Blue Jays vs Orioles Picks and Predictions: Bats Do More Damage in Finale

We've seen 25 runs scored across the first two games of this series and even with Toronto ace Hyun Jin Ryu on the mound, we're expecting a lot more offense today. Find out if Baltimore can escape with a win in the finale in our Blue Jays vs. Orioles picks.

Posted: Jun 20, 2021 11:22 AM ET Updated: Jun 20, 2021 12:15 PM ET Est Time: 4 min
Trey Mancini Baltimore Orioles MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

In a battle of two teams who are struggling to pick up victories, the Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles do battle on Sunday afternoon in the final game of a three-game set. 

Toronto snapped a five-game losing streak with a 10-7 win on Saturday thanks to a six-run ninth inning that sent the Orioles to their ninth loss in their last 10 games. The Jays opened as a -222 road favorite for the finale, with the total opening at a flat 10.

Here are our free MLB betting picks and predictions for Blue Jays vs Orioles on Sunday, June 20.

Blue Jays vs Orioles game info

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Date: Sunday, June 20, 2021
Time: 1:05 p.m. ET
TV: MASN, Sportsnet

Blue Jays vs Orioles odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Compare MLB odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Covers Writer Icon

MLB sharp money and line movement report

By Patrick Everson

Toronto hit FanDuel's odds board as a healthy -200 favorite Saturday night, peaked at -215, bottomed out at -178 and is -186 at 12:15 p.m. ET, less than an hour before first pitch. Moneyline action is practically all Blue Jays, at 90 percent of bets and 96 percent of dollars, and bettors are hitting Toronto runline -1.5 at almost the same rate. The total toggled between 10 and 9.5 a few times, then rose to 10.5 flat (-110), with 59 percent of bets/78 percent of money on the Over.

Check out the full line movement for this game

Blue Jays vs Astros betting preview

Starting pitchers

Hyun Jin Ryu (5-4, 3.43 ERA): Despite yesterday’s win, the Jays need their ace to get down and dirty and collect a second straight win for a team that has just three wins across its last 10. Ryu has allowed three or more runs in three of his last four starts and the Korean southpaw has won just once in his last three trips to the mound. 

Matt Harvey (3-8, 7.76 ERA): If we had something nice to say about the former Dark Knight, this would be the spot. Unfortunately for us, we have to hit the fade wagon on the right-hander. Harvey has not thrown more than four innings over his last four starts. If there is a pitcher for the Jays’ offense to build some confidence around, it’s him.

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Blue Jays: A.J. Cole RP (Out), Danny Jansen C (Out), George Springer OF (Out).
Orioles: Chris Davis IF (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Blue Jays are 1-7 SU in their last eight during game three of a series. Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Orioles.

Moneyline pick

At this point in the season, the Jays’ bullpen is beyond bad. They have given up the most runs over the last month and even with Toronto's ace getting the ball, the Orioles are still a threat to put up runs after hanging 14 runs in the first two games of the series.

Despite Harvey being on the mound, the Orioles' offense is one to get behind as they have scored 21 runs over the last four games but have managed just a single win. All Harvey has to do is get it to the fourth or fifth inning with the score reasonably close and it will be considered a success. 

The Jays’ bats have been the only thing to keep this team afloat this month, having scored 23 runs over the last six games. However, walking away with just one win over that stretch is not an accomplishment.

It doesn’t matter how good the Toronto ace throws, as long as he has one of the worst bullpens behind him, making the -222 line seem like a bargain bin banger. The Toronto bullpen is 3-10 SU over the last 30 days with 5.40 ERA and is a unit we can’t trust regardless of how good Ryu throws. Yes, the Jays’ offense is stacked up and down the lineup but if you’re new to the Toronto game you know you have to be prepared for the Jays’ biggest Achilles heel. 

It feels a little dirty taking the Orioles in this spot, but the price is right.

PREDICTION: Baltimore (+170)

Over/Under pick

The three-game set has already seen 25 total runs across its first two games as the AL East showdown has been anything but a pitching duel. You know the bats are hot when Ryu has a total of 10.

With the play of the Toronto bullpen, does it really matter how good Ryu throws? If the Blue Jays’ relievers allowed five-plus runs over two or three innings we wouldn’t be surprised at this point. There's literally no combination that manager Charlie Montoyo can throw out in the late innings that give us confidence in the Under.

Taking the Over also lets us back a Blue Jays offense that may be one of the most exciting one-through-nine lineups that Over backers can enjoy. What the bullpen lacks, the offense makes up for.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the league in long bombs with 23 and is running a very tight MVP campaign. The combination of Vlad Jr. and the Toronto bullpen is an Over gold mine.

Harvey likely won’t see the fourth or fifth inning and the Jays’ No. 3 offense should pile on runs after hanging a 10 spot yesterday. A flat 10 isn’t as high as it seems when we're comfortable with both teams hitting five runs each.

PREDICTION: Over 10 (-110)

Blue Jays vs Orioles betting card

  • Baltimore (+170)
  • Over 10 (-110)

Picks made on 6/20/2021 at 7:30 a.m. ET

MLB parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s MLB Blue Jays vs. Orioles picks, you could win $41.55 on a $10 bet?

Use our MLB parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on MLB odds?

You can bet on MLB odds at every online and casino sportsbook, including MLB moneylines, runlines, Over/Under totals, and a ton of MLB prop odds. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on MLB odds in your area.

Popular Content

Covers Contests Icon

Free Contests

Test your handicapping skills for a chance to win over $200,000 in prizes
Play free contests
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo