2012-13 BOWL GAMES SYSTEM

Green: 1-0...all games completed                 

Red only: 1-0...3 games left                           

Blue only: 3-3...4 games left                           

Yes, technically it is at those lines, but I got it at -12.5.

So far, this system has not fared as well as last year. All of the other categories are weak, as well.  If it goes really great for the balance of the bowls, then all is well. But I don't guarantee that it will do as well as I'd hoped. I'm very skeptical about the next 3 red plays.   

Good question. It got me thinking and researching last years results today, and here is what I found.

Last year the "A" group was 7-1 at this half way point, ending the season at 12-3. Currently, the "A" group is 4-6 with 6 games remaining. 

Last year at this point group "B" was 5-2, ending at 10-6. And currently, it is 4-1, with 7 games remaining.

So that's the reason for having 2 independent groups agree on the final pick. Only one group needs to do well at +7 net value, and the better group may switch from year to year.

BTW, while I was researching these games, I ran another "system" that I had recently used, and similar to my NFL picks...here are the picks:

UtSt

CMi

Cin

Bay

Rice

Syr

Van

Tulsa

Stan

ArSt

Only Tulsa is conflicting with a system pick, but it's a blue pick. It will be interesting to see if the remaining picks do as well.

GL

 

Yes, unless he's psychic.

                        Group "A"            Group "B"            "A" and "B" 

                                                                                  (same team)

2011: +3>=   19-6  (11-3)          14-10 (8-4)           9-2  (5-0)     

2012: +3>=   (6-10)  9 left          (10-4) 10 left        (5-3)  7 left

2011: +7>=   12-3  (7-1)            10-6  (5-2)             5-1  (4-0)

2012: +7>=   (4-6)  6 left            (6-1)  7 left            2-0  3 left

I always lean to my system, but you know, it's now 3-3 on blue picks.  Perhaps it gets back on track. Maybe just leave it alone?

No, not a red play, it's not part of the original system, it's another system...read post # 80.

Yes, you are correct. The net value is reduced to below the threshold of +3 points. Thanks for pointing that out. 

Looking over the remaining games, the only change in spread that makes a crucial difference is Clemson: LSU from -3.5 to -7 makes Clemson a blue play.

 

DOES YOUR PICS GO FOR PLAYOFFS TOO?

Yep

Blue picks have not been great, and IaSt has some injuries, RB, QB, and Tulsa is picked by my alternate system (post #80).