Opening Game Favorite Chase 246-7 for 2009

is it game g3 for the Dodgers also?

Why cant we seem to win any G2 games?  Big card tonight.

Plays for 5/6:

System record 48-2-1

Additional series 3-0-0

Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

Series #56 (G3) 7:05       CHC -150 @ pit        

Series #57 (G3) 10:10     mil @ LAD -125 

Series #58 (G1) 8:05       kc @ TEX -150          9       -1.8

Series #59 (G1) 8:10       bal @ MIN -250, RL   10      +6.7

Series #60 (G1) 8:10       tor @ CWS -190        8.5       -5.3

OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   3-0

 

**meet o/u filter of 9+

why these crap teams are favored giving juice is beyond me.  Please see previous posts on risks of playing 2 vs 3 game chase.

 

TR diffs(for reference only)

Series Prices (for future reference only)

 

Game 1 wins =35

Game 2 wins = 11

Game 3 wins = 2

*Losses = 2 , -27.8U

*units lost reflects playing all games on the ML martingale for 3 games, not recommended*

Couple of points guys.  Please work your labby lines, as we have hit a rough patch for sure.  We swept the board last round of games then are getting killed by these.  The aggressive labby takes more intestinal fortitude but it can absorb these streaks.

--The o/u filter would have removed all of these series, if you are playing that way

--This and my other system are backtested only.  I have never done this for a season before.  I want to collect as much data as I can so we can develop some great filters to bring us future successes.  I encourage everyone to play Kreatture's systems.  I will be playing them and they are backtested, season proven, and have developed effective filters--- his system is where we want to get this one to.

Cubs didn't want us to sweat it out tonight.  Thanks for nothing you worthless pieces of shit!

wow...cubs blow

Wow they scored a run...what a team..Those Cubs

Plays for 5/7:

System record 50-3-1

Additional series 3-0-0

Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

*Series #59 (G2) 8:10       bal @ MIN -224, RL  

Series #60 (G2) 8:10       tor @ CWS -110     

Series #61 (G1) 10:05     TB -153 @ oak      7.5      ?

Series #62 (G1) 7:05        STL -215 @ pit      8       ?   

OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   3-0

#4    7:05   (G1)    atl @ PHI -124           10

#5    7:05   (G1)   NYY @ bos -107           9

 

**meet o/u filter of 9+

why these crap teams are favored giving juice is beyond me.  Please see previous posts on risks of playing 2 vs 3 game chase.

 

TR diffs(for reference only)

Series Prices (for future reference only)

 

Game 1 wins =36

Game 2 wins = 11

Game 3 wins = 3

*Losses = 3 , -27.8U+

*units lost reflects playing all games on the ML martingale for 3 games, not recommended*

Rizz, I know it doesn't quite meet the O/U criteria (currently the projected O/U is 8) but it nonetheless might be an option to look at RL on the St.Louis game (especially given the heavy juice and the fact that Pitt is currently ranked 30th in terms of defense).I might put a small amount on it as well as the ML, for what it's worth

BOL

Losses are coming no matter what you do. Nothing is a 100 percent. Keep trying and manage your money well, and you can still go on to play another day.

GL Rizz.

Like we have said before the true test will be how well we handle the losses and bounce back.  Work your labby lines.  Some of these teams just really piss me off.  CHC were favored, were coming off a road sweep, and pit was coming off of being swept at home.  It seems everytime it is stacked up so favorably it ends up losing????

quasi

I play anything above 190 on the RL.  I just realized I accidentally placed a game 3 wager on tex lad and chc.  That is the first lucky thing that has happened to me in a few days.

Guys,

I have been looking at the losses in both of my systems.  I am seeing some situations that are causing us problems.  For example in our CHC loss we were playing on a team ranked in the bottomw 10 away teams on home rankings obviously there opponent was also ranked low but I am thinking we should make those types of teams as fade only. 

The series concerning this go round is TOR at CWS.  TOR is a strong play in my sweep chase system as TOR is the 2nd ranked road team with CWS 19th ranked home team.  These are the type of series that can give us trouble plus TOR is coming off a road sweep.  This series also does not meet the o/u filter.  Please proceed with caution.  I played on TOR based on these numbers in game 1.  Was going to chase on CWS tonight but want to make sure everyone is as informed as possible.  I think with these types of filters we can really hone in on good series to play!

