Can someone explain to me how to bet this system, I bet some of them last week and lost. do you bet on the Fav. or the Dog and do you buy points either way?
Thanks Deb
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Quote Originally Posted by jesterr:
NFL week 9 predictions. No HFA added.
Miami
New England
21
25
Green Bay
Tampa
Bay
34
13
Kansas City
Jacksonville
22
18
Houston
Indianapolis
18
25
Baltimore
Cincinnati
24
22
Arizona
Chicago
23
22
Washington
Atlanta
6
49
Detroit
Seattle
17
24
Carolina
New
Orleans
16
64
Tennessee
San
Francisco
16
31
San Diego
N.Y.
Giants
36
26
Dallas
Philadelphia
32
21
Pittsburgh
Denver
12
21
Can someone explain to me how to bet this system, I bet some of them last week and lost. do you bet on the Fav. or the Dog and do you buy points either way?
Can someone explain to me how to bet this system, I bet some of them last week and lost. do you bet on the Fav. or the Dog and do you buy points either way?
Thanks Deb
No system is 100%, they only suggest and you should know how to capped your game.
What I do is read this thread, the game thread, other thread and knowledge of the teams.
Last week, Balt game was showing under, I know that Balt games are mostly under. I took the under.
The Detroit game was showing under, I know those 2 teams does not have offense so, again, I took the under.
Min game was showing the over, with Min is favor, I know Mini is a better team than GB, Farve homecoming and Min game is usual hi scoring game. Min + Over.
Like I said, you have to cap your own game, dont bet on the number, it a tool for prediction, not a sure or lock device.
Last night, the college game did show BG will win while being under dog, if you read that thread, there was a tip from and insider that a high roller was placing big money on the GB and the OV.
We all are predicting future event, I know that you will not lose if you dont bet.
GL on all your games
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Quote Originally Posted by ASSPHALTCOWGIRL:
Can someone explain to me how to bet this system, I bet some of them last week and lost. do you bet on the Fav. or the Dog and do you buy points either way?
Thanks Deb
No system is 100%, they only suggest and you should know how to capped your game.
What I do is read this thread, the game thread, other thread and knowledge of the teams.
Last week, Balt game was showing under, I know that Balt games are mostly under. I took the under.
The Detroit game was showing under, I know those 2 teams does not have offense so, again, I took the under.
Min game was showing the over, with Min is favor, I know Mini is a better team than GB, Farve homecoming and Min game is usual hi scoring game. Min + Over.
Like I said, you have to cap your own game, dont bet on the number, it a tool for prediction, not a sure or lock device.
Last night, the college game did show BG will win while being under dog, if you read that thread, there was a tip from and insider that a high roller was placing big money on the GB and the OV.
We all are predicting future event, I know that you will not lose if you dont bet.
No system is 100%, they only suggest and you should know how to capped your game.
What I do is read this thread, the game thread, other thread and knowledge of the teams.
Last week, Balt game was showing under, I know that Balt games are mostly under. I took the under.
The Detroit game was showing under, I know those 2 teams does not have offense so, again, I took the under.
Min game was showing the over, with Min is favor, I know Mini is a better team than GB, Farve homecoming and Min game is usual hi scoring game. Min + Over.
Like I said, you have to cap your own game, dont bet on the number, it a tool for prediction, not a sure or lock device.
Last night, the college game did show BG will win while being under dog, if you read that thread, there was a tip from and insider that a high roller was placing big money on the GB and the OV.
We all are predicting future event, I know that you will not lose if you dont bet.
GL on all your games
Thank you for the reply, I think it's best for me to leave this one alone since I don't understand it one bit.
Thanks Deb
0
Quote Originally Posted by nguyenhd:
No system is 100%, they only suggest and you should know how to capped your game.
What I do is read this thread, the game thread, other thread and knowledge of the teams.
Last week, Balt game was showing under, I know that Balt games are mostly under. I took the under.
The Detroit game was showing under, I know those 2 teams does not have offense so, again, I took the under.
Min game was showing the over, with Min is favor, I know Mini is a better team than GB, Farve homecoming and Min game is usual hi scoring game. Min + Over.
