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    All Forums | Politics

    Betting on Politics

    123 ... 678 Next Last»
    alangrrbs
    nature1970
    DogbiteWilliams
    shiek
    schmeto
    ...
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    123 ... 678 Next Last»
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2016 - 1:28 PM ET #1

    There are a few fringe sports to bet on that I think fly under the radar to make money on, and politics is another category that I think you can make good money on.  

    (I'm not in here to make a political statement...I'm here to bet on sports)

    Definitely going to play Hilary to win the Iowa caucus at -180.  Most polling shows she's between 75%-85% favorite to win... -180 is great value.

    Struggling to figure out what to do with the republican side.  Trump is the front runner to win the GOP nomination, but Cruz is the favorite in the Iowa Caucus...not sure what to make about it.  Anyone have any insight?


    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    There are a few fringe sports to bet on that I think fly under the radar to make money on, and politics is another category that I think you can make good money on.  

    (I'm not in here to make a political statement...I'm here to bet on sports)

    Definitely going to play Hilary to win the Iowa caucus at -180.  Most polling shows she's between 75%-85% favorite to win... -180 is great value.

    Struggling to figure out what to do with the republican side.  Trump is the front runner to win the GOP nomination, but Cruz is the favorite in the Iowa Caucus...not sure what to make about it.  Anyone have any insight?


     
    nature1970
    nature1970
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2016 - 2:13 PM ET #2

    If you want to stay just in the caucasus in Iowa and value Cruz and Sanders. sanders has pulled to even and his grass roots ground game has a lot better chance than Hillary's

    caucus is kind of a town meeting, groups of people from the party meet in area communities and slate who has more supporters,
    no secret ballot
    just who wants whom these go to state headquarters and the delegates are chosen from the state pool to represent whomever at the national convention. from both sides and the final announcement is about the collective will at the time from the state.

    these things are dreadfully boring and argumentative as each side pitches who they favor. last for hours take up most of a day and its really cold in iowa soooo.... its about who can get who to be the most enthusiastic voice to these open meetings

    if your to handicap this Bernie has greatest value.
    cruz wins most by evangelical belief in the parties caucus good luck how ever you bet this affair
    Reply
    If you want to stay just in the caucasus in Iowa and value Cruz and Sanders. sanders has pulled to even and his grass roots ground game has a lot better chance than Hillary's

    caucus is kind of a town meeting, groups of people from the party meet in area communities and slate who has more supporters,
    no secret ballot
    just who wants whom these go to state headquarters and the delegates are chosen from the state pool to represent whomever at the national convention. from both sides and the final announcement is about the collective will at the time from the state.

    these things are dreadfully boring and argumentative as each side pitches who they favor. last for hours take up most of a day and its really cold in iowa soooo.... its about who can get who to be the most enthusiastic voice to these open meetings

    if your to handicap this Bernie has greatest value.
    cruz wins most by evangelical belief in the parties caucus good luck how ever you bet this affair
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2016 - 3:48 PM ET #3

    Good stuff 
    Reply
    Good stuff 
     
    DogbiteWilliams
    DogbiteWilliams
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2016 - 11:13 AM ET #4

    Quote Originally Posted by nature1970:

    If you want to stay just in the caucasus in Iowa and value Cruz and Sanders. sanders has pulled to even and his grass roots ground game has a lot better chance than Hillary's

    caucus is kind of a town meeting, groups of people from the party meet in area communities and slate who has more supporters,
    no secret ballot
    just who wants whom these go to state headquarters and the delegates are chosen from the state pool to represent whomever at the national convention. from both sides and the final announcement is about the collective will at the time from the state.

    these things are dreadfully boring and argumentative as each side pitches who they favor. last for hours take up most of a day and its really cold in iowa soooo.... its about who can get who to be the most enthusiastic voice to these open meetings

    if your to handicap this Bernie has greatest value.
    cruz wins most by evangelical belief in the parties caucus good luck how ever you bet this affair
    That is a pretty accurate analysis.  The Sanders and Cruz fans are probably the most dedicated.

