A couple things before we get this thing rolling for the day. First, thank you everyone for all the love. I love college basketball probably more than anything that isn't my family. I always have. To share what I know is a pleasure. I did it when I wasn't very good at gambling, if you've been here long enough you know that. So thanks for reading. Second, someone mentioned yesterday that I was playing 5 of 10 possible games. I'm a volume player. I'm not gambling to become Billy Walters and become a millionaire, I do it cause I like knowing I was right, and if some money comes my way in the process, then great. So yeah, some days I'm going to play a lot of fucking games, but I still think I have the advantage cause of the work I put in. Lastly, a lot of new people here from the facebook group that saw the first parlay on Tuesday, welcome to you guys and thanks for being here. I could have never imagined the amount of messages I've gotten over the last couple days, I can't possilby get back to you all so I told you about here. But I don't go undefeated every night. Or even close really. This is just one of those gambling annomolies that will end at some point soon. Good luck tonight everyone.
::Thursday:: 11/5 (23-3-0) +19.7 units
McNeese Cowboys -2.5
Larry Johnson may be the best college basketball player you've never heard of. In their dismantling of UAB, he had 31 points on 11/16 shooting, with 5 rebounds, 4 assists and 2 steals. He was on the 28-6, NCAA tournament team, last year and knows Bill Armstrongs offense. While I do think North Texas will be good come conference season, McNeese has too many dudes around LJ to keep this game close.
Long Island Sharks +17.5
Seton Hall, historically under Holloway, has struggled offensively. Defense has always been there, but they go through scoring droughts that can last 3-5 mins. He just doesn't emphasize the offensive end at all, and that makes blowing teams out difficult. Especially difficult against an LIU team that won it's league last year, is picked to win it again this year, and brought in guys with plenty of P5 experience. This is just too many points for me to pass up.
Vermont Catamounts +1.5
Wrong team favored for me here. Vermont just lost at the buzzer @ Iona, but there is no chance they shoot the ball as poorly as they did in that game. 26% from 3 is not good, for a team that historically shoots the ball well under John Becker. He recruits for it. Fairfield is expected to have a nice year in the MEAC, but this is their opener and I don't expect that Catamounts to start the season with back to back losses to inferior teams.
NJIT Crusaders +9.5
Iona just played a top team from the America East in Vermont, and escaped at the buzzer. They are going to get a damn near identical kinda game tonight vs the Crusaders who return David Bolden who was the leagues top freshman a year ago. They also brought in Brandon Stores from Georgia Tech, who was a good prospect coming out of high school. Iona also has St. Johns next, so they may get caught looking ahead to their Super Bowl at The Garden on Sunday.
Princeton Tigers -2.5
Princeton lost 20 games last year. 10 of those losses were by 2 possessions or less. This years team returns every starter from that team. I fully expect Princeton to have a bounce back year, and it starts tonight vs a Hofstra team that was in the dance last year, but then was gutted by graduation/portal. They return one rotational piece from last years team. Teams headed in opposite directions if you ask me.
Mercyhurst Lakers +21.5
Notre Dame just played a game in Rome, Italy on Sunday. That travel fucking sucks. Not to mention all the attention on campus focused around the Catholics vs Convicts game this weekend, that has National Championship implications for both football teams. I just think the travel, and the distractions, and the Irish are probably feeling themselves pretty good after a win vs Villanova. But Mercyhurst isn't a pushover. Yeah, the lost to Marquette by 35, but I think much more highly of Marquette than ND, plus it geared the Lakers up for this type of competition. Horrible spot for the Irish, and they dropped one to Purdue Fort Wayne last year, so they aren't above losing a "buy" game.
Cornell/Lehigh Over 159.5
Cornell it appears is a very similar team to last years, just with some new faces. They want to run and shoot 3s. That's it. They don't care about playing defense, they just assume they are going to have to outscore everyone. Lehigh probably prefers a slower pace than what they are going to get tonight, but Lehigh is going to have a size advantage so extra possessions off the offensive glass, and easy put backs should have this one cruz into the 170s.
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +41.5
It's hard to win a basketball game by more than 40 points. I don't care who you are. Duke also has Sparty next in the Champions Classic, so are they even aware they have a game tonight? Coastal is coached by Justin Gray who once played in the ACC as Chris Pauls back court mate at Wake Forest. I believe he may have even won as a player in Cameron Indoor. If anyone knows what it's going to take to hang, it'll be him. They can lose by 35.
Rice Owls -3.5
This is 100% a fade of East Texas AM coming off the Oklahoma win where they were 30 point favorites. That's the analysis.
Towson/Utah Under 138.5
Towson lived off of their defense a year ago, and they will need it even more than this year after they lose Tejada, Doumbia, and Williamson. That's their top three scorers from a year ago. I don't know where their offense is going to come from, but I believe in coach Skerry and his defensive ways. Plus they play at a snails tempo, which Utah is totally fine with. This game won't be very fun to watch unless it's close late, but I think the under has an advantage.
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