Like I said, you have to cap your own game, dont bet on the number, it a tool for prediction, not a sure or lock device.
Last night, the college game did show BG will win while being under dog, if you read that thread, there was a tip from and insider that a high roller was placing big money on the GB and the OV.
We all are predicting future event, I know that you will not lose if you dont bet.
GL on all your games
Thank you for the reply, I think it's best for me to leave this one alone since I don't understand it one bit.
I have been quietly following this thread. Thank you for all your input - it is great. I know you have been asked 1,000 times, but could you send me the spreadsheet for this system. My email address is in my profile.
Thanks
Quote Originally Posted by VGPOP:
WEEK 9 PREDICTIONS
Kansas City 21 Jacksonville 20
Baltimore 23 Cincinnati 22
Houston 17 Indianapolis 24
Washington 6 Atlanta 40
Green Bay 36 Tampa Bay 12
Arizona 22 Chicago 23
Miami 20 New England 28
Carolina 17 NewOrleans 58
Detroit 17 Seattle 25
Tennessee 16 SanFrancisco 30
San Diego 36 NY Giants 24
Dallas 31 Philaldephia 21
Pittsburgh 13 Denver 20
0
Hey VGPOP,
I have been quietly following this thread. Thank you for all your input - it is great. I know you have been asked 1,000 times, but could you send me the spreadsheet for this system. My email address is in my profile.
just wanna make sure my numbers match...SOS is from usa today shedl column...please let me know if im on the right track. also HFA im using is also from usa today....thanks in advanced.
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okay guys this is what i got for todays NCAA
E Mich (SOS 66.74) 10 N Ill (SOS 62.02) 41
Miami Ohio (SOS 72.14) 10 Temple (SOS 63.88) 28
Va Tech (SOS 77.46) 35 ECU (SOS 66.25) 20
just wanna make sure my numbers match...SOS is from usa today shedl column...please let me know if im on the right track. also HFA im using is also from usa today....thanks in advanced.
Ok so I think I might tease this game. temple-11.5 over 36.5 What do you think??
I think if you are betting 6 point teasers on Temple-MiamiOH games on Thursday nights you are going to be very broke, very fast.
My personal opinion is that you NEVER bet teasers. A lot of smart people may disagree with that and think that teasers have their place in a winning strategy, but I am sure even those people would agree that Temple-Miami is not the spot to start.
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Quote Originally Posted by KaraMel:
Ok so I think I might tease this game. temple-11.5 over 36.5 What do you think??
I think if you are betting 6 point teasers on Temple-MiamiOH games on Thursday nights you are going to be very broke, very fast.
My personal opinion is that you NEVER bet teasers. A lot of smart people may disagree with that and think that teasers have their place in a winning strategy, but I am sure even those people would agree that Temple-Miami is not the spot to start.
Hey rough & VG .. What are you coming up with on the VT ECU game for this evening ??? I got VT at -13 .. Is this a play ??
I believe this is a play due to that per the system Va Tech is at -13 and they are +13 per the line that make the line advantage to 26. corrct me if im wrong guys...hope this is right...
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Quote Originally Posted by Jsan:
Hey rough & VG .. What are you coming up with on the VT ECU game for this evening ??? I got VT at -13 .. Is this a play ??
I believe this is a play due to that per the system Va Tech is at -13 and they are +13 per the line that make the line advantage to 26. corrct me if im wrong guys...hope this is right...
I think if you are betting 6 point teasers on Temple-MiamiOH games on Thursday nights you are going to be very broke, very fast.
My personal opinion is that you NEVER bet teasers. A lot of smart people may disagree with that and think that teasers have their place in a winning strategy, but I am sure even those people would agree that Temple-Miami is not the spot to start.
I am pretty successful with teasers actually. So I will keep doing them. Thanks for your advice on teasers thou.
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Quote Originally Posted by UsaSurfer:
I think if you are betting 6 point teasers on Temple-MiamiOH games on Thursday nights you are going to be very broke, very fast.
My personal opinion is that you NEVER bet teasers. A lot of smart people may disagree with that and think that teasers have their place in a winning strategy, but I am sure even those people would agree that Temple-Miami is not the spot to start.
I am pretty successful with teasers actually. So I will keep doing them. Thanks for your advice on teasers thou.
