Hall of Fame
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 25999
Posted:
#1
General principles still apply:
0-0 score is the lowest % of a goal after red card issue
A 2 goal lead when red is issued to losing team is also a lower % (doesn’t really matter if 2-0, 3-1 etc)
Tied matches have a slightly higher %, especially if the spread btw teams are significant in the table standings (obvious but still pointing it out)
1 goal difference where losing team is issued a red is highest % for a goal
-150 (1.67) odds will be lowest I go (BetMGM/ DrafKings)
No Leagues or Cups are off limits
I will flat bet $100 to keep tracking purposes relatively easy.
This is just a hobby of mine and I intend to keep it that way. Cheers 
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
General principles still apply:
0-0 score is the lowest % of a goal after red card issue
A 2 goal lead when red is issued to losing team is also a lower % (doesn’t really matter if 2-0, 3-1 etc)
Tied matches have a slightly higher %, especially if the spread btw teams are significant in the table standings (obvious but still pointing it out)
1 goal difference where losing team is issued a red is highest % for a goal
-150 (1.67) odds will be lowest I go (BetMGM/ DrafKings)
No Leagues or Cups are off limits
I will flat bet $100 to keep tracking purposes relatively easy.
This is just a hobby of mine and I intend to keep it that way. Cheers 