Please see the Top 7 Home Team spreadsheet for all of tonight's details. I do not have the time to post anything here, other than the added plays.
St. Louis -170 to win 1 Unit LA Dodgers -117 to win 1 Unit
Both of these plays are filtered out of the normal System, but will be played towards Recovery. Wins and Losses will not count towards System record, but Units will.
Cheers
0
Please see the Top 7 Home Team spreadsheet for all of tonight's details. I do not have the time to post anything here, other than the added plays.
St. Louis -170 to win 1 Unit LA Dodgers -117 to win 1 Unit
Both of these plays are filtered out of the normal System, but will be played towards Recovery. Wins and Losses will not count towards System record, but Units will.
Good luck Kreature. I followed the Call82 a little to long and have a greatly diminished bankroll or I would be with you. I am focused on 7 game chase for now. We were rollin for a while with the Call as I was up 50 units at the start of May, but then the crash was hard and heavy. I learned my lesson about unproven systems.
0
Good luck Kreature. I followed the Call82 a little to long and have a greatly diminished bankroll or I would be with you. I am focused on 7 game chase for now. We were rollin for a while with the Call as I was up 50 units at the start of May, but then the crash was hard and heavy. I learned my lesson about unproven systems.
I have a tuff time taking STL here. I am sick of teams like this getting favored so high. I don't care who is pitching. They are not hitting right now, and that line seems way to high. They have lost 10 of their last 14 if I'm not mistaken.
The only positive is that they are playing at home and are due for a win, but that is a "hope for the best" type mentality which always seems to lead to a loss for me personally.
GL.
0
I have a tuff time taking STL here. I am sick of teams like this getting favored so high. I don't care who is pitching. They are not hitting right now, and that line seems way to high. They have lost 10 of their last 14 if I'm not mistaken.
The only positive is that they are playing at home and are due for a win, but that is a "hope for the best" type mentality which always seems to lead to a loss for me personally.
I have a tuff time taking STL here. I am sick of teams like this getting favored so high. I don't care who is pitching. They are not hitting right now, and that line seems way to high. They have lost 10 of their last 14 if I'm not mistaken.
The only positive is that they are playing at home and are due for a win, but that is a "hope for the best" type mentality which always seems to lead to a loss for me personally.
GL.
The reason I took St. Louis this series is for today's game, rather than last nights. I'll back Adam Wainwright every day of the week, and twice on Thursdays. He's the best pitcher on this team, and in my opinion, one of the 3 best in the Majors. If your reasoning for picking them today is because they are at home and due for a win, then I probably wouldn't bet on them..
Wainwright at home this season.. 3-0, 1.96era, 0 home runs.
Albert Pujols 4-4 off Nate Robertson.
The thing that scares me about this game is the weather.. the wind is blowing in from right to left at 19mph, and there's rain all over the place. This game could easily be canceled, or at best only get 5 innings in. Because of the juice, this is a RL play at even money.. I am torn to switch this to a ML play or 1st 5..
Remember, this isn't an official series, so I think I can feel all right about changing the parameters a little in a situation like this. I'll decide before game time.
Thanks for your thoughts nole, they are always welcomed here.
Cheers
0
Quote Originally Posted by nolemonasses:
I have a tuff time taking STL here. I am sick of teams like this getting favored so high. I don't care who is pitching. They are not hitting right now, and that line seems way to high. They have lost 10 of their last 14 if I'm not mistaken.
The only positive is that they are playing at home and are due for a win, but that is a "hope for the best" type mentality which always seems to lead to a loss for me personally.
GL.
The reason I took St. Louis this series is for today's game, rather than last nights. I'll back Adam Wainwright every day of the week, and twice on Thursdays. He's the best pitcher on this team, and in my opinion, one of the 3 best in the Majors. If your reasoning for picking them today is because they are at home and due for a win, then I probably wouldn't bet on them..
Wainwright at home this season.. 3-0, 1.96era, 0 home runs.
Albert Pujols 4-4 off Nate Robertson.