Not sure why you would touch the Temple game when it no longer fits the system. Teasing any game decreases your odds of winning, and many bookies love them because they are considered sucker bets. Also to tease Temple down to 11.5 from 17.5 wouldn't be the way to tease the game. Teasing this would keep it still within a 2 score game. From the experts i have read, they say only tease a spread if it increases the number of scores possible to reach the outcome. For example teasing a 3 point game to 9 points makes the spread two scores rather than 1. Just something to think about.
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Kara Mel-
Not sure why you would touch the Temple game when it no longer fits the system. Teasing any game decreases your odds of winning, and many bookies love them because they are considered sucker bets. Also to tease Temple down to 11.5 from 17.5 wouldn't be the way to tease the game. Teasing this would keep it still within a 2 score game. From the experts i have read, they say only tease a spread if it increases the number of scores possible to reach the outcome. For example teasing a 3 point game to 9 points makes the spread two scores rather than 1. Just something to think about.
I have looked at this game for a while today and really a tease on this game would be my only bet for tonight. Just not sure about the weather. I read somewhere that it might be raining. If it does I won't bet any game tonight. Anyway....... Temple has a power rating of -19. You take 19 away from 42.5 and you have 23.5 points left to score. I am comfortable with that as long as it is not raining. Temples offense yppt is 12 miami (on the road tonight) offense yppt is 23.9. That's a difference of 11.9. Temples defense yppt is 15.3 Miami is 32.3 even worse. A lot of points to be scored somewhere tonight and I believe temple by 11.5. More reasons also but have to go to dinner. Be back later.
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I have looked at this game for a while today and really a tease on this game would be my only bet for tonight. Just not sure about the weather. I read somewhere that it might be raining. If it does I won't bet any game tonight. Anyway....... Temple has a power rating of -19. You take 19 away from 42.5 and you have 23.5 points left to score. I am comfortable with that as long as it is not raining. Temples offense yppt is 12 miami (on the road tonight) offense yppt is 23.9. That's a difference of 11.9. Temples defense yppt is 15.3 Miami is 32.3 even worse. A lot of points to be scored somewhere tonight and I believe temple by 11.5. More reasons also but have to go to dinner. Be back later.
Teasing Temple from 17.5 to 11.5 is not a terrible thing, and its certainly tempting, but I promise you that you are not receiving the same value that you are paying for. I won't argue too much on this point though because 6 points can often play a big part in a side.
However one guarantee that I will make extremely adamantly is that if you are adding or subtracting 6 points from any total, you are throwing your money away in the long run. The six points you are adding or subtracting to a total will never impact your pick at a high enough rate to offset the price you are paying.
If you are having long term success teasing college football sides I applaude you. You are obviously good at picking games, and my hunch is that you would be hitting even higher rates if you were just betting those games individually. Go back and check your last 100 bets and see if the 6 point teasers really added value to your bankroll, or if you would be even more successful without them.
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Teasing Temple from 17.5 to 11.5 is not a terrible thing, and its certainly tempting, but I promise you that you are not receiving the same value that you are paying for. I won't argue too much on this point though because 6 points can often play a big part in a side.
However one guarantee that I will make extremely adamantly is that if you are adding or subtracting 6 points from any total, you are throwing your money away in the long run. The six points you are adding or subtracting to a total will never impact your pick at a high enough rate to offset the price you are paying.
If you are having long term success teasing college football sides I applaude you. You are obviously good at picking games, and my hunch is that you would be hitting even higher rates if you were just betting those games individually. Go back and check your last 100 bets and see if the 6 point teasers really added value to your bankroll, or if you would be even more successful without them.
Rhino can I get a copy of the spreadsheet you are using?
sure, just leave your email addy on my playbook comment section of my profile and i will get it out to you...note this is a sheet that i got from here, it might not have the same or updated filters that rough and vgpop...i think this is the original formula...
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Quote Originally Posted by mudshark:
Rhino can I get a copy of the spreadsheet you are using?
sure, just leave your email addy on my playbook comment section of my profile and i will get it out to you...note this is a sheet that i got from here, it might not have the same or updated filters that rough and vgpop...i think this is the original formula...
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