INFO for tonights series:

team (TR rank, rating)           SP =  series price

TB (1, 109.9) @ oak (12, 101.1) = +11, +8.8          SP= TB -190

STL (7, 101.4) @ pit (18, 99.5)  = +11, +1.9           SP= STL -300

 

atl (25, 97.9) @ PHI (7, 101.7) = +18, +4.2             SP PHI -220

NYY (3, 103.4) @ bos (14, 101.0) = +11, +2.4        SP = bos-125

Plays for 5/7:

System record 51-3-1

Additional series 3-0-0

Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

*Series #59 (G2) 1:10       bal @ MIN -224, RL ---PPD 

Series #60 (G2) 8:10       tor @ CWS -110         

Series #61 (G1) 10:05     TB -153 @ oak             pending

Series #62 (G1) 7:05        STL -215 @ pit       

OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

#4    7:05   (G1)    atl @ PHI -124          

#5    7:05   (G1)   NYY @ bos -107         

---Please see my posts above about the CWS series, not playing it, proceed with caution.

**meet o/u filter of 9+

 

TR diffs(for reference only)

Series Prices (for future reference only)

 

Game 1 wins =37

Game 2 wins = 11

Game 3 wins = 3

*Losses = 3 , -27.8U+

*units lost reflects playing all games on the ML martingale for 3 games, not recommended*

How about those cubs tonight, what a bunch of A holes!

Rizz, have all three losses so far been on road favorites?  I can't remember.  Maybe 2 of 3?  Maybe we should concentrate more on the home favorites and not against any of the top road teams.  Just a thought.  

Yah, gotta love it - reminiscent of our 'friends' the Red Sox - (Asshole Exibit Part B), when they suddenly looked like a @#$@#$ All Star team the very next night after getting swept (by, at the time, the worst team in Baseball - Balt).

Definitely a good idea to look at some additional filters as noted, Rizz. I think the Power Rankings will be of much better use when they stabilize (once teams get over that 40+ games played plateau) and should assist in improving our winning percentage

Good point CS, we looked at this before.  Last year road series would have been 32-2, around 33-1 or so the two years prior to that.  So far this season we are 13-2 on road series.  These would be a good choice to skip as well.  These plays are not adding much value.  We lost on BOS and CHC on the road.  SEA lost at home.

Plays for 5/7:

System record 52-3-1

Additional series 3-0-0

Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

*Series #59 (G2) 1:10       bal @ MIN -224, RL ---PPD 

Series #60 (G2) 8:10       tor @ CWS -110         

Series #61 (G1) 10:05     TB -127 @ oak            

Series #62 (G1) 7:05        STL -180 @ pit       

OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

#4    7:05   (G1)    atl @ PHI -124          

#5    7:05   (G1)   NYY @ bos -107         

---Please see my posts above about the CWS series, not playing it, proceed with caution.

**meet o/u filter of 9+

 

TR diffs(for reference only)

Series Prices (for future reference only)

 

Game 1 wins =38

Game 2 wins = 11

Game 3 wins = 3

*Losses = 3 , -27.8U+

*units lost reflects playing all games on the ML martingale for 3 games, not recommended*

Plays for 5/7: System record 52-3-1 Additional series 3-0-0 Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff           *Series #59 (G2) 1:10       bal @ MIN -224, RL ---PPD  Series #60 (G2) 8:10       tor @ CWS -110          Series #61 (G1) 10:05     TB -127 @ oak             Series #62 (G1) 7:05        STL -180 @ pit        OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0 #4    7:05   (G1)    atl @ PHI -124           #5    7:05   (G1)   NYY @ bos -107          ---Please see my posts above about the CWS series, not playing it, proceed with caution. **meet o/u filter of 9+   TR diffs(for reference only) Series Prices (for future reference only)   Game 1 wins =38 Game 2 wins = 11 Game 3 wins = 3 *Losses = 3 , -27.8U+ *units lost reflects playing all games on the ML martingale for 3 games, not recommended*

Plays for 5/8:

System record 52-3-1

Additional series 3-0-0

Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

*Series #59 (G2,3) 1:10, 8:10       bal @ MIN -?? 

Series #60 (G3/4) 7:05              tor @ CWS -130           

OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

 

---Please see my posts above about the CWS series, not playing it, proceed with caution.

**meet o/u filter of 9+

 

TR diffs(for reference only)

Series Prices (for future reference only)

 

Game 1 wins =38

Game 2 wins = 11

Game 3 wins = 3

*Losses = 3 , -27.8U+

*units lost reflects playing all games on the ML martingale for 3 games, not recommended*

whats up rizz, been away for a bit but back now.....the record is great regardless of using martinggale or not...52-3, well technically 52 - 9 (if not counting 3 losses for 1 system loss)  even if you jjust bet that straight up, im sure you would still be up a couple grand....have u ever considered just betting straight up, u can still chase but ur just not doubling your losses

MM,

I think the straight up play would be 52-26.  Still pretty good.  Yea, I have backed off some on the chases to 3 games as they can kill the bankroll.  I have been playing an aggressive 3 line labby that gets my losses back quickly.  Playing straight up or one line labby would work also.  Also started posting some optional series that are similar to what you were doing where try to find good value lines on good teams to chase.  I am basing it mostly off of teamrankings and pitching matchups, so far so good. welcome back