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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Kreatture's Playbook 2011

    «First Previous 262728 ... 596061 Next Last»
    mickjam
    kreatture
    alldayinvestor
    oilcountry99
    kvs23
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 135458
    Posts: 1504
    «First Previous 262728 ... 596061 Next Last»
     
    mickjam
    mickjam
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    Posts: 470
    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 10:17 PM ET #626

    Hmmm.  Not the hyper close games we were hoping for.
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    Hmmm.  Not the hyper close games we were hoping for.
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 10:30 PM ET #627

    Looks like I'm going to go 2-0 on the NFL today but I'll be saddled with a big loss. Stupid plays, I always fall for them in the NFL.. thank god there's only 5 more NFL games left this season.
    Hopefully by the time next Fall rolls around I'll have learned enough to know not to wager on the NFL..

    The only other play tonight will be a Portland 2nd Half play if they don't cover the 1st Half. It will be for 3%
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    Looks like I'm going to go 2-0 on the NFL today but I'll be saddled with a big loss. Stupid plays, I always fall for them in the NFL.. thank god there's only 5 more NFL games left this season.
    Hopefully by the time next Fall rolls around I'll have learned enough to know not to wager on the NFL..

    The only other play tonight will be a Portland 2nd Half play if they don't cover the 1st Half. It will be for 3%
     
    mickjam
    mickjam
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 10:45 PM ET #628

    I still like the parlay, I think the Pats can cover.  The futures play is quite solid too in my opinion.  Both these teams look much more solid than the Bears, esp GB

    Luckily I have GB +3, and had a big play on Pitt/Balty Over. 


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    I still like the parlay, I think the Pats can cover.  The futures play is quite solid too in my opinion.  Both these teams look much more solid than the Bears, esp GB

    Luckily I have GB +3, and had a big play on Pitt/Balty Over. 


     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 11:12 PM ET #629

    NBA

    Portland Trailblazers  2nd Half -9 (-105)
    3% $398.49 to win $379.51
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    NBA

    Portland Trailblazers  2nd Half -9 (-105)
    3% $398.49 to win $379.51
     
    alldayinvestor
    alldayinvestor
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 11:17 PM ET #630

    Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:

    NBA

    Portland Trailblazers  2nd Half -9 (-105)
    3% $398.49 to win $379.51

     

    What book is that kreatture?  It must be Pinny.  Sportsinteraction has it at -115.  There juice is downright awful.  They are probably good ONLY for that live-in game wagering like you signed up for.

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    Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:

    NBA

    Portland Trailblazers  2nd Half -9 (-105)
    3% $398.49 to win $379.51

     

    What book is that kreatture?  It must be Pinny.  Sportsinteraction has it at -115.  There juice is downright awful.  They are probably good ONLY for that live-in game wagering like you signed up for.

     
    oilcountry99
    oilcountry99
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 11:22 PM ET #631

    Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:



    I think I briefly checked them out a couple years ago, but can't remember what I would have liked or not liked. I'll check them out again on your recommendation. It's unlikely I would fund a 4th account right now, but if I do I'll PM you for your referral ID if they give a referral bonus.

    Thanks 

     Very cool, that would be much appreciated, Kreatture you're class act!
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    Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:



    I think I briefly checked them out a couple years ago, but can't remember what I would have liked or not liked. I'll check them out again on your recommendation. It's unlikely I would fund a 4th account right now, but if I do I'll PM you for your referral ID if they give a referral bonus.

    Thanks 

     Very cool, that would be much appreciated, Kreatture you're class act!
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 11:43 PM ET #632

    Quote Originally Posted by alldayinvestor:

     

    What book is that kreatture?  It must be Pinny.  Sportsinteraction has it at -115.  There juice is downright awful.  They are probably good ONLY for that live-in game wagering like you signed up for.



    I clicked it in at Intertops. You're right, I'm not impressed with SI's regular lines. I'd have to say the Live Betting is better than Intertops tho and you can also Live Bet way more games. I could Live Bet the Oilers/Kings NHL game and the Nets/Blazers NBA game right now if I wanted. They have some very interesting Live options.. like an In-Game Total of 7.5 right now in the NHL game.. I'll definitely be logged in every night to see what is available.
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    Quote Originally Posted by alldayinvestor:

     

    What book is that kreatture?  It must be Pinny.  Sportsinteraction has it at -115.  There juice is downright awful.  They are probably good ONLY for that live-in game wagering like you signed up for.