The thing that scares me about this game is the weather.. the wind is blowing in from right to left at 19mph, and there's rain all over the place. This game could easily be canceled, or at best only get 5 innings in. Because of the juice, this is a RL play at even money.. I am torn to switch this to a ML play or 1st 5..
Remember, this isn't an official series, so I think I can feel all right about changing the parameters a little in a situation like this. I'll decide before game time.
Thanks for your thoughts nole, they are always welcomed here.
Kreatture, I'm not questioning the parameters of your system, just voicing displeasure with the odds. I think we all overvalue the starting pitcher sometimes. usually at the expense of the pitcher's team offense.
Look at the game so far. Granted it is way early in the game, but Wainwright is already giving up runs. And, Stl needs to score some runs. Hopefully they break out for you today.
BOL.
0
Kreatture, I'm not questioning the parameters of your system, just voicing displeasure with the odds. I think we all overvalue the starting pitcher sometimes. usually at the expense of the pitcher's team offense.
Look at the game so far. Granted it is way early in the game, but Wainwright is already giving up runs. And, Stl needs to score some runs. Hopefully they break out for you today.
We debated about this weekend's optional schedule for the Top 7 Home Team, and after the smoke cleared it has been decided to avoid 3 of these Series and attack 1 aggressively. We're back to a Game 1 on the Runline Blitz and the clear opening favorite is the Dodgers tonight. Despite huge line moves on some teams since last night, LA is without a doubt the play. Also, Arizona is very clearly the 2nd biggest favorite on the day, despite the huge line drop and the increased line on Tampa Bay. The public is really screwed up sometimes..
Click on the Red System Title to get to the spreadsheet.
KREATTURE'S PLAYBOOK - MAY 21ST, 2010
RUNLINE BLITZ
LA DODGERS +126 GAME 1
TOP 7 HOME TEAM
Optional Series for Modified Martingale Only (Recovery)
TEXAS RANGERS -135 GAME 1 of 3 -- see spreadsheet for unit assignment
It would be really nice to clear this tonight, so I can enjoy the long holiday weekend..
Continued Success
0
We debated about this weekend's optional schedule for the Top 7 Home Team, and after the smoke cleared it has been decided to avoid 3 of these Series and attack 1 aggressively. We're back to a Game 1 on the Runline Blitz and the clear opening favorite is the Dodgers tonight. Despite huge line moves on some teams since last night, LA is without a doubt the play. Also, Arizona is very clearly the 2nd biggest favorite on the day, despite the huge line drop and the increased line on Tampa Bay. The public is really screwed up sometimes..
Click on the Red System Title to get to the spreadsheet.
KREATTURE'S PLAYBOOK - MAY 21ST, 2010
RUNLINE BLITZ
LA DODGERS +126 GAME 1
TOP 7 HOME TEAM
Optional Series for Modified Martingale Only (Recovery)
TEXAS RANGERS -135 GAME 1 of 3 -- see spreadsheet for unit assignment
It would be really nice to clear this tonight, so I can enjoy the long holiday weekend..
I'm still really debating about this Tigers/Dodgers series.. I know the Tigers are good, and a Division Leader, but I really think I like LA to get a win somewhere this weekend.
It's a late start.. so still have about 4.5 hours to decide.. we'll see how the night goes, and possibly add it if we feel 100% comfortable. This means waiting for the starting lineups to be released. Stay tuned..
Cheers
0
I'm still really debating about this Tigers/Dodgers series.. I know the Tigers are good, and a Division Leader, but I really think I like LA to get a win somewhere this weekend.
It's a late start.. so still have about 4.5 hours to decide.. we'll see how the night goes, and possibly add it if we feel 100% comfortable. This means waiting for the starting lineups to be released. Stay tuned..
No play on the Dodgers tonight for the Top 7 Home Team.. the line has climbed even ridiculously higher, and James Loney isn't starting for LA. Coupled with the absence of Ethier, I just don't like this spot with that high of a moneyline.
Obviously, still want LA to win for the Runline Blitz, but at -183 a moneyline play is a bad play in my mind. That should make sense..
