Olympic Curling 2010

One I love this morning already. Canada/U.S. under 12.5. Both teams lean to a more conservative style of play, 4.8 units to win 4. Also riding my Japan squad. 3.6 units to win 3 vs Russia.

Will be back with more morning picks, but have locked two in for the Men's this afternoon.

 

GVB -1.5 vs USA 4 units to win 3.

Nor/Swe under 11.5 3.7 units to win 3.

Okay, here are our plays for the next two draws. There are a lot.

Women's USA/Can under 12.5, 7.33 units to win 6.

USA +1.5, 1.4 units to win 1.6. 1 unit to win 2.5 units.

GBR/Swiss under 12.5 2.3 units to win 2. GBR 1.4 units to win 1.68.

Japan vs Rus 5.4 units to win 4.5. person -1.5, 3 units to win 4.6.

Den/Germ over 11.5, 3.1 units to win 2.5. Den to win 2.1 units to win 2.

 

Men's Draw

GBR over US -1.5, 5.7 units to win 4.5. Interesting there must have been some action on the U.S. as it went from -132 to -114.

Nor/Swe under 11.5, 3.7 units to win 3. Sweden +1.5 vs Nor, 1.7 units to win 1.5, also straight up 1.5 unit to win 2.65 units.

Den/Germ over 11.5, 3.1 units to win 2.5.

Swiss +1.5 vs Can, 1.5 units to win 2.3, 1 unit to win 3.

My big plays as you can see are the States/Canada under, Japan over Russia in the ladies and Scotland over the U.S in men's.

Edin has has some success against Norway, so I have played him and I am wondering if Martin has a little let down after the Murdoch game last night and perhaps the Swiss can keep it close.

Back to the ladies for a second, McCormick hasn't exactly been shooting the lights out, but Bernard can only win so many games on last rock, so it is worth the play.

 

Speaking of Bernard, they have played well, but she has also "just made" a couple of her game winning shots. They have already released a line on the night game tonight and at even money I am on China, for 4 units vs Canada.

Hey, I think you have a typo as Den/Germ over on the women's side was at 12.5.

That's a lot of plays...hope they hit for ya! Good luck.

Yes, thanks for the heads up Ang, it was a typo.

 

McCormick is going to single handedly cost me 10 units. I am amazed how she can't throw a rock to her sweepers and continues to pitch them through the house. The only way this under is hitting is if there is an early quit.

 

Are you not playing anything for this draw Ang?

Well, that blank will help you.

I do have some plays going today and their posted in my thread. Really need Great Britain to pick up their play this morning.

And as I type that, Japan gives up a steal of 3.

Unreal.

Times 2

This Japan skip, is the polar opposite of McCormick, light by a mile on each draw.

Wow, it appears my motivational talk worked. Japan has kicked two field goals to tie it. Glad U.S.A. packed it in, to hit our under. Poor McCormick shot 58%.

I forgot how stressful it is watching women's curling especially teams that have no clue on strategy. First Japan, makes a great hit from the wings in 9, to go up 1 playing 10, then Russia played the entire end to take one, never even thinking about being aggressive to play for the win. Her strategy almost pays off, as Ohmiya the second for Japan throws an absolute death shot, that should have sealed our fate. Thankfully, Meg makes a nice tap back after coming around a long guard, not only for the win, but we luck out on our -1.5 bet. Incredible. From misery to elation. Pick up 7.9 units this morning, to bring our total to 58-44 +43.67 units.

 

Not so sure about that China ladies bet tonight now. Bernard team played a great game this morning.

Look at that Murdoch now -180 -1.5 vs USA this morning, it was    -132 to -114 and now up to -180.

Sorry, adding two plays for tonight, then I will bow out for ahwile.

 

Sweden -1.5 vs USA 6.5 units to win 5. Sweden off a big loss, looking to bounce back. McCormick looks shell shocked right now.

