With Rory McIlroy falling back to the pack, it’s shaping up to be a Sunday Funday ahead of the final round of the 2026 Masters at Augusta National.
After jumping out to a historic 36-hole lead and claiming top spot as the betting favorite in the Masters odds, McIlroy now finds himself in a crowded race at the top of the board — setting the stage for another historic final round on Sunday.
Here are my top Masters picks ahead of Round 4.
Best Masters Round 4 predictions
| Golfer | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | To win | 36¢ +178 |
| Winning Score: -13 to -15 | Yes | 46¢ +117 |
| Wyndham Clark | Top 20: No | 39.5¢ +153 |
Outright pick: Rory McIlroy to win (+178/36¢)
This is a fair price ahead of the final round, as Rory McIlroy has struggled off the tee and hit just 21 of 42 fairways through three rounds.
I’m expecting his best driving performance on Sunday, and the defending champ also ranks fifth in true strokes gained tee-to-green and ninth in putting.
Playing in the final group is also an advantage. After McIlroy left Bryson DeChambeau in the dust last year, I expect him to pull away from Cameron Young and the rest of the field.
Winning score: -13 to -15 (+117/46¢)
Augusta National showed its teeth on the second nine Saturday, and the greens should play even firmer and faster during Round 4.
We’ll still see plenty of birdies, but players are going to make bogeys, and par will prove to be an excellent score.
This is a soft price, as McIlroy and Young would need to shoot a five-under 67 to push the winning score beyond -15, and I don’t think Sam Burns has a 66 in the bag on Sunday.
Wyndham Clark Top 20: No (+153/39.5¢)
Considering Wyndham Clark entered the week 80th in this field in true strokes gained putting, it shouldn’t have been surprising to see him lose 2.79 strokes on the greens while carding three bogeys on the second nine Saturday.
Additionally, an amazing eagle on the third hole saved an otherwise underwhelming round.
Clark sitting 10th in true strokes gained tee-to-green is also going to prove unsustainable on Sunday, which will put even more pressure on his work on the greens. Look for him to be leapfrogged on the leaderboard.
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Live Masters odds at Kalshi
Masters favorites heading into Round 4
- Rory McIlroy (+178/36¢)
- Cameron Young (+270/27¢)
- Sam Burns (+809/11¢)
- Shane Lowry (+1513/6.2¢)
- Justin Rose (+1900/5¢)
Not intended for use in MA.
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