Hopefully Texas continues to battle hard and comes away with the
victory.
Cheers
0
No play on the Dodgers tonight for the Top 7 Home Team.. the line has climbed even ridiculously higher, and James Loney isn't starting for LA. Coupled with the absence of Ethier, I just don't like this spot with that high of a moneyline.
Obviously, still want LA to win for the Runline Blitz, but at -183 a moneyline play is a bad play in my mind. That should make sense..
Hopefully Texas continues to battle hard and comes away with the
victory.
Knew the Texas game would not be easy, but they managed to squeak out a victory. LA came through with some big hits and Bills pitched another gem. Overall perfect day and can now relax the rest of the weekend. We have now recovered +12.5 Units of the -21.41 Unit loss last week with St. Louis in the Top 7 Home Team System. Things are going well. Let's see if we can pick up 1 more Unit this weekend on the Runline Blitz to close out a beautiful week..
Click on the Red System Title to get to the spreadsheet.
KREATTURE'S PLAYBOOK - MAY 22ND, 2010
RUNLINE BLITZ
NY YANKEES +107 GAME 1
TOP 7 HOME TEAM
no plays
Continued Success
0
Knew the Texas game would not be easy, but they managed to squeak out a victory. LA came through with some big hits and Bills pitched another gem. Overall perfect day and can now relax the rest of the weekend. We have now recovered +12.5 Units of the -21.41 Unit loss last week with St. Louis in the Top 7 Home Team System. Things are going well. Let's see if we can pick up 1 more Unit this weekend on the Runline Blitz to close out a beautiful week..
Click on the Red System Title to get to the spreadsheet.
We take comfort in knowing that our money is safe on this forthcoming Sunday..
We wish all the best of luck for everybody still chasing their Interleague Series.. We fear most of them will end in failure today.. but we will hope for an oddity of sorts, so our comrades will profit .
We pray, that the Baseball Gods, will look kindly upon our friends.. so that they, as well, may profit from their hard work.
0
We take comfort in knowing that our money is safe on this forthcoming Sunday..
We wish all the best of luck for everybody still chasing their Interleague Series.. We fear most of them will end in failure today.. but we will hope for an oddity of sorts, so our comrades will profit .
We pray, that the Baseball Gods, will look kindly upon our friends.. so that they, as well, may profit from their hard work.
Well it was certainly nice to get a few days off after a very rewarding week which saw a net of +18.83 Units. Our best week of this young Season so far (3 weeks in) and things haven't even begun to heat up yet. We're finally heading in the right direction now as we sit +11.72 Units on the month now. Let's hope for another solid week and maybe (maybe) even clear Recovery from that St. Louis loss from 2 weeks ago (+12.5 of -21.41 Units recovered so far).
To make something clear, Units lost on a pending chase (IE. Runline Blitz Game 1 & 2 loss from Saturday & Sunday) are included in the final tally of that week's total Units. So, the -3.07 Units lost on those 2 days were included in the weekly total which gave us +18.83. In other words, when we win our 1st Runline Blitz game this week, we'll actually be up +4.07 Units right off the bat (the -3.07 lost from the pending chase last week plus the 1 unit profit).
I hope that is clear, I take pride in my bookkeeping and presenting everything the way it really is.
On to this week..
Click on the Red System Title to get to the spreadsheet.Navigate among the tabs at the bottom to get to the desired page.
KREATTURE'S PLAYBOOK - MAY 25TH, 2010
RUNLINE BLITZ
MILWAUKEE BREWERS +135 GAME 3
TOP 7 HOME TEAM
MINNESOTA TWINS -155 GAME 1 of 3 -- Dog Alert, Play +1.5 RL -- See Spreadsheet for Martingale Unit Assignment
Continued Success
0
Well it was certainly nice to get a few days off after a very rewarding week which saw a net of +18.83 Units. Our best week of this young Season so far (3 weeks in) and things haven't even begun to heat up yet. We're finally heading in the right direction now as we sit +11.72 Units on the month now. Let's hope for another solid week and maybe (maybe) even clear Recovery from that St. Louis loss from 2 weeks ago (+12.5 of -21.41 Units recovered so far).