    I clicked it in at Intertops. You're right, I'm not impressed with SI's regular lines. I'd have to say the Live Betting is better than Intertops tho and you can also Live Bet way more games. I could Live Bet the Oilers/Kings NHL game and the Nets/Blazers NBA game right now if I wanted. They have some very interesting Live options.. like an In-Game Total of 7.5 right now in the NHL game.. I'll definitely be logged in every night to see what is available.
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 12:39 AM ET #633

    Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:



    BANKROLL:
    $13,283.03

    OVERALL RECORD: 98-94-7    (51.04%)

    INVESTED: $51,194.09
    RETURNED: $54,477.12
    PROFIT: +$3,283.03
    ROI %: +6.41%


    NFL WINNING MARGINS

    Steelers to win by 01-06  (+335) 
    2% $265.66 to win $889.96

    Ravens to win by 01-06  (+350) 
    1.5% $199.25 to win $697.38

    Packers to win by 01-06  (+300) 
    2% $265.66 to win $796.98

    Falcons to win by 01-06  (+335) 
    1.5% $199.25 to win $667.48

    NFL PROPS

    Will either team score 3 or more consecutive scores?  NO (+143) 
    2% $265.66to win $379.89

    What will happen 1st for Joe Flacco?  Throw an Interception (vs. a TD) (+146) 
    0.5% $66.42 to win $96.97

    Total Rushing Yards for Rashed Mendenhall  OVER 65.5 (-107) 
    1.5% $199.25 to win $186.21

    Will Troy Polamalu Intercept a Pass?  YES (+224) 
    0.5% $66.42 to win $148.78

    NFL FUTURES - NFC CHAMPIONSHIP

    Atlanta Falcons  (+173) 
    3% $398.49 to win $689.39

    Green Bay Packers  (+238)
    3% $398.49 to win $948.41  (pending)

    NFL

    Teaser (+140)
    Pittsburgh Steelers  +4 
    Green Bay Packers  +8.5 
    New England Patriots  -1.5
    4% $531.32 to win $743.85  (pending)


    NBA

    Dallas Mavericks  ML (+245) 
    2% $265.66 to win $650.87

    Miami Heat  ML (+127) 
    3% $398.49 to win $506.08

    Portland Trailblazers  1st Half -5.5 (+100) 
    1% $132.83 to win $132.83

    Portland Trailblazers  2nd Half -9 (-105) 
    3% $398.49 to win $379.51


    NHL


    Columbus Blue Jackets  ML (+170) 
    1% $132.83 to win $225.81



    Rough freakin day.. thankfully it's over. Saturdays have been a nightmare for me.
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    Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:



    BANKROLL:
    $13,283.03

    OVERALL RECORD: 98-94-7    (51.04%)

    INVESTED: $51,194.09
    RETURNED: $54,477.12
    PROFIT: +$3,283.03
    ROI %: +6.41%


    NFL WINNING MARGINS

    Steelers to win by 01-06  (+335) 
    2% $265.66 to win $889.96

    Ravens to win by 01-06  (+350) 
    1.5% $199.25 to win $697.38

    Packers to win by 01-06  (+300) 
    2% $265.66 to win $796.98

    Falcons to win by 01-06  (+335) 
    1.5% $199.25 to win $667.48

    NFL PROPS

    Will either team score 3 or more consecutive scores?  NO (+143) 
    2% $265.66to win $379.89

    What will happen 1st for Joe Flacco?  Throw an Interception (vs. a TD) (+146) 
    0.5% $66.42 to win $96.97

    Total Rushing Yards for Rashed Mendenhall  OVER 65.5 (-107) 
    1.5% $199.25 to win $186.21

    Will Troy Polamalu Intercept a Pass?  YES (+224) 
    0.5% $66.42 to win $148.78

    NFL FUTURES - NFC CHAMPIONSHIP

    Atlanta Falcons  (+173) 
    3% $398.49 to win $689.39

    Green Bay Packers  (+238)
    3% $398.49 to win $948.41  (pending)

