Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB First Inning Predictions for Saturday, April 11

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 11, 2026 , 09:07 AM ET • 4 min read

See why Quinn Allen is calling for first-inning fireworks in Philly today when the Diamondbacks take on the Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Taijuan Walker MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Philadelphia Phillies pitcher Taijuan Walker.

The Philadelphia Phillies and Arizona Diamondbacks meet today, with two starters taking the hill who have been underwhelming so far.

That matchup headlines my favorite MLB picks for today in the "no run first inning" and "yes run first inning" markets.

Here are my best NRFI bets and YRFI bets for Saturday, April 11.

Best NRFI/YRFI bets today

Pick Odds
Diamondbacks/Phillies - YRFI -113
Marlins/Tigers - NRFI -135
White Sox/Royals - NRFI -120
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Diamondbacks at Phillies: YRFI (-113)

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies continue their three-game set this afternoon, and we could see lots of runs.

Brandon Pfaadt gets the ball for Arizona, and he’s compiled a 6.75 ERA so far. The righty allowed a run in the first inning in his last start vs. Atlanta, and while the Phillies lost 5-4 on Friday, they scored all four runs in the first. 

As for the D-Backs, they’re up against Taijuan Walker, and he has an ERA over 9.00 so far. He’s given up seven first-inning runs across his first two starts, allowing three to the Rockies and four to the Nationals.

  • Time: 1:05 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: FS1

Marlins at Tigers: NRFI (-135)

The Miami Marlins send Janson Junk to the mound today, and he’s looked solid so far. The righty has a 3.09 ERA and a perfect 2-0 NRFI record.

Junk has come out and found a rhythm early, and that will be key against a Detroit Tigers team that has scored six times in the first this season. 

As for the Tigers, Casey Mize takes the hill, and he also has a 2-0 NRFI record through two outings. It’s important to note that Miami’s lineup has never faced Mize outside of Otto Lopez, and they’ve only scored once in the first inning in this young 2026 season.

  • Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Marlins.TV, DSN

White Sox at Royals: NRFI (-120)

We’re looking at two teams who have struggled immensely at the dish in the first.

The Chicago White Sox are hitting just .140 in the opening inning, and they’ve had five NRFI. They’re also up against Michael Wacha, who has a 0.69 ERA so far, and has yet to allow a run in the first. 

As for the Kansas City Royals, they have 14 NRFI this year and are struggling to get it going offensively out of the gates. White Sox starter Erick Fedde also owns a 1-0 NRFI record.

Both of these clubs are towards the bottom of the majors in overall runs scored as well.

  • Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: CHSN+, Royals.TV

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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