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Posted: #26
.organize for action has ground game unmatched anywhere.
it has incredibile abilities to put multiple flash mobs in hundreds of cities simutanously
this alone can sway iowa easily to a Hillary win ....

it also has a very well organizd staff of officers and is directly responsible for obama's election and reelect
it is a total package with money organization and boasts of 15 million activist members. this with the establishments support makes Hilary the democrat nominee imo
 
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Posted: #27
For those who like to bet on politics, predictwise website might help by giving current probabilities of election results based on gambling markets.  According to University of B.C. study, gamblers are more accurate than public polls in guessing election results.  Especially in final week before election.
 
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Posted: #28
https://www.gallup.com/opinion/polling-matters/188177/trump-image-among-democrats-independents-negative-gop-candidate.aspx

Trump is negative 27 with independents.  It is hard to see him winning the general election.  I believe he might be an overall drag on other Republican candidates.
 
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Posted: #29
Hillary in, this alone will solidify republicans to vote against her.

trump has blue collar labor support, and the gop stamp he can win this.
 
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Posted: #30
https://politicalwire.com/2016/01/27/majority-of-insiders-see-trump-winning-nomination/

Political insiders predict Trump vs. HRC.  Millions of Americans would be very unhappy with that choice.
 
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Posted: #31
Obama move to endorse Hillary inaction. seals this for her and dole's attack of the only challenger Cruz gives Trump the nod. 

this is a Trump vs Hillary I campaigning for trump.
 
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Posted: #32
independant winning @101  if trump or Michael Bloomberg  goes alone..

and 

Michael Bloomberg@ 26 I think it is the man other guys spoke last days about link with financial world (wall street) he wants to spend 1billion for his campain but he will only participate IF hillary is not lead vote pool until Mars. he doesn t want to take his place



 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by schmeto:

independant winning @101  if trump or Michael Bloomberg  goes alone..

and 

Michael Bloomberg@ 26 I think it is the man other guys spoke last days about link with financial world (wall street) he wants to spend 1billion for his campain but he will only participate IF hillary is not lead vote pool until Mars. he doesn t want to take his place




bloomberg isnt running he doesnt have time to be placed on the ballot in the primarys for the dems he goes independent he has no organization it will take a fortune to pay for the organization to amass the signatures to put his name on the ballot in novemeber he couldnt win a mayor job in new york,,, less than zero to mount a real campaign to be potus
 
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Posted: #34
Rubio is remaining stagnant in the polls because Republicans remember that he originally wanted to support comprehensive immigration reform, rather than focusing on deporting illegals.  I realized a few months ago that perhaps Rubio really isn't as intelligent as some may perceive him to be.

I say that because if he intended on making a run at being president, which I believe he always had in mind once he became a senator, then he'd have realized taking that stance would destroy any realistic chance of being the nominee. 
 
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Posted: #35
Good point.  Trump displayed to the entire world that the voting base can be easily lead by their emotions.  So picking on immigrants, scape goating them and using the life blood of this base which is their  angry hateful rhetoric is a key factor.

Rubio not having the same emotionally based historical stance puts him at a disadvantage to appeal to this base, especially when you have trump being able to take advantage of the opportunity to be the pied piper
 
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Posted: #36
gop hmm wonder if a Cuban, or  a blackman can win the nomination...
its a real stumpah of a question  ....lololol
better chance of seeing god in my opinion.
cruz has the birth place issue , Rubio needs Hispanics and they are usually democrats, carson needs black support but after the 60's they are democrats as well.
republicans need white Christians, businessmen and miltia support "the crazies as McCain so eloquently put it" then trumps trump card is afl cio anyone knows anything about unions that builder does.

trump can win this fox megan smelly and her latest cereberal flatuation is helping trump lock up the nomination and possibly the general election

 
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Posted: #37
Big time poll from the Des Moines Register has Trump and Hilary as the leaders.  This poll has a very good track record.

If you want to get some bets in, now is the time.  Trump and Hilary numbers are only going to get worse.

Trump -230 doesn't seem bad.  It's a lot of juice, but this poll has him 5 points ahead.  That's quite a bit.

(Please try and keep the content in this thread to a betting perspective.  I know politics can get emotions going, but I'd really like to keep the content in this thread to money making on political betting only.  Thanks guys)
 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

Big time poll from the Des Moines Register has Trump and Hilary as the leaders.  This poll has a very good track record.

If you want to get some bets in, now is the time.  Trump and Hilary numbers are only going to get worse.

Trump -230 doesn't seem bad.  It's a lot of juice, but this poll has him 5 points ahead.  That's quite a bit.

(Please try and keep the content in this thread to a betting perspective.  I know politics can get emotions going, but I'd really like to keep the content in this thread to money making on political betting only.  Thanks guys)
Trump -230 might not seem "too bad," but you have to be right nearly 70% of the time just to break even.  The "New York Liberal" label might flip some supporters to Cruz, and the older religious conservatives who comprise much of the Iowa GOP are more experienced at the confusing caucus process and lean to Cruz.
 
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Posted: #39
It's definitely not a slam dunk...I just haven't seen any Cruz momentum in the polls to
Suggest he's ready to win. Excitement seems to be with Trump, and numbers are with him as well. Betting markets suggest he's gonna win as well. I've got plays on him to win Iowa and the repub nom.
 
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Posted: #40
https://www.bettingpro.com/category/political-betting/us-presidential-election-betting-odds-20160128-0034/

Good luck whatever anybody decides to do.  There are no locks in elections, either, as Dewey would attest.
 
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Posted: #41
I am betting for Bernie/trump.. good luck.
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by nature1970:

I am betting for Bernie/trump.. good luck.
Your bets are looking good.

https://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2320

Trump is up by 7% and Sanders is up by 3%.  High turnout benefits both.
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by nature1970:

If you want to stay just in the caucasus in Iowa and value Cruz and Sanders. sanders has pulled to even and his grass roots ground game has a lot better chance than Hillary's

caucus is kind of a town meeting, groups of people from the party meet in area communities and slate who has more supporters,
no secret ballot
just who wants whom these go to state headquarters and the delegates are chosen from the state pool to represent whomever at the national convention. from both sides and the final announcement is about the collective will at the time from the state.

these things are dreadfully boring and argumentative as each side pitches who they favor. last for hours take up most of a day and its really cold in iowa soooo.... its about who can get who to be the most enthusiastic voice to these open meetings

if your to handicap this Bernie has greatest value.
cruz wins most by evangelical belief in the parties caucus good luck how ever you bet this affair

I really need to stop guessin' myself

 
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Posted: #44
did you imagine marging error of pools before vote? and the final result

people had no balls to vote what they said on poll sondage before it just wind
 
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Posted: #45
anyone been paid on their Hillary Iowa bet yet?
 
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Posted: #46
I paid up a coin flip is a coin flip she won.

cruz taking trump wasn't that surprising.

bet with my heart foolishly.....
 
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Posted: #47
Sanders lost all six coin flips.  Now THAT is a bad beat.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/coin-toss-broke-6-clinton-sanders-deadlocks-in-iowa-and-hillary-won-each-time-2016-02-02?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts
 
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Posted: #48
who was flipping blakemen?
 
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Posted: #49
onto NH Bernies got this one, repulicans trump / rubio
 
 
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Posted: #50
Rubio favorite 


on the top secret  of private mails send and received by hillary   it have nothing who speak about government secrets but things like how obama did  on her ash****** 
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