    NFL

    Teaser (+140)
    Pittsburgh Steelers  +4 
    Green Bay Packers  +8.5 
    New England Patriots  -1.5
    4% $531.32 to win $743.85  (pending)


    NBA

    Dallas Mavericks  ML (+245) 
    2% $265.66 to win $650.87

    Miami Heat  ML (+127) 
    3% $398.49 to win $506.08

    Portland Trailblazers  1st Half -5.5 (+100) 
    1% $132.83 to win $132.83

    Portland Trailblazers  2nd Half -9 (-105) 
    3% $398.49 to win $379.51


    NHL


    Columbus Blue Jackets  ML (+170) 
    1% $132.83 to win $225.81



    Rough freakin day.. thankfully it's over. Saturdays have been a nightmare for me.
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Posts: 2312
    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 1:26 AM ET #634

    BANKROLL: $9,876.86
    OVERALL RECORD:
    99-107-7  (48.06%)

    INVESTED:
    $55,378.26
    RETURNED:
    $55,255.12
    PROFIT:
    -$123.14
    ROI %:
    -0.22%


    The numbers look worse than they really are. The Teaser is still pending on New England tomorrow and the Future on Green Bay next weekend. If both those hit then the total loss today was only -$784.10 which leaves a total of $12,498.93

    There will be no hedging on either of these plays as I don't feel it is necessary.

    A huge Moose in the Steelers game to start the day. Everything looked great with a tie game and the Steelers driving for a game-winning FG. Even if it went to OT the most either side could win by was 6 and it still would have been a winner. Baltimore made a great goal line stand but unfortunately on the 3rd down run a missed false start on #85 wasn't called and then a holding call on the defense was called when, in fact, there should have been a holding call on the offense. Overall it was a pretty horribly officiated game, but the Steelers did deserve to win it so glad they weren't screwed out of a win at least.

    The Props were horrible, but I still believe the value was there for them. No one expected THAT high scoring of a game so to expect 3 straight scores from one side was debatable. To get +143 on the NO for a game which many thought could be something like 16-13 was good value. Flacco was horrible, as expected, and he definitely threw his INT's. Unfortunately he sneaked in a TD pass early on before all the damage. I thought Mendenhall would be able to bust a couple of runs to the outside, much like his 1st TD run, but he came up a few yards short. And anytime you can get over 3-1 money on arguably the best defender in the League to get an INT against a guy who you know is going to throw a couple, well hey, I'll take that chance anytime.

    No response for the rest of the games.. Miami and Columbus both should have had the W.

    I worked too hard today for what it was worth, again on the NFL. Begone football, I love you more than any other sport, but you keep killing me. It's the one Sport I fail to separate.

    Back to work we go  
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    BANKROLL: $9,876.86
    OVERALL RECORD:
    99-107-7  (48.06%)

    INVESTED:
    $55,378.26
    RETURNED:
    $55,255.12
    PROFIT:
    -$123.14
    ROI %:
    -0.22%


    The numbers look worse than they really are. The Teaser is still pending on New England tomorrow and the Future on Green Bay next weekend. If both those hit then the total loss today was only -$784.10 which leaves a total of $12,498.93

    There will be no hedging on either of these plays as I don't feel it is necessary.

    A huge Moose in the Steelers game to start the day. Everything looked great with a tie game and the Steelers driving for a game-winning FG. Even if it went to OT the most either side could win by was 6 and it still would have been a winner. Baltimore made a great goal line stand but unfortunately on the 3rd down run a missed false start on #85 wasn't called and then a holding call on the defense was called when, in fact, there should have been a holding call on the offense. Overall it was a pretty horribly officiated game, but the Steelers did deserve to win it so glad they weren't screwed out of a win at least.

    The Props were horrible, but I still believe the value was there for them. No one expected THAT high scoring of a game so to expect 3 straight scores from one side was debatable. To get +143 on the NO for a game which many thought could be something like 16-13 was good value. Flacco was horrible, as expected, and he definitely threw his INT's. Unfortunately he sneaked in a TD pass early on before all the damage. I thought Mendenhall would be able to bust a couple of runs to the outside, much like his 1st TD run, but he came up a few yards short. And anytime you can get over 3-1 money on arguably the best defender in the League to get an INT against a guy who you know is going to throw a couple, well hey, I'll take that chance anytime.

