Cadillac Championship Odds, Picks and Predictions 2026: Cameron Young Reigns

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker β€’ Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: May 3, 2026 , 04:45 PM ET β€’ 4 min read

Your one-stop shop for Cadillac Championship predictions, picks, and results.

Pictured: From left to right: Collin Morikawa, Scottie Scheffler, and Jake Knapp, who feature in the 2026 Cadillac Championship odds.

Last updated: Sunday, May 3 at 4:30 p.m. ET.

β›³Cadillac Championship: Key takeaways

  • Outright winner: Cameron Young (+1200) – Young shot an opening-round 64 and never looked back, finishing at 19-under and winning by six strokes.

  • Runner-up: Scottie Scheffler – The pre-tournament favorite opened with a 71 and never managed to close the gap with Young, but still golfed well throughout the weekend.
  • Best round: Young was one of four golfers to shoot an 8-under 64 over the weekend. Kurt Kitayama did it on Friday, while both Adam Scott and Sahith Theegala had the best rounds on Sunday.
  • Course: The Blue Monster is a demanding, water-lined test characterized by its 7,739-yard length and brutal finishing hole.

  • Weather: Early forecasts call for mostly sunny and warm conditions until likely rain and thunderstorms during Sunday's final round.

  • 36-hole Cut: This is a Signature Event without a cut following 36 holes of play, and the entire field will play all four rounds.

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Cadillac Championship results and opening odds

The Cadillac Championship ran from April 30 to May 3 at Trump National Doral. Below are the final results, accompanied by the opening odds to win.

Golfer Opening odds Scores
πŸ₯‡1 Cameron Young +1200 64 | 67 | 70 | 68 (-19)
πŸ₯ˆ2 Scottie Scheffler +325 71 | 67 | 69 | 68 (-13)
πŸ₯‰3 Ben Griffin +5000 70 | 70 | 68 | 68 (-12)
T4 Adam Scott +4000 76 | 71 | 66 | 64 (-11)
T4 Sepp Straka +5500 70 | 73 | 68 | 66 (-11)
T4 Si Woo Kim +3000 70 | 68 | 69 | 70 (-11)
T7 Alex Noren +8000 74 | 69 | 66 | 69 (-10)
T7 Alex Smalley +8000 65 | 71 | 73 | 69 (-10)
T9 Kurt Kitayama +4500 76 | 64 | 72 | 67 (-9)
T9 Alex Fitzpatrick +15000 72 | 66 | 74 | 67 (-9)
T9 Rickie Fowler +5000 69 | 70 | 72 | 68 (-9)
T9 Matt McCarty +9000 69 | 70 | 69 | 71 (-9)
T9 Nick Taylor +12500 66 | 70 | 72 | 71 (-9)

Check out the full Cadillac Championship field.


Best bets card

  • ❌ Outright: Scottie Scheffler (+300): I can’t look past Scheffler heading to Miami with consecutive solo-seconds to reaffirm he’s the clear-cut best player in this field – and I’d argue it’s by a considerable margin.

  • ❌ Outright: Jake Knapp (+2800): If there’s a box, Knapp checks it, and he also ranks second in adjusted scoring average for the year.

  • ❌ Top 20: Sahith Theegala (+180): With eight Top 25s through 12 events this season, there’s a lot to like about Theegala consistently putting himself in the mix this season. 

  • βœ… Top 30: Ryan Fox (+140): Driving distance and long-iron play are strengths, and Fox just finished T16 while gaining true strokes across the board in the RBC Heritage.

  • βœ… Top 30: Alex Smalley (+105): With five Top 30s across his past seven events while ranking 14th in this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green, I'm expecting Smalley to play well again this week.

Why I'm betting Scottie Scheffler this week

After a morning and afternoon of digging deep, I can’t look past Scottie Scheffler heading to Miami with consecutive solo-seconds to further affirm he’s the clear-cut best player in this field — and I’d argue it’s by a considerable margin.

Plus, he’s had a week off to hit the reset button to recharge and refocus after passing on the Zurich Classic last week.

