewers vs Diamondbacks odds

  • Moneyline: Brewers -155 | Diamondbacks +135
  • Run line: Brewers -1.5 (+105) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.0 (+100) | Under 9.0 (-120)

Brewers vs Diamondbacks trend

Milwaukee has hit the moneyline in 34 of the last 50 games (+12.05 units, 16% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Brewers vs. Diamondbacks.

How to watch Brewers vs Diamondbacks and game info

Location Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Date Friday, July 3, 2026
First pitch 9:45 p.m. ET
TV Apple TV
Brewers starting pitcher Kyle Harrison
(8-1, 3.60 ERA)
Diamondbacks starting pitcher Jose Cabrera
(0-1, 3.60 ERA)

Brewers vs Diamondbacks latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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