    No response for the rest of the games.. Miami and Columbus both should have had the W.

    I worked too hard today for what it was worth, again on the NFL. Begone football, I love you more than any other sport, but you keep killing me. It's the one Sport I fail to separate.

    Back to work we go  
     
    kvs23
    kvs23
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 2:43 AM ET #635

    Hey - I think you added total bankroll number wrong - you should be $1k higher (which is good) - u were 13ish going into today and lost 2.5ish - so you still up overall... good luck tmrw...
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    Hey - I think you added total bankroll number wrong - you should be $1k higher (which is good) - u were 13ish going into today and lost 2.5ish - so you still up overall... good luck tmrw...
     
    kreatture
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 2:58 AM ET #636

    The 2 Pending Wagers tie up $929.81. I've included those 2 wagers in the overall subtraction since those wagers have already been placed.



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    The 2 Pending Wagers tie up $929.81. I've included those 2 wagers in the overall subtraction since those wagers have already been placed.



     
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 3:49 AM ET #637

    Again bro, no need to tease those bad boys, your picks were money. Trust yourself! Good luck tomorrow, we both need a nice bounce back. 
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    Again bro, no need to tease those bad boys, your picks were money. Trust yourself! Good luck tomorrow, we both need a nice bounce back. 
     
    pinoy1da
    pinoy1da
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 4:25 AM ET #638

    you were on Portland today 2half?


    YEEEEEEEE
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    you were on Portland today 2half?


    YEEEEEEEE
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 2312
    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 2:46 PM ET #639

    BANKROLL: $9,876.86
    OVERALL RECORD:
    99-107-7  (48.06%)

    INVESTED:
    $55,378.26
    RETURNED:
    $55,255.12
    PROFIT:
    -$123.14
    ROI %:
    -0.22%


    NCAAB

    Iowa Hawkeyes  +11 (-115)
    2% $197.54 to win $171.77


    NFL PROPS

    NY Jets/New England
    1st Touchdown Scorer?     Julian Edelman (+3300)
    0.25% $24.69 to win $814.77

    It could be Edelman, why not? This will be my fun prop for the game. These will be my serious ones..

    Danny Woodhead Rushing Yards?     Over 29.5 (-161)
    3% $296.31 to win $184.04

    Wes Welker Receiving Yards?     Over 61.5 (-132)
    1.5% $148.15 to win $112.23

    New England Patriots Team Total?     Over 27.0 (-118)
    4% $395.07 to win $334.81


    There's nothing in the NHL or NBA I like tonight.

    Cheers 
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    BANKROLL: $9,876.86
    OVERALL RECORD:
    99-107-7  (48.06%)

    INVESTED:
    $55,378.26
    RETURNED:
    $55,255.12
    PROFIT:
    -$123.14
    ROI %:
    -0.22%


    NCAAB

    Iowa Hawkeyes  +11 (-115)
    2% $197.54 to win $171.77


    NFL PROPS

    NY Jets/New England
    1st Touchdown Scorer?     Julian Edelman (+3300)
    0.25% $24.69 to win $814.77

    It could be Edelman, why not? This will be my fun prop for the game. These will be my serious ones..

    Danny Woodhead Rushing Yards?     Over 29.5 (-161)
    3% $296.31 to win $184.04

    Wes Welker Receiving Yards?     Over 61.5 (-132)
    1.5% $148.15 to win $112.23

    New England Patriots Team Total?     Over 27.0 (-118)
    4% $395.07 to win $334.81


    There's nothing in the NHL or NBA I like tonight.

    Cheers 
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 2312
    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 5:35 PM ET #640

    NFL LIVE IN-GAME

    New England Patriots  ML (-220)
    $500 to win $227.27

    Might not be a cheaper price to grab them than now..

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    NFL LIVE IN-GAME

    New England Patriots  ML (-220)
    $500 to win $227.27

    Might not be a cheaper price to grab them than now..

     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 2312
    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 6:00 PM ET #641

    Well I guess you can definitely get a better price now, haha.

    Will be taking the Patriots 2nd Half.. I'll go down in flames backing these guys today if need be. They are the much, much superior team.