Additionally, when taking a step back, there’s also a historical significance to conquering Doral that carries additional weight. Tiger Woods won four times on this track, and as Scheffler begins to build his own resume, it’s hard to disassociate the two.

Woods and Scheffler have both won at the following famed tracks:

  • Augusta National 
  • TPC Sawgrass
  • Muirfield Village
  • Bay Hill
  • TPC Scottsdale

Scottie adds Doral to this list this week.

Your mileage may vary, but I’m happy to back Scheffler against the field with a significantly higher wager this week, so I highly encourage checking the odds in the “Without Scheffler” markets if looking past him.

My betting card is not looking past the World No. 1, and I'm adding sleepers and longshots down the odds board to round out my picks.


Course breakdown: What wins at Trump National Doral?

The Blue Monster at Trump National Doral is among the most demanding tracks on the planet.

A 2014 renovation by architect Gil Hanse on the Dick Wilson design transformed the course into a massive and penalizing 7,739-yard layout characterized by expanded water hazards, relocated bunkers, and "island-like" greens, creating a strategic risk/reward environment. 

To score on Doral, players need to execute through the bag while balancing aggressive play alongside disciplined course management. 

Historical data from PGA and LIV events shows that while bombers like Bryson DeChambeau have an advantage on the long Par 5s and Par 4, accuracy is also critical to navigate water hazards or Hanse's signature deep bunkers. 

Coastal winds can also leave their mark on golfers’ scorecards.

The thick Bermuda rough and steep green-side run-offs demand elite scrambling skills and place a premium on hitting greens in regulation and avoiding squares on the card. Previous winners have succeeded tee-to-green and capitalized on scoring opportunities when they presented themselves because the margin for error is small around Doral.

  • Lengthy 7,739-yard layout places a premium on driving distance and long-iron play
  • Precision throughout the bag is required to avoid extensive water hazards and deep bunkers
  • Bermuda greens with run-offs and thick rough are a tough test for players’ short games
  • Notorious No. 18 is one of the hardest finishing holes on the planet
  • Bogey avoidance is paramount

Players to watch

  • Scottie Scheffler: The betting favorite consistently wins and contends on difficult tracks and has the distance and long-iron play to tame the Blue Monster.

  • Collin Morikawa: While driving distance isn’t a true strength, Morikawa’s accuracy and tee-to-green precision will play at Doral.

  • Adam Scott: A winner here in 2016, Scott has the ball-striking prowess and experience at this track to overachieve this week.

Key stats & player profiles to target

  • True strokes gained on approach and greens-in-regulation percentage
  • Bogey avoidance
  • True strokes gained off the tee and total driving
  • Scrambling and true strokes gained around the green
  • Proximity from 200+ yards

Players to watch

  • Cameron Young: Playing at an elite level, Young’s distance and tee-to-green prowess and ability to avoid bogeys are a fit for Doral.

  • Si Woo Kim: The tee-to-green game is never in question, and Kim’s improved short game in 2026 has led to fewer squares on the card.

Outright bets

Pick 1: Scottie Scheffler to win (+300)

The betting favorite consistently wins and contends on difficult tracks and has the distance and long-iron play to tame the Blue Monster. Scottie Scheffler also paces this field in true strokes gained tee-to-green and true strokes gained around the green in 2026.

  • Course Fit: There isn't a player on the planet better suited for Doral
  • Recent Form: Consecutive solo-seconds and 16 wins since the beginning of 2024
  • Key Stat: No. 1 in adjusted scoring average and bogey avoidance on Tour

Risk: Scheffler winning the first time playing a course hasn't been a calling card.

Pick 2: Jake Knapp to win (+2800)

If there’s a box, Jake Knapp checks it. He’s 12th in total driving on the PGA Tour this season, and he’s third in driving distance and 11th in this field in true strokes off the tee. It has set him up for five Top 10 finishes in nine events, and he’s gained true strokes on approach in each of his past three tournaments. 