To make something clear, Units lost on a pending chase (IE. Runline Blitz Game 1 & 2 loss from Saturday & Sunday) are included in the final tally of that week's total Units. So, the -3.07 Units lost on those 2 days were included in the weekly total which gave us +18.83. In other words, when we win our 1st Runline Blitz game this week, we'll actually be up +4.07 Units right off the bat (the -3.07 lost from the pending chase last week plus the 1 unit profit).
I hope that is clear, I take pride in my bookkeeping and presenting everything the way it really is.
On to this week..
Click on the Red System Title to get to the spreadsheet.Navigate among the tabs at the bottom to get to the desired page.
KREATTURE'S PLAYBOOK - MAY 25TH, 2010
RUNLINE BLITZ
MILWAUKEE BREWERS +135 GAME 3
TOP 7 HOME TEAM
MINNESOTA TWINS -155 GAME 1 of 3 -- Dog Alert, Play +1.5 RL -- See Spreadsheet for Martingale Unit Assignment
Crap, was going to wait til Yankees/Twins game was over before posting the plays tonight, but something just came up and I'm on my way out the door in 9 minutes! So.. the spreadsheets are updated, you can read those.
If the Yankees win, Minnesota will be played in the nightcap. If the Twins win, there will be no Top 7 Home Team play. Like I said, explanation on the sheet.
Big 'ol Apple Blossom Festival in kicking off this famous weekend for my hometown here tonight, and I'm being thrown right into the middle of it as it kicks off tonight! Unexpectedly! LoL
Have a great night!
Click on the Red System Title to get to the spreadsheet.Navigate among the tabs at the bottom to get to the desired page.
KREATTURE'S PLAYBOOK - MAY 26TH, 2010
RUNLINE BLITZ
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS -114 GAME 1
TOP 7 HOME TEAM
MINNESOTA TWINS -107 GAME 2 -- ONLY IF YANKEES WIN EARLY GAME
Continued Success
0
Crap, was going to wait til Yankees/Twins game was over before posting the plays tonight, but something just came up and I'm on my way out the door in 9 minutes! So.. the spreadsheets are updated, you can read those.
If the Yankees win, Minnesota will be played in the nightcap. If the Twins win, there will be no Top 7 Home Team play. Like I said, explanation on the sheet.
Big 'ol Apple Blossom Festival in kicking off this famous weekend for my hometown here tonight, and I'm being thrown right into the middle of it as it kicks off tonight! Unexpectedly! LoL
Have a great night!
Click on the Red System Title to get to the spreadsheet.Navigate among the tabs at the bottom to get to the desired page.
KREATTURE'S PLAYBOOK - MAY 26TH, 2010
RUNLINE BLITZ
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS -114 GAME 1
TOP 7 HOME TEAM
MINNESOTA TWINS -107 GAME 2 -- ONLY IF YANKEES WIN EARLY GAME
I'm a little (ok a lot) behind schedule today, due to a very late night out.. but i've received some questions about the Runline Blitz play for today, so I will address this now, cuz it will still be a bit before I get the Top 7 Home Team spreadsheet caught up to date and post the plays here.
The Runline play tonight is Cincinnati, not Boston. Cincy opened at -200 across most major books, while Boston was only around -170 to -185. There were a couple of books who opened Boston at -200, but those still had Cincinnati equal or higher.
Once again, the public has influenced these lines tremendously at this point, as I see Cincy is down under -175 while Boston has climbed to -200. Tampa Bay has even climbed to -180, from their opening line around -165.
There's great value on the Cincy line right now at Pinnacle, TheGreek and 5Dimes coming in around +120.
Hopefully all 3 of these teams crush their opponents anyway.
Cheers
0
I'm a little (ok a lot) behind schedule today, due to a very late night out.. but i've received some questions about the Runline Blitz play for today, so I will address this now, cuz it will still be a bit before I get the Top 7 Home Team spreadsheet caught up to date and post the plays here.
