The Toronto Blue Jays are trying to accomplish a rare feat, and I’m not talking about winning the American League East.
I’m, of course, talking about winning a series in Tampa Bay. The pesky Rays eked out a 2-1 win last night, so now the Jays will try one more time to earn that elusive series win by handing the ball to Chris Bassitt on September 18.
Bassitt is in another one of his grooves, and my Blue Jays predictions like him to keep spinning it in this matinee matchup.
Blue Jays predictions for September 18
- Best bet
Bassitt u5.5 hits allowed
(-125 at BetVictor) - SGP pick
Bassitt u5.5 hits allowed
Guerrero Jr. o1.5 total bases
Diaz u0.5 hits
(+675 at BetVictor)
Today’s Blue Jays best bet: Bassitt hound
Chris Bassitt Under 5.5 hits allowed (-125 at BetVictor)
One of the reasons the Toronto Blue Jays are marching towards their first AL East title in a decade is that the starting pitching has been excellent in the second half, and Chris Bassitt has certainly been doing his part.
The veteran righty is sporting a 2.30 ERA while striking out 31 batters in 27 1/3 innings pitched over his last five starts. It’s no fluke — Bassitt is limiting opposing hitters to a .175 batting average and a 2.56 FIP during that period.
I’m going to back the Jays' hurler to keep dealing in this matchup against the Tampa Bay Rays. Tampa Bay has struggled to produce in the second half of the season. It enters this game ranked 23rd in batting average and 24th in OPS while having the third-highest strikeout rate since the All-Star break.
Bassitt has a hits allowed prop sitting at 5.5, and he's kept opponents Under that number in four straight games and in six of his last eight overall.
Today’s Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)
Chris Bassitt Under 5.5 hits allowed
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 hits
One guy who won’t be happy to know Chris Bassitt is dealing is Rays' first baseman Yandy Diaz.
While Diaz is a great hitter, Bassitt has consistently tied him in knots over the years. Diaz is just 2-for-14 with four strikeouts in 15 career plate appearances vs. the Blue Jays starter. That works out to an ugly .118 expected batting average and a .140 expected slugging.
On the other side of the spectrum is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. The Jays’ star slugger, who ranks in the 100th percentile in expected batting average, has great career numbers vs. Rays’ starter Shane Baz.
Vladdy is 5-for-13 with a dinger vs. Baz. Let’s take Guerrero to get into one of those Baz fastballs for extra bases and go Over 1.5 total bases.
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Live Blue Jays odds for today
How to watch the Blue Jays today
| Location | George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, FL |
| Date | Thursday, September 18, 2025 |
| First pitch | 1:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | Rogers Sportsnet |
| Blue Jays starting pitcher | Chris Bassitt (11-8, 3.90 ERA) |
| Rays starting pitcher | Shane Baz (9-12, 5.15 ERA) |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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