Opening Game Favorite Chase 246-7 for 2009

Thanks WLIP.  I will look into those plays and include them in my spreadsheet if needed for more info going forward.  I have a very busy job where I often don't have access to the computer and/or covers prior to games going off, so miss some of the lines that climb above -150.  If people notice those types of games feel free to post them here.  I really don't want to inflate anything to anyone.  I backtested this to 2006 and posted as much info as I could here.  I have never ran this system for a season and have been trying to post the plays and collect as much data as possible so in seasons to come we can make this as profitable as can be.  If this system ended up 250-10 I think we would end with a pretty profitable season and we should be up a lot more than 24U.  I will do my best to keep track of the units using martingale and aggressive labby from here on out.  I am posting new lines starting tonight so everyone can follow along more easily.  Things may get hairy like they were a week ago or so but the lines bounced back and got us almost all of our losses back.

The charts are apparantely hot right now, my last 5 plays have produced wins of +125,+210,+190,+245, and +200, hope somebody caught that with me.

Panoma-  Just wondering what charts you are talking about?  I want to sign up for charts that are that hot and kicking out positive juice like that.  Are you talking about the same system where 'Game-One-Heavy-Favorite-Is-Bound-To-Win-At-Least-One-Game-In-The-Series'.....or you talking about a different system?

He is talking about his system.  He has another thread in systems and strategies.  It is a 7 game grand martingale system where he tends to play a lot of alternate run lines.  He has been doing very well.

Looking forward to today's plays. 

Plays for 5/11:

System record 55-3-1

Additional series 3-0-0

Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

Series #62 (G2) 7:10                was @ NYM  -130

*Series #63 (G2) 8:05                fla @ CHC  -113   

Series #64 (G1) 7:05           SEA -157 @ bal            8

*Series #65 (G1) 8:05            oak @ TEX -170          9.5

*Series #66 (G1) 8:10             cws @ MIN -170          9

Series #67 (G1) 8:15              hou @ STL -210, RL     7.5

Series #xx (G1) 10:15            sd @ SF -145  ---series if closes above -150, opened at -136

OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

 

**meet o/u filter of 9+

 

TR diffs(for reference only)

Series Prices (for future reference only)

 

Game 1 wins =39

Game 2 wins = 11

Game 3 wins = 5

*Losses = 3 , -42.6U (Martingale)

+48.6U aggressive labby (today won 10, lost 30)

x-5-20-x

5-5-5-20

5-5-5-5

Want to express extreme caution regarding the seattle play as 2 of the system losses have come from playing on away teams.  To make it even worse SEA is 29th ranked away team.

Team rankings                                               Series prices 

SEA (29, 97.4) @ bal (24, 98.2) = -5, -0.8           SEA -145

oak (23, 98.3) @ TEX (13, 100.8) = +10, +2.5      TEX -200

cws (21, 98.6) @ MIN (8, 101.6) = +13, +3.0        MIN ??

hou (28, 97.5) @ STL (3, 103.1) = +25, +5.6        STL -350

sd (13, 100.3) @ SF (4, 102.5) = +9, +2.2           SF -190

TEX, MIN, STL strongest plays based on these potential filters

 

Rizz-  Somewhere in all those stats do you have the Game One won/loss broken down by home team and road team?

As I said in my response to DJ's post yesterday, I do like the system, but these 5 Favs scare me today. 

St. Louis is heavy juice and the low scoring nature of this game makes the RL a tough argument for me.    Myers looking better than he has in a few years. 

Not sure if I trust Seattle because they've burned you guys before and...well...they are Seattle (12-19 vs. 9-23)

SD is just very good in general, and always seem to play San Fran tough. 

I think Minnesota is a 2-game series...for what its worth. 

Favs would need to go 4-1 to make tonight worth the while with this lineup, cause I don't trust the likes of Texas/Seattle/San Fran in chase games if they lost tonight.  I wish you good luck and appreciate all your hustle/efforts on this, but I think I'm jumping ship.  Probably going with all 5 dogs...maybe grab a 2-3 and hope for a 3-2.  

As for the Metropolitans and Cubs....I'll still be on those to turn around last night's losses. 

Best of luck to you.....(oh yeah- that broad in your picture is ridiculously hot.  I'm gonna have to go back through the old posts and find that girl's name...I know you threw it out there previously.) 

 

 

 

Missed the MIN series was a 2 gamer so it doesn't qualify officially.  It looks as SF will not close above 150, but people should consider playing it as this is a revenge series for SF.

