Posted:
#351
Audax Italiano over 2.5 -105 (0-1)
Red Card Goal Tracking Thread #2
Posted:
#362
Quote Originally Posted by Alfalfa9:
Atletico Nacional over 1.5 +100 (0-0)
So in this match, one of Tolima's Angulos gets sent off mid 1st half, score at that time is 0-0 and taking the live game total over 1.5 is the bet, using this system as posted here in post #1?
Atletico Nacional over 1.5 +100 (0-0)
what if he red card is late in the match, what's your cut off?
I know you are tracking this for yourself and owe us nothing
-BUT-
since you're getting your automated red card notification, perhaps keep a spreadsheet, note the time of red card and even going back to note the closing total and odds before kickoff, once you make a play?
Just wondering if there could be a meaningful trend with the difference in closing total vs live total at red card and also how much time is left....
I know you are already taking the score at red card(and a few other things) into account.
That Nacional Tolima match before match start the total was definately 2 with a little juice on the over. A quarter of the way in, at red card, a quarter of the total was removed, you got 1.5 +100
I speculate that the red card didn't affect anything with that live total line. if anything, with the red card the total should have stayed 2 with +$ on the OV or 1.5 -$.
you seemingly got a total and line as if the red card didn't matter.
was this maybe that Tolima's red card removed one of their best strikers?
what if the red red card is against an important defenender?
Generally speaking I'm wondering if you might also be tracking other variables at this point in your very interesting and $ making system
thanks for sharing and BOL 
The pen is mightier than the pigs
Posted:
#363
Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:
Quote Originally Posted by Alfalfa9: Atletico Nacional over 1.5 +100 (0-0) So in this match, one of Tolima's Angulos gets sent off mid 1st half, score at that time is 0-0 and taking the live game total over 1.5 is the bet, using this system as posted here in post #1? what if he red card is late in the match, what's your cut off? I know you are tracking this for yourself and owe us nothing -BUT- since you're getting your automated red card notification, perhaps keep a spreadsheet, note the time of red card and even going back to note the closing total and odds before kickoff, once you make a play? Just wondering if there could be a meaningful trend with the difference in closing total vs live total at red card and also how much time is left.... I know you are already taking the score at red card(and a few other things) into account. That Nacional Tolima match before match start the total was definately 2 with a little juice on the over. A quarter of the way in, at red card, a quarter of the total was removed, you got 1.5 +100 I speculate that the red card didn't affect anything with that live total line. if anything, with the red card the total should have stayed 2 with +$ on the OV or 1.5 -$. you seemingly got a total and line as if the red card didn't matter. was this maybe that Tolima's red card removed one of their best strikers? what if the red red card is against an important defenender? Generally speaking I'm wondering if you might also be tracking other variables at this point in your very interesting and $ making system thanks for sharing and BOL
If I were doing this professionally, I would absolutely do everything above and turn it into a true system. You make many great points. It’s frankly just a hobby and I have a young family to spend time with, so this is as much time as I’m currently willing to put towards it. It would be great if someone had the time/resources to systematically track this - I doubt it would be too difficult with AI agents available today.
Quote Originally Posted by Alfalfa9: Atletico Nacional over 1.5 +100 (0-0) So in this match, one of Tolima's Angulos gets sent off mid 1st half, score at that time is 0-0 and taking the live game total over 1.5 is the bet, using this system as posted here in post #1? what if he red card is late in the match, what's your cut off? I know you are tracking this for yourself and owe us nothing -BUT- since you're getting your automated red card notification, perhaps keep a spreadsheet, note the time of red card and even going back to note the closing total and odds before kickoff, once you make a play? Just wondering if there could be a meaningful trend with the difference in closing total vs live total at red card and also how much time is left.... I know you are already taking the score at red card(and a few other things) into account. That Nacional Tolima match before match start the total was definately 2 with a little juice on the over. A quarter of the way in, at red card, a quarter of the total was removed, you got 1.5 +100 I speculate that the red card didn't affect anything with that live total line. if anything, with the red card the total should have stayed 2 with +$ on the OV or 1.5 -$. you seemingly got a total and line as if the red card didn't matter. was this maybe that Tolima's red card removed one of their best strikers? what if the red red card is against an important defenender? Generally speaking I'm wondering if you might also be tracking other variables at this point in your very interesting and $ making system thanks for sharing and BOL
This is still very subjective, based on situations, lines and my experience.
Thanks for stopping by 
Posted:
#369
Quote Originally Posted by Alfalfa9:
If I were doing this professionally, I would absolutely do everything above and turn it into a true system. You make many great points. It’s frankly just a hobby and I have a young family to spend time with, so this is as much time as I’m currently willing to put towards it. It would be great if someone had the time/resources to systematically track this - I doubt it would be too difficult with AI agents available today. This is still very subjective, based on situations, lines and my experience. Thanks for stopping by
Good, thought you may have been considering some of that other stuff as it happens and then make a game time decision. Good luck with this very interesting system
If I were doing this professionally, I would absolutely do everything above and turn it into a true system. You make many great points. It’s frankly just a hobby and I have a young family to spend time with, so this is as much time as I’m currently willing to put towards it. It would be great if someone had the time/resources to systematically track this - I doubt it would be too difficult with AI agents available today. This is still very subjective, based on situations, lines and my experience. Thanks for stopping by
The pen is mightier than the pigs
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