Rod's NBL Round 5

Overall YTD (12-7-0) +22.65 units

Kings +8.5 over Bullets

Kings ML over Bullets - (+335) (1)

Perhaps a long shot with the Kings ML given the Bullets are about the break the NBL record of number of consecutive home wins in the league tonight however history between these two teams suggests it will be a close affair. Kings were in winning positions in both finals game last season before the Bullets depth in their roster took over late in the games and most likely that will happen again tonight. But at +335 I'll bite on value alone.

Slingers +14 over Tigers

lol at me for getting high on backing the worst team in the league against one of the best but situationally this is a nice little spot for the home team. Tigers have spent most of the start of the season on the road which has seen them starting in Singapore, Adelaide, Gold Coast, Cairns with a game back in Melbourne before going full circle and ending it with another appearance in Singapore. At some point the early travel in the 3 week period will take its toll, there were signs of that in their win against the Dragons last Saturday.

The Tigers have the depth in their bench to overcome this but with a 10 day break ahead I can see them doing just the minimum to get the win here.

I have no interest in either total tonight so will be giving them a miss.

take the broom out rod.


thanks for the slingers tips.

you need to change your nick to HOT ROD

what was their home streak run?

20 games

Like a couple of bets today in Kiwiland

o203.5 Breakers v Sixers

Breakers -5 over Sixers (3)

Perfect opportunity for the Breakers to break to trends which they have experienced this season namely going 0-3 ATS and 3-0 'unders' in first 3 games to start the season. The loss of Davidson to the Sixers is considerable IMO from a defense point of view for the Sixers, as he has shown so far this season he is clearly Adelaide's best 'hustler' interms of perimter defense. This in turn will release both Turner and Penney who with Forman should be able to improve considerably on their shooting % which have been pretty substandard collectively for the Breakers to date. With so many perimter threats the Breakers should be able to capitalise with the Sixers undermanned backcourt.

In terms of form, the Sixers are quickly becoming a gimme when on the road for opposing teams, a loss tonight could break a 10 year old record of 6 consecutive road losses for them. Clearly they are no longer a force on the road as they once were. Lemanis has indicated that the Breakers will be concentrating on bring more energy to the start of this game to ensure they do not fall behind early which is something they have done in all 3 honme games to date.

Nicely done Rod.

missed out again on these winners.

damn.

o203.5 Breakers v Sixers  =

Breakers -5 =

 

its been known for teams to have a let down game  after a big upset win, no other big game than kings beating the best team on the road in the comp.

Razorbacks +7 =

Hawks +7 =

+ money for tonight, that is it for the round for me as I am passing on both Sunday games.

awesome week rod , congrats

X

Round 5 (6-1-0) +21.05 units

Overall YTD (18-8-0) +43.70 units

I'm on track for my season end goal of +75 units, hopefully there are similar weeks ahead.