    Good luck, OP.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by nature1970:

    If you want to stay just in the caucasus in Iowa and value Cruz and Sanders. sanders has pulled to even and his grass roots ground game has a lot better chance than Hillary's

    caucus is kind of a town meeting, groups of people from the party meet in area communities and slate who has more supporters,
    no secret ballot
    just who wants whom these go to state headquarters and the delegates are chosen from the state pool to represent whomever at the national convention. from both sides and the final announcement is about the collective will at the time from the state.

    these things are dreadfully boring and argumentative as each side pitches who they favor. last for hours take up most of a day and its really cold in iowa soooo.... its about who can get who to be the most enthusiastic voice to these open meetings

    if your to handicap this Bernie has greatest value.
    cruz wins most by evangelical belief in the parties caucus good luck how ever you bet this affair
    That is a pretty accurate analysis.  The Sanders and Cruz fans are probably the most dedicated.

    Good luck, OP.
     
    nature1970
    nature1970
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2016 - 2:21 PM ET #5

    lets put this another way the girl I accompany to one of these things has got to be someone I am really interested in pursueing. because this old boy never wishes to spend another day at one of these affairs.

    ppl that show up are the party regulars, county democrat president and such and a lot of college students in iowa where they believe it is their religious moral duty to shape the future of our great nation.
    the entire congregations show up on both sides heck the democrats their are more conservative than the republicans in NH but that is just my observation.
    Reply
    lets put this another way the girl I accompany to one of these things has got to be someone I am really interested in pursueing. because this old boy never wishes to spend another day at one of these affairs.

    ppl that show up are the party regulars, county democrat president and such and a lot of college students in iowa where they believe it is their religious moral duty to shape the future of our great nation.
    the entire congregations show up on both sides heck the democrats their are more conservative than the republicans in NH but that is just my observation.
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2016 - 5:54 PM ET #6

    Thanks for all your input Nature.  Good info to have.

    Betting on the states in the general election is where I've found I have the most success.  The more info the better.
    Reply
    Thanks for all your input Nature.  Good info to have.

    Betting on the states in the general election is where I've found I have the most success.  The more info the better.
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2016 - 4:56 PM ET #7

    Making a very small play on a massive underdog to win the election.

    Joe Biden +7500

    Hillary should be crushing Sanders, but she isn't.  Nobody on the left seems excited for her to get the nomination.  

    I think theres a chance at some point the Dems are going to look at her and think that she may not have enough steam to win the general.  Bernie Sanders is getting some of the Dems excited, but he isn't polling good with minorities, and I think the Dems may think he may be a little to far left to win the general.  

    If they are looking for a last second spark, I think there's a chance that they might be able to talk Biden into running with someone like Elizabeth Warren.  That ticket would get the left excited and propel them into the general.  Anyways, it's worth a small play.









    Reply
    Making a very small play on a massive underdog to win the election.

    Joe Biden +7500

    Hillary should be crushing Sanders, but she isn't.  Nobody on the left seems excited for her to get the nomination.  

    I think theres a chance at some point the Dems are going to look at her and think that she may not have enough steam to win the general.  Bernie Sanders is getting some of the Dems excited, but he isn't polling good with minorities, and I think the Dems may think he may be a little to far left to win the general.  

    If they are looking for a last second spark, I think there's a chance that they might be able to talk Biden into running with someone like Elizabeth Warren.  That ticket would get the left excited and propel them into the general.  Anyways, it's worth a small play.









     
    shiek
    shiek
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2016 - 7:19 PM ET #8

    Don't see how Biden can get in after making such a showcase of his decision and then saying no.   Would have to be someone else like a Warren, etc.   Good luck w your wager.
    Reply
    Don't see how Biden can get in after making such a showcase of his decision and then saying no.   Would have to be someone else like a Warren, etc.   Good luck w your wager.
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2016 - 9:11 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by shiek:

    Don't see how Biden can get in after making such a showcase of his decision and then saying no.   Would have to be someone else like a Warren, etc.   Good luck w your wager.

    It's absolutely a long shot.  But in an interview he was asked if he regretted not running, and he said..."Every day".

    I'm not sold that the Dems believe in Hillary or Bernie as a general election winner.  He would be the next option I think.

    Thanks for the good luck wish.  If that cashes, first round is on me 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by shiek:

    Don't see how Biden can get in after making such a showcase of his decision and then saying no.   Would have to be someone else like a Warren, etc.   Good luck w your wager.

    It's absolutely a long shot.  But in an interview he was asked if he regretted not running, and he said..."Every day".

    I'm not sold that the Dems believe in Hillary or Bernie as a general election winner.  He would be the next option I think.

