After a statistical deep dive, I’m betting World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler to win the 2026 Cadillac Championship at Trump National Doral this week.
Scheffler’s short odds mean the rest of my Cadillac Championship picks need to be sleepers and longshots from down the board, and Sahith Theegala headlines the trio set to take on the notorious Blue Monster.
Cadillac Championship sleeper picks
Picks were made on 4-27 at 3:45 p.m. ET.
Cadillac Championship sleeper predictions
Sleeper pick to win: Sahith Theegala
+6000 at BetMGM
With eight Top 25s through 12 events, there’s a lot to like about Sahith Theegala consistently putting himself in the mix this season.
I also particularly value his two best finishes, a T6 at the Arnold Palmer and T7 at the Farmers, because they were both at similarly long and demanding tracks.
If the driver cooperates, Theegala has the game throughout the rest of his bag to string together four solid rounds and contend.
Sleeper pick to win: Alex Smalley
+8000 at BetMGM
While I’m not convinced Alex Smalley has the chops to break through for his first PGA Tour win in a Signature Event at Doral, his game has my attention more than most of the players down the odds board.
Still, Smalley is 14th in this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green and 11th on approach across his past seven events while also gaining in the other three metrics.
Sleeper pick to win: Ryan Fox
+10000 at BetMGM
A two-time winner in the past calendar year, Ryan Fox gained true strokes across the board during his T16 showing at the RBC Heritage, and he’s got the length to tackle Doral.
Obviously, while Fox is +10000 for a reason, his four consecutive Top 25s to start the 2026 season are also encouraging, alongside him ranking above average in both adjusted scoring average and bogey avoidance, in addition to seventh in Par-4 scoring average on Tour this season.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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