The Genesis Invitational runs Feb. 19-22 at The Riviera Country Club. Below is our full best-bets card for the week (outright + top finish + matchup + prop + FRL).
For odds movement, course breakdown, and round-by-round updates, bookmark our The Genesis Invitational betting hub.
Best bets card: Our top plays for the Genesis Invitational
| Bet | Player |  |
Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Outright | Scottie Scheffler | +300 | World No. 1 brings an unmatched statistical profile to a perfect course fit |
| Top 20 | Max Homa | +175 | 2021 winner has five straight Top 20s at Riviera |
| Matchup | Matt Fitzpatrick Over Chris Gotterup | -118 | Gotterup will be making Riviera debut after losing true strokes putting in three straight events |
| FRL | Xander Schauffele | +2500 | Elite +2.02 true strokes gained per round at Riviera and fired a 66 and 65 to finish T4 in 2024 |
| Sleeper | Tony Finau | +8000 | Checks the course history box and paced field in putting at Pebble last week |
Odds courtesy of BetMGM as of February 18.
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Outright winner pick
Scottie Scheffler (+300)
The World No. 1 has carded 19 consecutive Top 10s with seven wins, and The Riviera Country Club is the perfect fit for his elite ball-striking and complete game.
- Course Fit: Scheffler checks all the statistical boxes to succeed at Riviera
- Recent Form: Followed up win with T3-T4 to start 2026 season
- Market Value: Scheffler had a shorter price in a similar field last week
Risk: You need to commit multiple units to back the favorite.
Top 20 finish pick
Max Homa (+175)
The 2021 Genesis winner has gained true strokes across the board at Riviera while posting five consecutive Top 20s. Homa is a horse for this course.
- Market Fit: Ho-hum current form has Homa a popular long shot
- Key Stat: Field leader in true strokes gained (minimum 24 rounds)
Risk: No Top 20s through three 2026 starts
Matchup & head-to-head bet
Matt Fitzpatrick over Chris Gotterup (-118)
Chris Gotterup will be making his debut at Riviera, and he’s lost true strokes putting in three consecutive events, while Fitzpatrick is here for the fifth time and ranks fifth in this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green, third on approaches, and fifth in driving accuracy.
- Matchup Advantage: Course knowledge favors Fitzpatrick, with rookies often struggling at Riviera
- Key Stat: Gotterup has lost true strokes putting in three straight events
Risk: Gotterup already has a pair of 2026 wins.
First-round leader bet
Pick 1: Xander Schauffele (+2500)
Heading to Riviera for the eighth time, and Xander Schauffele carded a 66 and 65 to finish T4 in the 2024 edition.
- Market Fit: Priced below the top tier despite proven course success
- Key Stat: +2.02 true strokes gained per round at Riviera
Risk: Schauffele hasn’t been in top form to start the season.
Top sleeper pick
Tony Finau (+8000)
With consecutive Top 20s at Riviera, in addition to two more runner-ups (2021 and 2018), this track sets up for the six-time PGA Tour winner.
- Market Fit: Odds aren’t fully pricing in his track record of success here
- Key Stat: Paced the field in true strokes gained putting last week
Risk: Last Top 10 was in the 2025 Genesis at Torrey Pines
Why these bets fit Riviera Country Club
- As one of the most predictive courses on the PGA Tour, track record counts at Riviera
- Elite tee-to-green play, including distance off the tee, wins here
- Navigating the Poa Annua greens is a must, so strong putting can't be ignored
- Scottie Scheffler is perfectly positioned to win at Riviera this week
Genesis Invitational budget watch
- Betting Scottie Scheffler means a significant investment at the top
- Additional outright bets are low-stakes, high-reward longshots
Stake Level: Betting card is still being assembled.
