Braves vs Brewers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s MLB Game

Spencer Schwellenbach is looking like a future Cy Young candidate in his sophomore season while Chad Patrick is impressing as a rookie. Neither the Braves nor Brewers are top-tier offenses, either, leading us to the game total Under.

Tony Sartori - Contributor at Covers.com
Tony Sartori • Betting Analyst
Jun 11, 2025 • 07:45 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Spencer Schwellenbach Atlanta Braves MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Braves SP Spencer Schwellenbach can rack up the strikeouts while limiting walks.

The Milwaukee Brewers send rookie Chad Patrick to the hill as the Atlanta Braves and Spencer Schwellenbach take the field for the visitor's clubhouse today.

This rock-solid pitching matchup has our Braves vs. Brewers predictions and MLB picks targeting the Under on Wednesday, June 11.

Braves vs Brewers prediction

My Braves vs Brewers best bet: Under 8 (+100 at bet365)

Atlanta Braves right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach is a solid candidate to back, posting a 3.24 ERA and 1.05 WHIP through 13 starts this season. His underlying metrics suggest similar success is likely to continue.

Schwellenbach ranks in the top half of the league in expected ERA (xERA), average exit velocity, and barrel rate. Meanwhile, Milwaukee Brewers right-hander Chad Patrick will keep pace.

Patrick has been a pleasant surprise in his rookie season, recording a 2.84 ERA and 1.21 WHIP through 14 appearances. Like Schwellenbach, Patrick’s analytics indicate his performance is sustainable.

He ranks in the top half of the league in xERA, and barrel and hard-hit rates.

Both pitchers will also benefit from facing below-average lineups. Neither team ranks in the top half of the league in hits per game, batting average, or slugging percentage.

Braves vs Brewers same-game parlay (SGP)

Under 8

Spencer Schwellenbach Over 4.5 strikeouts

Spencer Schwellenbach Under 1.5 walks

We're hitting two correlated ways to support a strong Schwellenbach showing in the prop market.

The first is in the strikeout department. Schwellenbach owns elite underlying metrics in generating strikeouts, ranking in the 92nd percentile in chase rate and 66th percentile in whiff rate.

Even more impressive is his ability to avoid walks as he ranks in the 95th percentile in walk rate. Subsequently, Schwellenbach has recorded five or more strikeouts with one or fewer walks in two of his past three starts.

Braves vs Brewers odds

Braves vs Brewers live odds

Braves vs Brewers opening odds

  • Moneyline: Atlanta -135 | Milwaukee +115
  • Run line: Atlanta -1.5 (+120) | Milwaukee +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+105) | Under 8.5 (-125)

Braves vs Brewers trend

There have been eight or fewer total runs scored in eight of Chad Patrick’s past 10 starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Braves vs. Brewers.

How to watch Braves vs Brewers and game info

Location American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Date Wednesday, 6-11-2025
First pitch 2:10 p.m. ET
TV FDSNSO, FDSNWI
Braves starting pitcher Spencer Schwellenbach
(4-4, 3.24 ERA)
Brewers starting pitcher Chad Patrick
(3-5, 2.84 ERA)

Braves vs Brewers latest injuries

Braves vs Brewers weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Tony Sartori - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Tony Sartori has written over 1,000 pieces of sports betting content across multiple different media outlets. He covers the NHL, UFC, PGA, NFL and MLB. Tony started part-time while attending the University of Wisconsin-Madison, where he went on to receive a B.A. in Economics and a certificate in Entrepreneurship in 2022. He continues to work full-time in the sports betting landscape.

Due to the variety of sports he covers, Tony is handicapping every day. If he had one piece of betting advice for a new sports bettor, it would be to strictly enforce bankroll management rules for yourself. If you set aside $10,000 for your betting bankroll, then you should generally only be betting between $100 - $500 per play.

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