Seattle at Denver (02/02/2014)

Denver faced tough offenses all year and they were 7th against the rush (Seattle was 8th). Denver can pull their linebackers in on 1st and 2nd down to stop Lynch, Seattle won't be able to do that. I don't see how Moreno doesn't run for more yards than Lynch. 

Seattle shut the Saints down twice.  Game 2 score does not reflect as the Saints were held to 7 until Seattle's D let up late in that game because it was over.  Bottom line, Denver's best win was against Pats, a beaten up Patriot team at that

You really gonna call me out son?  Did you even bother researching that fact?  Well I DID and it's a STATISTICAL FACT.  I didn't say it will be a huge deciding factor for this game now did I?  But it could help and every little edge is important, especially in a game like the Superbowl.

Think before you talk son, before you get schooled...

Seattle beat the Saints twice huh?  You failed to mention that they were IN Seattle for both games.  That gives them a 1 point advantage in the spread alone.  They're a powerhouse home team that lost 2 on the road and one at home.  Everyone knows that it'd be a girl to beat Seattle in Seattle, but guess what?  The Superbowl AIN'T in Seattle.  No "12th Man" here.  It's all the way on the other side of the country.  

Yes, I understand they already played NY in NY, but they're playing against a sad disappointment of a team called the Giants.  Completely unimpressive. 

P.S.  The cold affects both teams and the advantage in the cold this year goes to Denver considering they're in one of the coldest damn states in the country.  When was the last time you heard of snow blizzards in Seattle?  Exactly, that's what I thought.   What's the coldest temperature that Seattle has played in?  How bout Denver?  18 degrees cold enough considering that it won't be as cold during game time in the SB?  In that weather they laid the smackdown on the Titans putting up 51 points.  

Ok, so here is my pick.  I love Peyton so much and I have my Broncos boxers on as I type this.  JK…that's called sarcasm:)  

I like Denver for one reason-Peyton has 5 receivers and the know how to exploit Seattle's very good D.  If the temp stays in the low 40's to high 30's than I think Peyton will have just enough to beat them.  Not to mention-Seattle is not the same team away from home-their crowd and the calls they get help them a lot.  Obviously, at the SB it will be a bunch of quiet corporate types so they won't have that advantage.

I will say with the weather looking to be a non factor that favors Peyton as well and the OVER large.

GLA!!!!  I live in Vegas and I can tell you many of the guys I consider to be sharps are all over Denver and LOVE all the media hype on Seattle.  Denver is favored for a reason so don't forget that either.

Seahawks game

Over 47 1/2

SEAHAWKS ML!!!!

On the flip, Denver gets a pretty good amount of pressure on QBs with a stout and underrated front seven. This does not bode well for Seattle, as they have struggled with pass protection all year including in the playoffs.  Denvers' front 7 also gives the Broncos an very good Run D that's held teams to 64.5 yards a game on the ground in the postseason. Seattle's strength is running the ball, but their best chance to beat Denver is to pass on them. Russell Wilson’s passing game has declined however, completing only 58% of his passes and barely topping the 200-yard mark just twice in his last six games. Manning-led Broncos teams are 12-2 straight up and 10-4 against the spread in games they held opponents to 200 or less passing yards. Edge Denver

As for "Defense Wins Championships"...that was very true in yester-year...Teams with the better D have won 39 of 47 Super Bowls. Unfortunately for tradition...rules & times have changed. Teams with the better D are just 2-5 straight up & 1-6 against the spread the last 7 Super Bowls. The trend is now, teams with the hot QBs win championships. See last year's SB for instance: San Francisco and their #1 D vs Baltimore's 27th ranked D...with a hot Flacco. I'll take Denver's embarrassing array of weapons on offense with a hot Manning!

DEN-2 

Here are some high percentage prop bets:

Broncos' 3 longest drives this year came in the postseason vs SD & NE, lasting 7:01, 7:50 & 7:52. DEN dominated time of possession (over 35 min) in both wins. The Seahawks postseason offense has been erratic. Denver Wins Time of possession -115

Six out of the last eight games were against top ten defenses, this is why Wilson struggled, however, they went 6-2 in those games.  Denver faced a top ten defense once all season.  You mentioned Seattle's easy schedule, I'd argue Denver's was clearly easier and therefore those offensive numbers are inflated as a result.  Case in point, Denver scored 24 and 26 against the Pats and Bolts in the playoffs, hardly spectacular against above average defenses.  I would also make a case for the 49ers and the Saints against Denver.  But Denver didn't play those two squads did they?  Seattle did and posted a 4-1 record against them this year scoring 126 points for an average of 25 points per game.  That said, the turf and conditions favor Seattle.  Manning in temps under 35 problematic.  The media and the public jumping all over Denver...priceless!

Actually, when you look at Seattle's three loses, the Arizona game was lost on a kick return self induced fumble at the 15 which resulted in an Arizona td a few plays later.  Then the phantom ball hit the ground call ruled interception resulted in game over.  Nice job instant replay....

The 49er loss came with no time left on the clock after Gore finally got loose to set up the game ending field goal , otherwise that game belonged to Seattle.

And finally, Wilson threw a pick in the end zone to lose on the last play of the game against the Colts.  

I would argue that the Seahawks were close to going undefeated this year, however the ball can bounce in mysterious ways.  

Under 48

Denver d is gonna show up big27-17 DenverDenver

Broncos -2

Broncos -10.5

Peyton 2h passing yard total over 1h