    Thanks for the good luck wish.  If that cashes, first round is on me 
     
    DogbiteWilliams
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2016 - 10:10 PM ET #10

    It is worth a shot at that price, but O'Malley is going nowhere, so it's hard to see a brokered convention between 3 candidates.
    Reply
    It is worth a shot at that price, but O'Malley is going nowhere, so it's hard to see a brokered convention between 3 candidates.
     
    nature1970
    nature1970
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2016 - 1:58 AM ET #11

    not sure their is enough time to put other name on the primary ballots for super tueday for dems.. 
    It would have to be oprah or caroline kennedy to have the name reconition for a write in.
    Reply
    not sure their is enough time to put other name on the primary ballots for super tueday for dems.. 
    It would have to be oprah or caroline kennedy to have the name reconition for a write in.
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2016 - 6:06 PM ET #12

    Making a play on Cruz to win Iowa caucus.
    Reply
    Making a play on Cruz to win Iowa caucus.
     
    schmeto
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    Posted: Jan. 19, 2016 - 9:00 AM ET #13

    I used to bet on sports as well but I like to bet on politics and WWE too

    do you know these website for poll?

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

    https://www.usatoday.com/pages/interactives/poll-tracker-2016/

    https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2016/winner


    Clinton to win presidential usa @1.8 is value, people would not trump president "unfortunatly for our country"and it is the only one who could beat clinton on my mind because he can attack to destabilize her more than cruz and make an impact on pool!

    trump will do what he says that s the difference with hillary she lies too much she willnot  find the way to give people the true about UFO I am pretty sure of that. I didn t agree with all trump words but I think this guys can manage our country better than clinton.

    in France it will be the same Le pen will not be president because people will block her


    Reply
    I used to bet on sports as well but I like to bet on politics and WWE too

    do you know these website for poll?

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

    https://www.usatoday.com/pages/interactives/poll-tracker-2016/

    https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2016/winner


    Clinton to win presidential usa @1.8 is value, people would not trump president "unfortunatly for our country"and it is the only one who could beat clinton on my mind because he can attack to destabilize her more than cruz and make an impact on pool!

    trump will do what he says that s the difference with hillary she lies too much she willnot  find the way to give people the true about UFO I am pretty sure of that. I didn t agree with all trump words but I think this guys can manage our country better than clinton.

    in France it will be the same Le pen will not be president because people will block her


     
    SkySky
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    Posted: Jan. 19, 2016 - 7:43 PM ET #14

    I took Cruz NOT to win Iowa at +150 about 2 weeks ago.

    I also took Hillary to win the Presidency at -120.

    Thinking of taking Trump to win New Hampshire.  -150

    I think Cruz fades to black.
    Reply
    I took Cruz NOT to win Iowa at +150 about 2 weeks ago.

    I also took Hillary to win the Presidency at -120.

    Thinking of taking Trump to win New Hampshire.  -150

    I think Cruz fades to black.
     
    schmeto
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2016 - 9:46 AM ET #15

    Endorsing sarah palin is a smart move from trump to try to beat clinton. a woman on his side is good thing for him for sure! she has the gods to confront and attack hillary  trump need woman votes if he want to be president! no choice!
    Reply
    Endorsing sarah palin is a smart move from trump to try to beat clinton. a woman on his side is good thing for him for sure! she has the gods to confront and attack hillary  trump need woman votes if he want to be president! no choice!
     
    SkySky
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2016 - 11:47 AM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by schmeto:

    Endorsing sarah palin is a smart move from trump to try to beat clinton. a woman on his side is good thing for him for sure! she has the gods to confront and attack hillary  trump need woman votes if he want to be president! no choice!


    Palin will not steal the woman voters who already support Hillary.
    If Elisabeth Warren came out to endorse Sanders, then this would be news.

    I just cannot connect those dots.
    Palin's endorsement of Trump should not threaten Hillary in the least. If anything, having an extreme right wing woman supporting Trump, should polarize the race even further.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by schmeto:

    Endorsing sarah palin is a smart move from trump to try to beat clinton. a woman on his side is good thing for him for sure! she has the gods to confront and attack hillary  trump need woman votes if he want to be president! no choice!


    Palin will not steal the woman voters who already support Hillary.
    If Elisabeth Warren came out to endorse Sanders, then this would be news.

    I just cannot connect those dots.
    Palin's endorsement of Trump should not threaten Hillary in the least. If anything, having an extreme right wing woman supporting Trump, should polarize the race even further.
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2016 - 1:42 PM ET #17

    The bet on Cruz to win Iowa is going to be close...

    Hillary seems to be holding strong in Iowa.  I might put a little more money on her in Iowa.