    Expect fireworks..
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    Well I guess you can definitely get a better price now, haha.

    Will be taking the Patriots 2nd Half.. I'll go down in flames backing these guys today if need be. They are the much, much superior team.

    Expect fireworks..
     
    mickjam
    mickjam
    Prospect
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    Joined: Dec, 2006
    Posts: 470
    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 6:08 PM ET #642

    Curious what kind of odds you're getting.  I have Pats +1.5, -120 on bet365, and ML +100 on Sports Interaction
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    Curious what kind of odds you're getting.  I have Pats +1.5, -120 on bet365, and ML +100 on Sports Interaction
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 2312
    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 6:10 PM ET #643

    NFL

    New England Patriots  2nd Half -9.5 (-110)
    10% $987.69 to win $897.90


    Patriots start the Half with the ball..
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    NFL

    New England Patriots  2nd Half -9.5 (-110)
    10% $987.69 to win $897.90


    Patriots start the Half with the ball..
     
    mickjam
    mickjam
    Prospect
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    Joined: Dec, 2006
    Posts: 470
    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 6:10 PM ET #644

    Thise are actually on Live Betting for the gaeme.  2nd half lines blow, still have pats at -9.5 on both sites.
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    Thise are actually on Live Betting for the gaeme.  2nd half lines blow, still have pats at -9.5 on both sites.
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 2312
    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 6:12 PM ET #645

    Quote Originally Posted by mickjam:

    Curious what kind of odds you're getting.  I have Pats +1.5, -120 on bet365, and ML +100 on Sports Interaction


    In the Live Betting window?

    I have Patriots -110 ML on Sports Interaction.. just went to -115
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    Quote Originally Posted by mickjam:

    Curious what kind of odds you're getting.  I have Pats +1.5, -120 on bet365, and ML +100 on Sports Interaction


    In the Live Betting window?

    I have Patriots -110 ML on Sports Interaction.. just went to -115
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 2312
    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 6:16 PM ET #646

    I've logged out of all my sites, so there won't be any more wagers.

    Going to enjoy the 2nd Half in front of the big screen.

    See you later! 
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    I've logged out of all my sites, so there won't be any more wagers.

    Going to enjoy the 2nd Half in front of the big screen.

    See you later! 
     
    mickjam
    mickjam
    Prospect
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    Joined: Dec, 2006
    Posts: 470
    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 6:23 PM ET #647

    Best plan, I think.  Trust Bill to pull a rabbit out of the hat in the 2nd half.
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    Best plan, I think.  Trust Bill to pull a rabbit out of the hat in the 2nd half.
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
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    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 2312
    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 7:22 PM ET #648

    Seen enough of this game. It pisses me off that I have potential to be so great at this and do so well for periods at a time, then give it all back in a span of 24 hours. Always been my problem and now this is the 2nd time I've done it in the past month. Erase 2 days from this and I'm up close to $20,000 total. Discipline is so good for weeks at a time, and then I lose it for 24 hours. It's days like this which reminds me of why I'll never go Pro.

    Oh, and.. Tom Brady's an Asshole.
    Reply
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    Seen enough of this game. It pisses me off that I have potential to be so great at this and do so well for periods at a time, then give it all back in a span of 24 hours. Always been my problem and now this is the 2nd time I've done it in the past month. Erase 2 days from this and I'm up close to $20,000 total. Discipline is so good for weeks at a time, and then I lose it for 24 hours. It's days like this which reminds me of why I'll never go Pro.

    Oh, and.. Tom Brady's an Asshole.
     
    kreatture
    kreatture
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 2312
    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 7:58 PM ET #649

    NCAAB

    Missouri State  -10 (-110)
    $330 to win $300
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    NCAAB

    Missouri State  -10 (-110)
    $330 to win $300
     
     
    mickjam
    mickjam
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    Joined: Dec, 2006
    Posts: 470
    Posted: Jan. 16, 2011 - 8:10 PM ET #650

    Just can't see this Jets team doing anything but getting smoked by Pitt next week.  Pats shot themselves in the foot over and over and still only lost by a touchdown.
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    Just can't see this Jets team doing anything but getting smoked by Pitt next week.  Pats shot themselves in the foot over and over and still only lost by a touchdown.
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