The Runline play tonight is Cincinnati, not Boston. Cincy opened at -200 across most major books, while Boston was only around -170 to -185. There were a couple of books who opened Boston at -200, but those still had Cincinnati equal or higher.
Once again, the public has influenced these lines tremendously at this point, as I see Cincy is down under -175 while Boston has climbed to -200. Tampa Bay has even climbed to -180, from their opening line around -165.
There's great value on the Cincy line right now at Pinnacle, TheGreek and 5Dimes coming in around +120.
Hopefully all 3 of these teams crush their opponents anyway.
Hope some took the advice on the Top 7 spreadsheet that I was playing Tampa Bay on the side tonight, even tho it was not an official play here. Cashed with Kansas City too, so it was a great night and we now have a clean board heading into the weekend.
This is perfect, as we have a lot of action on the card for Friday. Expect to see an aggressive approach on a couple of these games.
I may not be around much this weekend, pretty busy schedule here plus my favorite girl in the entire World is home from out West, but the spreadsheets will be updated. Please check there as they are always updated before any post is made here.
Here's to a very successful weekend
Cheers
0
Easy winner with Cincinnati!
Hope some took the advice on the Top 7 spreadsheet that I was playing Tampa Bay on the side tonight, even tho it was not an official play here. Cashed with Kansas City too, so it was a great night and we now have a clean board heading into the weekend.
This is perfect, as we have a lot of action on the card for Friday. Expect to see an aggressive approach on a couple of these games.
I may not be around much this weekend, pretty busy schedule here plus my favorite girl in the entire World is home from out West, but the spreadsheets will be updated. Please check there as they are always updated before any post is made here.
It's nice to have the Runline Blitz back at a Game 1 since we have some big plays tonight in the Top 7. If all goes well this weekend, we will have recovered 100% of the -21.41 Unit St. Louis loss from 2 weeks ago, plus our regular profit. Fingers crossed, let's enjoy some weekend baseball!
Click on the Red System Title to get to the spreadsheet.Navigate among the tabs at the bottom
to get to the desired page.
KREATTURE'S PLAYBOOK - MAY 28TH, 2010
RUNLINE BLITZ
NEW YORK YANKEES -104 GAME 1
TOP 7 HOME TEAM
DETROIT TIGERS -111 GAME 1 of 4 -- Double Unit Play, top 7 home team vs bot 7 road team -- see spreadsheet for martingale unit adjustment
NEW YORK YANKEES -108 GAME 1 of 4 --Juice Alert, Play -1.5 RL -- see spreadsheet for martingale unit
adjustment ATLANTA BRAVES -169 GAME 1 of 3 --Double Unit Play, top 7 home team vs
bot 7 road team -- see spreadsheet for martingale unit
adjustment COLORADO ROCKIES -149
GAME 1 of 3 -- see spreadsheet for martingale unit
adjustment
Continued Success
0
It's nice to have the Runline Blitz back at a Game 1 since we have some big plays tonight in the Top 7. If all goes well this weekend, we will have recovered 100% of the -21.41 Unit St. Louis loss from 2 weeks ago, plus our regular profit. Fingers crossed, let's enjoy some weekend baseball!
Click on the Red System Title to get to the spreadsheet.Navigate among the tabs at the bottom
to get to the desired page.
KREATTURE'S PLAYBOOK - MAY 28TH, 2010
RUNLINE BLITZ
NEW YORK YANKEES -104 GAME 1
TOP 7 HOME TEAM
DETROIT TIGERS -111 GAME 1 of 4 -- Double Unit Play, top 7 home team vs bot 7 road team -- see spreadsheet for martingale unit adjustment
NEW YORK YANKEES -108 GAME 1 of 4 --Juice Alert, Play -1.5 RL -- see spreadsheet for martingale unit
adjustment ATLANTA BRAVES -169 GAME 1 of 3 --Double Unit Play, top 7 home team vs
bot 7 road team -- see spreadsheet for martingale unit
adjustment COLORADO ROCKIES -149
GAME 1 of 3 -- see spreadsheet for martingale unit
adjustment
Hot Forum Topics