    Looking ahead to New Hampshire, it looks like Sanders and Trump are the clear favorites.  I don't see any lines for those, but I hope to get some decent numbers.

    Anyone else putting money on any of these?
    Reply
    The bet on Cruz to win Iowa is going to be close...

    Hillary seems to be holding strong in Iowa.  I might put a little more money on her in Iowa.

    Looking ahead to New Hampshire, it looks like Sanders and Trump are the clear favorites.  I don't see any lines for those, but I hope to get some decent numbers.

    Anyone else putting money on any of these?
     
    schmeto
    schmeto
    Captain
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    Posts: 5092
    Posted: Jan. 21, 2016 - 6:44 PM ET #18

    Trump is the Trends ..it is a fact! bookies have already adapt odds

    when he start his campain few month agos his odds was @25  like Sanders as well

    rubbio I don t see him make a surprise but I could have wrong but If you look his graph he never had a increase
    however presidential course is not a sprint but a marathon so perhaps it will be make an impact in a moment and trump could down on poll but I have not this feeling.

    what  could be the odds if  the match up will be clinton vs trump?  @1.4 for clinton?
    Reply
    Trump is the Trends ..it is a fact! bookies have already adapt odds

    when he start his campain few month agos his odds was @25  like Sanders as well

    rubbio I don t see him make a surprise but I could have wrong but If you look his graph he never had a increase
    however presidential course is not a sprint but a marathon so perhaps it will be make an impact in a moment and trump could down on poll but I have not this feeling.

    what  could be the odds if  the match up will be clinton vs trump?  @1.4 for clinton?
     
    nature1970
    nature1970
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2016 - 11:51 PM ET #19

    The results of a CNN/ORC poll, released on Thursday, showed that Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders had the lead over his opponent, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Sanders was polling at 51% among Democrats compared to Clinton's 43%. Former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley was a distant third, polling at 4%
    Reply
    The results of a CNN/ORC poll, released on Thursday, showed that Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders had the lead over his opponent, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Sanders was polling at 51% among Democrats compared to Clinton's 43%. Former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley was a distant third, polling at 4%
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posts: 4739
    Posted: Jan. 22, 2016 - 12:15 AM ET #20

    The new CNN poll is pretty definitive.

    I'm buying off of my picks while I still can.

    Put money on on Democratic field +125 over Hillary to win, and Trump to win Iowa.

    Not real happy I have to buy off the picks and only take a small profit, or even a small loss, but I can't argue with the numbers.

    This Trump thing is truly baffling.  I'm putting money on him at +125 to get the nomination.  He looks like a sure thing to win New Hampshire, and if he wins Iowa...the nomination is his.

    Good info Nature...you've been dead on about Sanders.  
    Reply
    The new CNN poll is pretty definitive.

    I'm buying off of my picks while I still can.

    Put money on on Democratic field +125 over Hillary to win, and Trump to win Iowa.

    Not real happy I have to buy off the picks and only take a small profit, or even a small loss, but I can't argue with the numbers.

    This Trump thing is truly baffling.  I'm putting money on him at +125 to get the nomination.  He looks like a sure thing to win New Hampshire, and if he wins Iowa...the nomination is his.

    Good info Nature...you've been dead on about Sanders.  
     
    nature1970
    nature1970
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2016 - 12:42 AM ET #21

    hill is about to be indicted by the fbi for gross mishandling of classified documents.....
    Reply
    hill is about to be indicted by the fbi for gross mishandling of classified documents.....
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posts: 4739
    Posted: Jan. 22, 2016 - 2:57 AM ET #22

    Couple of betting side notes:

    I'm really surprised that there isn't more momentum on the republican side for Rubio.  I think he really fits the bill as a legit candidate.  I really thought there would be more support for him.  I would love to put some money on him, but he just doesn't seem to have the republican support, so I can't pull the trigger.  In a general election, I think he would have more betting value than Trump or Cruz, but it doesn't seem like he will ever get that chance.

    The odds for Biden to win general election went from +7500 to +6500.  Doesn't seem like a lot, but that's a swing in the right (no pun intended) direction for my crazy bet posted above.  Sanders seems to have the momentum right now, but I'm still not sold that the Dems will have the confidence to put Hillary or Bernie up for President if Biden expresses interest.  

    I think if you believe Trump will get the republican nomination (as I do), you probably should load up on a Democrat winning the general.  I don't think Trump is quite strong enough to sway the general public to get the White House.  Winning the Republican nomination is one thing...winning the White House is another.  I'm not sold he can win over enough people in the middle to come out and vote for him. 

