Kreatture's Playbook 2011

Nice call on Iowa, by the way.

Tailed you on Iowa  Your NCAAB has been hot lately! Thanks.

Thanks Dj & Mick. If I could just stay away from the NFL..

I just had a really good personal evening and I'm feelin pretty good. I have a lot of Life things goin on this week but I'll make sure we get back on track here.

BANKROLL: $8,477.07
OVERALL RECORD: 102-113-7  (47.44%)

INVESTED: $58,257.71
RETURNED: $56,734.78
PROFIT: -$1,522.93
ROI %: -2.61%

Mark Sanchez Under 222.5 Passing Yards..
Tom Brady Over 273.5 Passing Yards..
LaDainian Tomlinson Under 62.5 Rushing Yards..

Those were the additional Props I had in the queue ready to hit Submit on, before thinking about how bad the Props were Saturday and remembering I told myself I wouldn't play so many of them again.. coupled with the Wes Welker dropped TD at the end which would have added 12yds (finished 4 short) and it would have been a great Props day. Thinking the Patriots were invincible on their Home Field added a huge 2nd Half lost wager which was unnecessary considering the pending Teaser and In-Game wagers. Football does weird things to my head and I get way too involved in it. It could have been worse..

Another lesson learned, and hopefully I will remember this one. College Hoops saves a little face today, but the NFL really killed me this weekend. Funny, since I ended up 6-2 for the weekend on the Sides and Totals (lost Ravens/Steelers Total & Jets/Patriots Side). I really enjoy the Props bets but I definitely let myself get carried away sometimes.

I have a personal dilemma, a proverbial "fork in the road", so to speak, this upcoming week which has absolutely nothing to do with anything related to here, but my time will be stretched in multiple directions. The best I can say for finding picks is to check just before the typical game starting times (7pm EST). If there's any KHL plays they will be up by 11am EST.

Anyone playing all the picks here EXCEPT the NFL has been doing very well.. I'll provide a Sport-by-Sport Breakdown sometime this week.

Considering my NFL beatdown this weekend, I'm feeling pretty good and positive about the upcoming week. Time for some quality sleep and a fresh start to tomorrow.

The Evolution continues.. 

The Evolution never sleeps bro... We just keep trucking. 

I missed on the Miss St game, I too had life things going on.  And that's the point.  I'm heartened to know you don't live in your parent's basement, doing nothing but studying lines.  As for playing props; well, that is your choice, just as it's ours to tail or not.  If this was a premium service, I would label it as being reckless.  Obviously it is not, so who am I to criticize?

I feel very solid about the Green Bay Futures bet.  They look poised and confident, clicking on every area of their game.

Exactly, right on mick. And that's a good point I need to keep reminding myself day-after-day.. IF this was a Premium Service some of these wagers would be absolutely horrendous. It's a big part of the discipline required for this industry, which I know I possess to a great extent - but lose it completely on certain events from time to time. Right now, I feel I'm focused on everything except NFL. Like I said last night, this Sport does weird things to my head and I often go overboard getting wrapped up in the excitement of the games. It's the one area where I often fail to separate personal emotion (an extreme love of the game) from the business aspect of investing.

Last night was a prime example.. I already had a Teaser pending on a Patriots victory, plus I made a reasonable 5% In-Game wager in the 2nd Quarter, and which point I'm sure everyone still thought New England would still win the game. The Halftime wager was completely ludacris. Again, I was so emotionally involved in the game it fully clouded my better judgement - and I wasn't even drinking!

It's hard enough to survive during a cold streak (which everyone has at some point, no matter how good they are) but it makes things even harder when you also have to account for a "loss of discipline" day or two.

And like you said, it is your choice on whether to tail or not, as this is a Free Service. But I should be treating this 100% as if this is a Premium Service, and quit being so reckless with my own money at times.. 

HaHa, I moved out of my parents place when I was 18 but I know what you mean about those "sheltered" people..     For the past couple of years up til this past Summer I lived with 2 roommates. One is a professional poker player and the other was on the road to becoming a pro poker player while also dabbling in the sports investment business with myself. I also played a lot of poker but was not doing it professionally, altho I believe I could if I really wanted. At that point I received a "normal" job offer in Calgary and had accepted it, so I sold pretty much everything I own except my laptop and clothes and was going to fly out there. A couple weeks later I changed my mind and decided to stay here in Nova Scotia (still open for debate on the verdict of that decision..) but I had already given up my condo so had to find a new place. I actually did crash on my dad's couch for 2 weeks at the end of August until I was able to move into my new (current) place the 1st of September. I accepted a different "normal" job here in town as a Retail Manager for a security firm. Right now, I absolutely hate where I live, and where I work.. which brings me to my current "fork in the road" situation where I am looking at making another change..

I'm still not ready to make the full leap to doing Sports Investing as a career, as evidenced by my periodic lapses of judgement, which I fully own up too.. but I will get there sooner than later. For now, I continue to work in the trenches of the daily 9-5 System and grind with a small bankroll as I strive to gain 100% mental focus of everything in my life.

Now let's kick some Ass today.. 

Oh, mick, I meant to mention as well..

Thanks for the outside perspective, always appreciated.

Cheers 

BANKROLL: $8,477.07
OVERALL RECORD: 102-113-7  (47.44%)

INVESTED: $58,257.71
RETURNED: $56,734.78
PROFIT: -$1,522.93
ROI %: -2.61%

NHL

Boston Bruins  ML (-151)  (OT included)
2% $169.54 to win $112.28

With a home-n-home tonight and tomorrow, we'll back the better home team in the opener.