  • Course Fit: Doral demands the length Knapp brings in spades
  • Recent Form: True stokes gained in all metrics in 2026
  • Key Stat: Ranks second in adjusted scoring average this season

Risk: Knapp’s lone PGA Tour win was in the 2024 Mexico Open.


Best top finishing position bets

Pick 1: Sahith Theegala to finish Top 20 (+180)

With eight Top 25s through 12 events, there’s a lot to like about Sahith Theegala consistently putting himself in the mix this season. I also particularly value his two best finishes, a T6 at the Arnold Palmer and a T7 at the Farmers, because they were both at similarly long and demanding tracks.

  • Course Fit: Theegala has proven capable of succeeding at difficult tracks
  • Recent Form: Eight Top 25s in 12 events in 2026
  • Key Stat: Ranks 14th in adjusted scoring average on tour this season.

Risk: Theegala's driver can go wayward for stretches.

Pick 2: Ryan Fox to finish Top 30 (+140)

A two-time winner in the past calendar year, Ryan Fox gained true strokes across the board during his T16 showing in the RBC Heritage, and he’s got the length to tackle Doral. 

  • Course Fit: Driving distance and long-iron play are strengths
  • Recent Form: Rebound in RBC Heritage is encouraging
  • Key Stat: Ranks seventh in Par 4 scoring this season

Risk: Missed consecutive cuts before T14 in the RBC Heritage.

Pick 3: Alex Smalley to finish Top 30 (+105)

While I’m not convinced Alex Smalley has the chops to break through for his first PGA Tour win in a Signature Event at Doral, his game has my attention, so I expect another strong finish.

  • Course Fit: Distance will challenge his otherwise well-rounded game
  • Recent Form: Five Top 30s across past seven events
  • Key Stat: 14th in field in true strokes gained tee-to-green across past seven events

Risk: Limited experience in Signature Events and major championships.


Odds movement & market notes

In no way was I surprised to see Scottie Scheffler listed as the largest liability while taking the highest ticket percentage and betting handle at BetMGM. Golf bettors often look to the top of the board, after all.

Chris Gotterup slotting in as the second-largest liability definitely caught my attention, though.

While he checks all the boxes, his lone Top 10 since winning in early February was a T6 in a watered-down field at the Houston Open, and it’s also incredibly tough to win three times in a single season.

Additionally, there was enough action on Min Woo Lee for his odds to drop from an opening +3500 to +3000 at the shop. 

Similar to Gotterup, I don’t think we’re catching Lee at the right time. He followed up his missed cut in the Masters with a discouraging T60 in the RBC Heritage, and ranked 65th in this field in true strokes gained putting and 51st in driving accuracy across the two events.


How to watch & tee times

How to watch:

  • Thursday-Friday: 2-6 p.m. ET (Golf Channel)
  • Saturday-Sunday: 1-3 p.m. ET (Golf Channel), 3-6 p.m. ET (CBS)

Tee times:


Cadillac Championship betting FAQ

When is the 2026 Cadillac Championship?

The 2026 edition of the Cadillac Championship will be played from Thursday, April 30, to Sunday, May 3.

Where will the 2026 Cadillac Championship be played?

The 2026 Cadillac Championship will be played at Trump National Doral's Blue Monster Course in Miami, Florida.

Who is the 2026 Cadillac Championship favorite?

The betting favorite to win the 2026 Cadillac Championship is World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler at BetMGM.

What are the Cadillac Championship FRL markets?

First Round Leader (FRL) markets center around which team(s) will be in the lead following the first 18 holes of the tournament.

How do Cadillac Championship matchup bets work?

When betting Cadillac Championship matchups, you're selecting which golfer will score better between the two golfers listed in that specific market. There are 18-hole, single-round matchups, in addition to tournament-long, 72-hole matchups.

What is the Cadillac Championship cut line?

The Cadillac Championship does not feature a cut, and the limited 72-player field will play all 72 holes of this Signature Event.

Are Cadillac Championship odds the same across all sportsbooks?

You'll see slight variations in odds across sportsbooks for the Cadillac Championship; it's always good practice to check multiple sports betting sites for the best odds.

Pages related to this topic

Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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