Braves vs Dodgers Picks and Predictions: LA Struggles vs LHP Makes Atlanta ML Appealing

The Dodgers have a better record, the better starter, and are at home tonight when they host the Braves. But L.A. has really struggled offensively against southpaws, which has us jumping on the MLB betting value for Atlanta's ML.

Last Updated: Aug 30, 2021 10:41 AM ET Read Time: 4 min
Drew Smyly Atlanta Braves MLB
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The final game on the MLB betting board for Monday is a clash between the Atlanta Braves and Los Angeles Dodgers. Both of these teams seem destined for the postseason and the Dodgers are -220 home favorites for the first contest in this three-game set at Chavez Ravine. 

Here are our best free Braves vs. Dodgers free picks and predictions for Monday, August 30, with the first pitch scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. 

Braves vs Dodgers game info

Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date: Monday, August 30, 2021
Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

Braves vs Dodgers odds

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Starting pitchers

Drew Smyly (9-3, 4.54 ERA): The left-hander has pitched to a 1.36 WHIP with an opponent batting average of .262 across 22 starts in his first season for Atlanta. In his last outing, Smiley allowed three home runs in five innings against the Orioles — he has surrendered exactly three earned runs in six of his last eight starts. 

Julio Urias (14-3, 3.17 ERA): The 25-year-old Urias has thrived under the heaviest workload of his career, pitching to 1.05 WHIP with an OBA of .224 across 144 2-3 innings this season. Urias has been on fire lately, pitching five scoreless innings in three of his four August starts. 

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Braves: Marcell Ozuna OF (Out), Ronald Acuna Jr. OF (Out).
Dodgers: Scott Alexander RP (Out), Tommy Kahnle RP (Out). 
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Braves are 20-6 in their last 26 road games. Find more MLB betting trends for Braves vs. Dodgers.

Moneyline pick

The Braves are one of the hottest teams in the majors and have won 20 of their last 27 games to take a 4.5-game lead atop the NL East with a 70-59 record. The Dodgers are coming off a 5-0 loss at home to the Rockies yesterday but still have the second-best record in the NL at 82-49.

The Braves are seventh in the majors with an OPS of .753 while the Dodgers are one spot behind them at .751. That said, Los Angeles has been struggling at the dish lately, ranking just 26th in the majors with an OPS of .636 over the last 15 days.

They might not need to score many runs tonight though, with Julio Urias on the mound. The Dodgers southpaw has been lights out lately, pitching to a microscopic 1.10 ERA with a 0.92 WHIP across 32 2-3 innings in his last six starts.

The Braves counter with Drew Smyly, who has been much more hittable with a 4.15 ERA in nine starts since the beginning of July. However, the Braves have been giving Smyly plenty of run support and have gone 12-1 in his last 13 starts. 

The Dodgers have a clear advantage when it comes to pitching but with how poorly they've been hitting lately — and how red-hot Atlanta has been on the road (going 20-6 in their last 26 away contests) — it's tough to pass on the Braves at almost +200. 

PREDICTION: Atlanta ML (+190)

Over/Under pick

The Dodgers are plating just 3.77 runs per game over the last 15 days and they've struggled against left-handed all season long, ranking just 28th in the majors with a batting average of .232 against southpaws.

Smyly started the season off with some rough outings but he's been solid lately, pitching to a 3.44 ERA over his last 10 starts. That said, he's got nothing on Urias' recent form, with the Dodgers southpaw shutting down opposing batters by allowing one run or fewer in six of his last eight starts. 

The Dodgers are 15-4-3 to the Under in their last 22 games while Atlanta is 5-1-2 to the Under in its previous eight contests. Back the Under 9 tonight. 

PREDICTION: Under 9 (-110)

Braves vs Dodgers betting card

  • Atlanta ML (+190)
  • Under 9 (-110)

Picks made on 8/30/2021 at 11 a.m. ET

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