New Jersey Devils  ML (+105) (OT included)
3% $254.31 to win $267.03

New Jersey is as hot as they've been all season. Good value here against the still lowly Islanders.

San Jose Sharks  ML (+111) (OT included)
1% $84.77 to win $94.09

Sharks hold a signifcant edge in Special Teams here, and a big PP Goal could be the difference. The recent hot streak of Phoenix is the only thing holding this to 1%.

Montreal Canadians  -0.5 (+105) (regulation)
3% $254.31 to win $267.03

Calgary's recent success is rather deceptive if you break the games down. Montreal is the better team and will be tough to beat on home ice.

 

That's it for the NHL today.. will have NBA before 1pm EST.

AUSTRALIAN OPEN

Parley  (+163)
David Ferrer (-500)
Jelena Jankovic (-278)
Nadia Petrova (-164)
1.5% $127.16 to win $207.27

I'm no stranger to Tennis. I've made a lot of money in the past from Live Betting these events. I usually parley the early rounds until the odds get better later on. I'll play it small early on.

NBA

Memphis Grizzlies  -5 (-101)
2% $169.54 to win $167.86

This isn't a play against the Bulls due to Carlos Boozer maybe being out. This is a play against Rose and Bulls due to their emotional, very personal win over Miami. Rose didn't push for LeBron to come to Chicago last off-season cuz he knows he can be the one to lead this team and he had a point to prove last game, which he did very well. It's an afternoon letdown spot for the Bulls against a pretty good Memphis squad on their homecourt right now.

Houston Rockets  -5 (-105)
1% $84.77 to win $80.73

Dallas Mavericks  -4.5 (-102)
4% $339.08 to win $332.43

Dirk is back and the Mavs are desperate for a W. No better chance than today against the lowly Pistons. There are no trends here to suggest the Pistons have a legit shot at the upset so we'll play the short line. The Mavs free throw % from their top guys should be enough to cover in the event of a close game, but I can see them winning outright here by 8-9.

 

That's it except NCAA Basketball, where there will be 2-3 plays in the later games. Will post later..

I smell a good day coming...

and Calgary is an awesome city, should have pulled the trigger on that gamble!

If you ever get a job offer in Ottawa, take it and we'll really start the Evolution! 

I love Halifax.  Dunno about living there, as it is a bit isolated from everything, but what a great city to visit.  Nova Scotia in general, honestly.  My brother lives there, so I have occasion to go from time to time.  Damned long drive, but worth it.

Coincidentally, my other brother lives in Ottawa.  Another excellent city, albeit no CFL team.  

Calgary?  The jury is out.  I lived in Edmonton for two years, and that I would not recommend.  At least with Calgary the Rockies are close.

Why don't you all move to Chicago?  We can go into business together!  LOL

 

You don't have Vegas or Pinny in Chicago! 

True, but you do have Uno Pizza.  My brother in Halifax is in the process of moving to Chicago (new wife).  I went to visit him last March, and had a great time.  

Never been a fan of any of their sports franchises, though!

NCAAB

Pittsburgh Panthers  -6 (-101)
5% $423.85 to win $419.65

Syracuse hasn't played a game outside the New York area yet this year, so this will be their first "true" road game and altho they have a good squad, I think we'll find out they're not the kind of team who will be running deep into March. On the other side, the Pitt Panthers are one of the best teams in the Nation who no one is talking about. They are deep and talented. Oh yeah, they're 50-1 at home in the past 51 games, too. Syracuse will also be without Kris Joseph, their leading scorer. This actually hurts us here since I've been waiting to back Pitt here for a couple weeks now, so we're losing a couple of points to the spread. Even still, I'm confident the Panthers roll over Syracuse in this spot.

Keyed Pitt on Proline because I got them @ -4.5, let's get it!

NBA

Atlanta Hawks  2nd Half -9 (-110)
1% $84.77 to win $77.06

Not a bad start to today.. Mavericks better get their act together, no excuse for them losing this game.
Heard nothing but great things about Calgary, I honestly should have went, but something kept me here.. I'm not sure what tho 

Don't really have much interest in going to Ottawa, but I'm always up for a good business trip!

I don't know what happened to Memphis or Dallas.  I had money on them before I saw you had some, and when I saw you liked both of them I sprinkled a little bit more.  Both teams look like they drank a little too much watching the NFL games yesterday.  Both teams shot way below average from the field.  Chicago and Detroit both have good defense, but not that good.

Good luck with Pitt tonight.  Syracuse is due for a loss.  Like the under in that game too. 

The girl I'm crazy in love with lives in Edmonton right now, going to school.. She comes back home here in a couple of months and I can't freakin wait to see her. Fuck I miss her.. talkin on the phone just doesn't cut it!

I've heard Edmonton sucks too, and I would never move there. Calgary is supposed to be quite nice and I wouldn't be surprised if I ended up there someday..

Totally fucking forgot that there would be afternoon starts because of MLK Day.  Nice NHL plays too.  Oh well.  I'll get in a play on the Habs, and look to the Pitt game to make a good day.  I notice MTP 104 is on this game too.  His picks have been very solid.

Tip of the hat to the Bulls for not having the letdown today. I seem to be on the wrong side of the Bulls a lot lately. Dallas, tho, I have no answer for that pathetic excuse of an "effort".  I guess I'll have to wait until they return home before jumping on them.

3-0 NHL, 2-2 NBA so far.. but only bout even on the day. Not impressed. Screw Dallas. 

Are you OK with Auld in nets for the Habs?  I notice Pouliot is out with the flu as well.  He has been on fire lately