    Thoughts?  (again...nothing I say is political statement...I'm just talking about betting and making money on the elections).

    Nature:  Do you think the Hillary indictment rumors are legit, or do you think they are just a strategy to hurt her numbers in an election?




    Reply
    Couple of betting side notes:

    I'm really surprised that there isn't more momentum on the republican side for Rubio.  I think he really fits the bill as a legit candidate.  I really thought there would be more support for him.  I would love to put some money on him, but he just doesn't seem to have the republican support, so I can't pull the trigger.  In a general election, I think he would have more betting value than Trump or Cruz, but it doesn't seem like he will ever get that chance.

    The odds for Biden to win general election went from +7500 to +6500.  Doesn't seem like a lot, but that's a swing in the right (no pun intended) direction for my crazy bet posted above.  Sanders seems to have the momentum right now, but I'm still not sold that the Dems will have the confidence to put Hillary or Bernie up for President if Biden expresses interest.  

    I think if you believe Trump will get the republican nomination (as I do), you probably should load up on a Democrat winning the general.  I don't think Trump is quite strong enough to sway the general public to get the White House.  Winning the Republican nomination is one thing...winning the White House is another.  I'm not sold he can win over enough people in the middle to come out and vote for him. 

    Thoughts?  (again...nothing I say is political statement...I'm just talking about betting and making money on the elections).

    Nature:  Do you think the Hillary indictment rumors are legit, or do you think they are just a strategy to hurt her numbers in an election?




     
    schmeto
    schmeto
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    Posts: 5092
    Posted: Jan. 24, 2016 - 5:33 PM ET #23

    to be Elected as a president you need to seems true but in fact you are very untrue( false)

    say some truth attract people but in live untrue people are most like more follow than "true people"

    so I don t say that Trump is totally true he can t be but he is more true than hillary  he is more franc!

    Hillary is false person I feel that..FACE NEVER LIE.....

    you will see when she will be elected  she will not reveal about his promise on UFO  believe that!
    Reply
    to be Elected as a president you need to seems true but in fact you are very untrue( false)

    say some truth attract people but in live untrue people are most like more follow than "true people"

    so I don t say that Trump is totally true he can t be but he is more true than hillary  he is more franc!

    Hillary is false person I feel that..FACE NEVER LIE.....

    you will see when she will be elected  she will not reveal about his promise on UFO  believe that!
     
    billywaddy
    billywaddy
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    Joined: Jan, 2010
    Posts: 1570
    Posted: Jan. 26, 2016 - 5:41 PM ET #24

    Bernie is the play in Iowa and NH. 
    Reply
    Bernie is the play in Iowa and NH. 
     
     
    nature1970
    nature1970
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    Posts: 21593
    Posted: Jan. 26, 2016 - 7:08 PM ET #25

    Doj will do nothing as long she remains clear nominee elect but this whole administration is on death ground. (See art of war)

     Obama moving organize for action aides to hillary camp

     she holds the only real hope to defeat trump.

    And preserving the state departments secrets held during this administration.

     

    Bloomberg's announcement if she doesn't he will run has shaken this administration

    And already white house calling Bernie too out of touch with reality.

     The party is very concerned of Hillary defeat and

     the secrets she holds leveraging the whole party to come to her cause.

     

    The possibility of the courts becoming more conservative with ginsberg's possible retirement.

    The documents to become republican fodder and the reality of criminial investigations beginning on day one of a attorney general going to the r column has made these key actors a solid force for hillary to win it all…..

     

    Republicans have already started circling the wagons around trump many establishment saying cruz is not the face of the gop.

     

    Reply

    Doj will do nothing as long she remains clear nominee elect but this whole administration is on death ground. (See art of war)

     Obama moving organize for action aides to hillary camp

     she holds the only real hope to defeat trump.

    And preserving the state departments secrets held during this administration.

     

    Bloomberg's announcement if she doesn't he will run has shaken this administration

    And already white house calling Bernie too out of touch with reality.

     The party is very concerned of Hillary defeat and

     the secrets she holds leveraging the whole party to come to her cause.

     

    The possibility of the courts becoming more conservative with ginsberg's possible retirement.

    The documents to become republican fodder and the reality of criminial investigations beginning on day one of a attorney general going to the r column has made these key actors a solid force for hillary to win it all…..

     

    Republicans have already started circling the wagons around trump many establishment saying cruz is not the face of the gop.

     

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