The Los Angeles Dodgers own a 2-1 series lead after a marathon victory in Game 3, which resulted in every bullpen arm being used.
Thus, both starters will be asked to go deep into tonight's ball game, and I expect Shane Bieber to go long enough to go Over his strikeouts prop.
Find out why with my free Blue Jays predictions and MLB picks for this October 28 matchup.
Blue Jays predictions for World Series Game 4
| Pick | |
|---|---|
| Bieber Over 4.5 strikeouts | -135 |
| • Bieber Over 4.5 strikeouts • Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases • Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 strikeouts |
+525 |
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Blue Jays World Series Game 4 best bet: Bieber Fever
Shane Bieber Over 4.5 strikeouts (-135 at BET99)
It’s been a mixed bag for Shane Bieber in the postseason so far, only pitching into the fifth inning once; however, his career numbers against this Dodgers lineup should give him confidence to give his team length in a massive game.
The Dodgers' current lineup has 58 at bats against Bieber throughout his career, and the Toronto Blue Jays starter has limited them to a .190 average and just a .579 OPS.
Bieber has also registered 20 strikeouts against the Dodgers roster, giving him a 34% K-rate. This is the market I’m focusing on for tonight’s best bet. The total is set at 4.5, a number he's exceeded in back-to-back postseason starts.
As for the Dodgers, they’ve been striking out 9.8 times on average per game.
Bieber’s put-away pitch is his slider, which garnered a 37.6% whiff rate this season with a .175 opponent batting average. L.A. had a 32.6% whiff rate against that pitch with a 25% strikeout rate.
If Bieber can locate his fastball to set up the slider late in counts, he should get some swing and miss tonight to rack up the Ks.
Today’s Blue Jays Game 4 same-game parlay (SGP)
Shane Bieber Over 4.5 strikeouts
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 strikeouts
We'll continue betting on Vladimir Guerrero's bat until it goes cold. He had another two-hit performance last night, hitting the Over on his total bases prop for the ninth time this postseason. He’s also 3-for-8 with a homer and a double against Shohei Ohtani, who is L.A.’s expected starter.
Vladdy has only struck out once in this series and just four times all postseason, posting an impressive 6.2% K-rate in October.
Live Blue Jays odds for today
How to watch Blue Jays Game 4
| Location | Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA |
| Date | Tuesday, October 28, 2025 |
| First pitch | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Rogers Sportsnet |
| Blue Jays starting pitcher | Shane Bieber (1-0, 4.38 ERA) |
| Dodger starting pitcher | Shohei Ohtani (2-0, 2.25 ERA) |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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