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Here are my bowl system values and strategies for picking games. Because your lines may be different, I'm giving you the reasoning for the net values so you may make your own net values and decisions. This is only my 7th year working with the bowl games, and this particular system has about 3 seasons of history, with some minor changes each year. Last year I posted most of my plays which did very well. But it's a short history, so proceed with caution!!
There are 2 categories of value, "A" and "B". The value of each category is measured against the line. If the net value is +3 to +6.5, in at least the "A" net value, without the "B" category having any value for the opposing team, then that is a basic play which should cover a minimum of 65% in that category.
If the net value is +7 to +9.5, in at least the"A" net value, without the "B" category having any value for the opposing team, then that is a play which should cover a minimum of 73% in that category.
If the net value is +10 or more, in at least the"A" net value, without the "B" category having any value for the opposing team, then that is a play which should cover a minimum of 80% in that category.
Having net value for the same team in both "A" and "B" :
If the net value is +3 to +6.5, or greater, in both the"A" net value and the "B" net value, for the same team, then that is a play which should cover a minimum of 75% in that category.
As above:
+7 to +9.5 should yield 85%
+10, or more, should yield 95%
Here is the list of games. The games that have both net values "A" and "B" for the same team, and with the minimum values described above, in those colors, are also colored in this list.
Important: my pick defaults to the lowest value of either category: ie., UT +10...+4 falls in to the category of +3 to +6.5.
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