In a battle of two teams who are struggling to pick up victories, the Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles do battle on Sunday afternoon in the final game of a three-game set.
Toronto snapped a five-game losing streak with a 10-7 win on Saturday thanks to a six-run ninth inning that sent the Orioles to their ninth loss in their last 10 games. The Jays opened as a -222 road favorite for the finale, with the total opening at a flat 10.
Here are our free MLB betting picks and predictions for Blue Jays vs Orioles on Sunday, June 20.
Blue Jays vs Orioles game info
• Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
• Date: Sunday, June 20, 2021
• Time: 1:05 p.m. ET
• TV: MASN, Sportsnet
Blue Jays vs Orioles odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Compare MLB odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
MLB sharp money and line movement report
By Patrick EversonToronto hit FanDuel's odds board as a healthy -200 favorite Saturday night, peaked at -215, bottomed out at -178 and is -186 at 12:15 p.m. ET, less than an hour before first pitch. Moneyline action is practically all Blue Jays, at 90 percent of bets and 96 percent of dollars, and bettors are hitting Toronto runline -1.5 at almost the same rate. The total toggled between 10 and 9.5 a few times, then rose to 10.5 flat (-110), with 59 percent of bets/78 percent of money on the Over.
Check out the full line movement for this gameBlue Jays vs Astros betting preview
Starting pitchers
Hyun Jin Ryu (5-4, 3.43 ERA): Despite yesterday’s win, the Jays need their ace to get down and dirty and collect a second straight win for a team that has just three wins across its last 10. Ryu has allowed three or more runs in three of his last four starts and the Korean southpaw has won just once in his last three trips to the mound.
Matt Harvey (3-8, 7.76 ERA): If we had something nice to say about the former Dark Knight, this would be the spot. Unfortunately for us, we have to hit the fade wagon on the right-hander. Harvey has not thrown more than four innings over his last four starts. If there is a pitcher for the Jays’ offense to build some confidence around, it’s him.
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.
Key injuries
Blue Jays: A.J. Cole RP (Out), Danny Jansen C (Out), George Springer OF (Out).
Orioles: Chris Davis IF (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Blue Jays are 1-7 SU in their last eight during game three of a series. Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Orioles.
Moneyline pick
At this point in the season, the Jays’ bullpen is beyond bad. They have given up the most runs over the last month and even with Toronto's ace getting the ball, the Orioles are still a threat to put up runs after hanging 14 runs in the first two games of the series.
Despite Harvey being on the mound, the Orioles' offense is one to get behind as they have scored 21 runs over the last four games but have managed just a single win. All Harvey has to do is get it to the fourth or fifth inning with the score reasonably close and it will be considered a success.
The Jays’ bats have been the only thing to keep this team afloat this month, having scored 23 runs over the last six games. However, walking away with just one win over that stretch is not an accomplishment.
It doesn’t matter how good the Toronto ace throws, as long as he has one of the worst bullpens behind him, making the -222 line seem like a bargain bin banger. The Toronto bullpen is 3-10 SU over the last 30 days with 5.40 ERA and is a unit we can’t trust regardless of how good Ryu throws. Yes, the Jays’ offense is stacked up and down the lineup but if you’re new to the Toronto game you know you have to be prepared for the Jays’ biggest Achilles heel.
It feels a little dirty taking the Orioles in this spot, but the price is right.
PREDICTION: Baltimore (+170)
Over/Under pick
The three-game set has already seen 25 total runs across its first two games as the AL East showdown has been anything but a pitching duel. You know the bats are hot when Ryu has a total of 10.
With the play of the Toronto bullpen, does it really matter how good Ryu throws? If the Blue Jays’ relievers allowed five-plus runs over two or three innings we wouldn’t be surprised at this point. There's literally no combination that manager Charlie Montoyo can throw out in the late innings that give us confidence in the Under.
Taking the Over also lets us back a Blue Jays offense that may be one of the most exciting one-through-nine lineups that Over backers can enjoy. What the bullpen lacks, the offense makes up for.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the league in long bombs with 23 and is running a very tight MVP campaign. The combination of Vlad Jr. and the Toronto bullpen is an Over gold mine.
Harvey likely won’t see the fourth or fifth inning and the Jays’ No. 3 offense should pile on runs after hanging a 10 spot yesterday. A flat 10 isn’t as high as it seems when we're comfortable with both teams hitting five runs each.
PREDICTION: Over 10 (-110)
Blue Jays vs Orioles betting card
- Baltimore (+170)
- Over 10 (-110)
Picks made on 6/20/2021 at 7:30 a.m. ET
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