We've all heard Brooks Koepka's comments about Matthew Wolff, right?
🚨🐺🔫 #SHOTS FIRED — Brooks Koepka was asked about the “Brotherhood” of @SmashGC saying: “well, there’s only three of us on our team” leaving out the fourth member of Smash GC, Matthew Wolff. 👀 @TrackingKoepka
— NUCLR GOLF (@NUCLRGOLF) October 14, 2023
(Via: @ProGolfCritic)
pic.twitter.com/WPVfe3Kuku
Well, that team chemistry will be put to the test in LIV's season finale this week: the LIV Golf Team Championship at Trump National Doral.
Check out Smash GC's chances and who the actual favorites are in our LIV Golf Team Championship betting preview below, including golf odds and free golf picks.
Odds to win LIV Golf Team Championship
| Golfer |  |
 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 Aces | +330 | +350 |
| Crushers | +400 | +400 |
| RangeGoats | +450 | +400 |
| Torque | +500 | +550 |
| Stinger | +1,000 | +900 |
| Fire Balls | +1,100 | +1,100 |
| Ripper | +1,400 | +1,600 |
| Smash | +1,600 | +1,600 |
| Majesticks | +2,800 | +2,500 |
| Cleeks | +2,800 | +2,500 |
| Hy Flyers | +3,500 | +3,500 |
| Iron Heads | +3,500 | +4,000 |
Odds courtesy as of Oct. 17, 2023.
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Trump National Doral course notes
Miami’s Trump National Doral hosts the LIV Golf Team Championship for the second consecutive year. Doral is a Par-72, 7,725-yard track most recently re-designed by Gil Hanse in 2014.
This is an absolute beast of a course that's often regarded as one of the most difficult tracks to play in professional golf. To me, that will greatly benefit the likes of Brooks Koepka, Dustin Johnson, and Bryson DeChambeau as those guys have plenty of experience playing in low-scoring tournaments with major championship vibes.
LIV Golf Team Championship picks and predictions
Smash Golf Club to win outright (+1,600)
I just referenced Brooks Koepka above, and I think he can lead Smash GC up the ladder and to the championship on Sunday. This number is so long purely because they don't have a bye. They'll need to win on Friday and Saturday to even have a chance on Sunday.
With that said, if anyone in this field can do it, it’s the Koepka-led team. Koepka is coming off his win at Jeddah (where I picked him to win at 18/1, humble brag), which marked his second win of the season and third win on LIV Golf.
That ties him with Cameron Smith and Talor Gooch for the most in LIV’s short history. He’s in great form, particularly his iron play, which is essential for success at Doral. You need to hit greens here and that's no easy task on this course. On LIV this season, Koepka is T7 in greens in regulation percentage (GIR%).
Add to the fact that five-time major champion Brooks Koepka should thrive in a low-scoring event, and Smash GC could make a run this week. It’s also worth noting that they finished third here last season.
A huge part of that third-place finish was the play of Jason Kokrak, who led the team with a 68 on Sunday at Doral. This season, Kokrak ranks even higher than Brooks in GIR% (fifth).
If Kokrak and Koepka replicate their success, then this team will be live in the final round, even with the likely poor play we'll get from Chase Koepka and Matthew Wolff.
Pick: Smash Golf Club to win outright (+1,600 at DraftKings — 0.5 units)
LIV Golf Team Championship event format
The LIV Golf season finale is a team tournament, so stay with me here as I break it down. In Friday’s quarterfinals, eight teams compete in a match-play format. Those four winning teams advance to Saturday’s semifinals, where they take on the four teams that earned a bye (4Aces, Crushers, Torque, and RangeGoats).
Saturday’s semifinals are also match-play format. Sunday’s finals then bring back all the “eliminated” teams to compete in a stroke-play competition using individual scoring from each of the players (so all 12 squads are golfing).
With that said, only the four winning teams from Saturday’s semifinals can finish between 1-4 on Sunday while the four winning teams from Friday’s quarterfinals that lost on Saturday are competing for 5-8 and then the rest are battling it out for 9-12. The payout structure is the incentive to finish higher in your placement bracket.
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LIV Golf recent winners and odds history
Let's take a look at some recent LIV Golf winners and their closing odds to win:
| Event | Golfer | Closing odds |
|---|---|---|
| Jeddah (October 2023) | Brooks Koepka (3) | +1,600 |
| Chicago (September 2023) | Bryson DeChambeau (2) | +1,100 |
| Bedminster (August 2023) | Cameron Smith (3) | +1,000 |
| Greenbrier (August 2023) | Bryson DeChambeau | +1,400 |
| London (July 2023) | Cameron Smith (2) | +900 |
| Andalucia (July 2023) | Talor Gooch (3) | +1,600 |
| Washington (May 2023) | Harold Varner III | +2,000 |
| Tulsa (May 2023) | Dustin Johnson (2) | +1,200 |
| Singapore (April 2023) | Talor Gooch (2) | +1,600 |
| Adelaide (April 2023) | Talor Gooch | +2,500 |
| Orlando (April 2023) | Brooks Koepka (2) | +4,000 |
| Tucson (March 2023) | Danny Lee | +8,000 |
| Mayakoba (Feb. 2023) | Charles Howell III | +4,000 |
Odds courtesy of GolfOdds.
