After snapping a lengthy losing skid, the New York Mets are eyeing back-to-back wins as they welcome the Atlanta Braves to Citi Field tonight.
New York’s bats finally woke up in yesterday’s matchup, and with momentum on their side, my Braves vs. Mets predictions lean towards more fireworks from the home team. That’s why I’m backing the Mets to cover the run line in this one.
Read on to dive deeper into tonight’s matchup in my free MLB picks for Wednesday, August 13.
Braves vs Mets prediction
Braves vs Mets best bet: Mets -1.5 (+105 at bet365)
The New York Mets snapped a seven-game losing streak in a big way on Tuesday, breaking out for 13 runs against the Atlanta Braves. Now the task involves trying to string some wins together to right the ship.
Tonight presents a golden opportunity as they face off against Carlos Carrasco. The former Met struggled with the New York Yankees earlier this season, and hasn’t gotten the job done in his two starts for Atlanta, either. Between his two stops in 2025, he’s put up a 6.18 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP, allowing nine homers in 43 2/3 innings.
Carrasco is probably at the end of the line, as he hasn’t been truly effective since 2022. That’s a great spot for a Mets lineup that has tons of talent but needs to build confidence after putting up a .700 OPS over the past four weeks.
New York has a clear advantage tonight with David Peterson on the mound. Peterson (7-5, 2.98 ERA) has been one of the better lefties in the majors this season, and the Braves have struggled against southpaws. I like the Mets not just to win tonight, but to cover the run line.
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Braves vs Mets same-game parlay (SGP)
Mets -1.5
Over 9
Pete Alonso to hit a home run
In addition to the run line, I’m also taking the Over and Pete Alonso to hit a homer again tonight. Alonso just went deep twice last night, and has a good matchup against Carrasco, as he’s been slightly better against righties historically.
Braves vs Mets odds
Braves vs Mets live odds
Braves vs Mets opening odds
- Moneyline: Atlanta +165 | New York -200
- Run line: Atlanta +1.5 (-120) | New York -1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-120) | Under 8.5 (+100)
Braves vs Mets trend
The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+6.35 Units / 6% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Braves vs. Mets.
How to watch Braves vs Mets and game info
| Location | Citi Field, Flushing, NY |
| Date | Wednesday, August 13, 2025 |
| First pitch | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | FS1, FanDuel Sports Network-SE/SO, SNY |
| Braves starting pitcher | Carlos Carrasco (2-2, 6.18 ERA) |
| Mets starting pitcher | David Peterson (7-5, 2.98 ERA) |
Braves vs Mets latest injuries
Braves vs Mets weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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