Here are the numbers

Away teams (13-2)

Game 1 = 6 - 9

Game 2 = 5 - 4

Game 3 = 2 - 2

Losses = 2

 

Home Teams (42-1)

Game 1 = 33-10, 76.7%

Game 2 = 6-4, 60%

Game 3 = 3 -1, 75%

6-9!  Wow...that is dirty.  Considering the system plays only strong favorites (not just 'leans')....to go 6-9 in that first game is not pretty.  Almost makes me want to flip the system to take every +135 home dog in Game One of a 3 or 4 game series. (or at least until the records even out...or better yet, the favorites come back to a 60% or higher win percentage in that first game of the series.)

Thanks for putting those numbers up so quick.

Further substantiates the notion that the road teams are not doing us any favors this year.  I am personally backing off of them, but will continue to record all the plays so we can have as much info moving forward.

my charts are extremely hott, check my thread, six straight high RTR wins in a row, no one else makes the plays i make, check my record.

Panoma- Where do I find your chart/system/rationale.  I did see your thread on the 7-play system but wasn't sure if that is what you are talking about.  I didn't see any hard info on how you come up with the picks.  Unless I missed it (I did skim through many threads over the last few days very quickly, to be honest), I just saw a lot of positive juice Alt RunLine picks and couldn't figure out the thought process to get the pick. 

Thanks. 

Plays for 5/11:

System record 57-3-1

Additional series 3-0-0

Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

Series #62 (G2) 7:10                was @ NYM  -130   

*Series #63 (G2) 8:05                fla @ CHC  -113    

Series #64 (G1) 7:05           SEA -157 @ bal           

*Series #65 (G1) 8:05            oak @ TEX -170          9.5

Series #67 (G1) 8:15              hou @ STL -210, RL    

   

OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)       

 

**meet o/u filter of 9+

 

TR diffs(for reference only)

Series Prices (for future reference only)

 

Game 1 wins =40

Game 2 wins = 12

Game 3 wins = 5

*Losses = 3 , -42.6U (Martingale)

+48.6U aggressive labby (today won 10, lost 30)

x-x-x-x     (won 25, lost 30, one game pending)

x-5-19-x     (won 25, lost 28.25)

5-5-5-19

Thats the leverage, dont try to figure it out, just hop on board, let me do the thinking, but to give you a little food for thought.  Technical analysis, fundamental analysis, situational analysis equals wins, moreso, high RTR wins(+$), great value

love it when my book had SF -152.  looked at other sites and  never got that high...oh well

Jake,

I don't think SF is a bad play.  It is a revenge sweep in John Morrison's system.  All of the lines for the system were based on backtesting according to pinnacles lines.  I am chasing SF because of the JM system but it doesn't technically qualify.  We have some big game 2's today and one game 3 today.  If you look at the labby lines we have more on the game 2's than game 3.  Hopefully we clear them all today.

yes Rizz, lets get em today

Plays for 5/12:

System record 57-3-1

Additional series 3-0-0

Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

*Series #63 (G3) 2:25                fla @ CHC  -123    

*Series #65 (G2) 8:05               oak @ TEX -143       

Series #67 (G2) 8:15                 hou @ STL -174   

   

OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)       

 

**meet o/u filter of 9+

 

TR diffs(for reference only)

Series Prices (for future reference only)

 

Game 1 wins =40

Game 2 wins = 12

Game 3 wins = 5

*Losses = 3 , -42.6U (Martingale)

+43.6U aggressive labby updated 5/12

5-5-5-41     

x-5-55-x    

5-5-5-19

Cubbies finally

Plays for 5/12:

System record 59-3-1

Additional series 3-0-0

Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

*Series #63 (G3) 2:25                fla @ CHC  -123    

*Series #65 (G2) 8:05               oak @ TEX -143        

Series #67 (G2) 8:15                 hou @ STL -174   

   

OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)       

 

**meet o/u filter of 9+

 

TR diffs(for reference only)

Series Prices (for future reference only)

 

Game 1 wins =40

Game 2 wins = 13

Game 3 wins = 6

*Losses = 3 , -42.6U (Martingale)

+41.8U aggressive labby updated 5/12 (today -18)

5-5-5-41     

x-x-x-x-51       (won 60, lost 102)

x-5-56-x       (won 24)

Plays for 5/13:

System record 59-3-1

Additional series 3-0-0

Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

Series #67 (G3) 1:40                 hou @ STL -220, RL  

*Series #68 (G1) 8:40           was @ COL -190, RL 9.5

   

OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)       

 

**meet o/u filter of 9+

 

TR diffs(for reference only)

Series Prices (for future reference only)

 

Game 1 wins =40

Game 2 wins = 13

Game 3 wins = 6

*Losses = 3 , -42.6U (Martingale)

+41.8U aggressive labby updated 5/12 PM

5-5-5-41     

x-x-x-x-51      

x-5-56-x