 

Can/China under 12.5, 2.46 units to win 2.

Beamer another one of your big plays that you missed mentioned above is the Sweden -1.5 vs the U.S. for 6.5 to win 5 units in the women's draw tonight at 10 p.m.

Actually should read 'mentioning' instead of 'mentioned'.

One posted this notice in case you had cancelled the play or something but I see now that this wager was posted after you listed your big plays.  

Thanks heavens Jason Smith buried one around the corner guard for the U.S. as it forced Great Britain to draw to the house to give us our -1.5 win. Nice shot by Sweden in the extra end also.

For tonight.

 

China vs Cda 4.04 to win 4 units

China/CAn under 12.5, 2.46 to win 2.

 

Swe -1.5 vs USA, 6.5 units to win 5

Swe/U.S under 12.5,1,5 units to win 1.5

 

Japan over Germ, 2.85 to win 2.5

person/Germ over 12.5, 2.7 to win 2.5

What a good game to watch last night between Canada and China. Bernard finally missed her last shot, for the first time this week. That and the Sweden game put a good ending to the day, as we had into the second last round robin day at 67-48 +56.77 units.

Morning Draw- Nothing overly appealing to me. Mostly going with morning unders.

Fra/Nor under 11.5, 1.7 units to win 1.5.

Can/Usa under 11.5, 1.5 units to win 1.5

Swiss/Swe under 11.5. 1.75 to win 1.5.

China/Germ over 11.5, 1.8 to win 1.5.

China +1.5 vs Ger, 1.6 units to win 1.5, also straight up 1 unit to win 1.75.

Ladies Draw at 4pm cst.

person/Swiss over 12.5, 4.56 to win 4.

Rus/China over 12, 1.6 units to win 1.5.

GBR/Den over 12.5, 1.5 units to win 1.5. GBR 2.1 units to win 2 vs Den.

Swe over Can,  2 units to win 3.5.

Will add for the late draw later, but already on Denmark vs France. Almost a pick em and France doesn't deserve to be a pick em against anybody.

Watching the Germany/Japan ladies game last night, I think Grabovski, could have used the Germany Skip and Vice-skip to back him up in his  bar fight in Vancouver.

 

Nice calls on the morning draw today...hope Germany gets one in the tenth to cover! 4 for 4 so far! Appreciate your insight and picks.

Nice work and GL

Loving Denmark -118 against France tonight in mens...

Thanks for the kind words Seymour. Those early morning Men's unders continue to come in. Sweden aside, things are shaping up nicely after five ends in the ladies draw today (Sweden aside). My big play has Swiss up 6-3 at the break and I think as long as Japan can score one more point in the game, it should hit.

Ryeguy, all with you on Denmark. Have put 5.5 units to win 5 on them vs France. Also decided to play the over, which I normally don't do in France games, over 11.5, 2.5 units to win 2.

 

GBR -1.5 vs Germ, 4.3 units to win 3.5. Murdoch is all time 10-2 in head to head matches vs Kapp. Also played the over 11.5, 2.16 units to win 2.

China/USA over 12.5, 5.2 units to win 4.5. Also China +1.5, 2 units to win 1.5 and 1.5 units straight up to win 2.

 

I really feel for these teams like the States, China, etc that are out of medal contention you always have a tendancy, to play more aggressive, creating more overs. You are out of the running, so you may as well put lots of rocks in play and have an entertaining game.

Some of the afternoon draws were on track but fell off (didn't play Sweden, can't go against Canada in curling...so no play)

Like GRB tonight as well and good thoughts about the overs near the end of the draws. Already on Denmark as well.

Will update record later, it was a good day, but could have been a great day had the Danes pulled it out. China was our saviour last night.

 

Don't see much again on the morning draw that interest me.

Swiss/Ger over 12.5 2.2 units to win 2.

GBR/Can under 11.5 1.5 units to win 1.5

Japan/Swe over 12.5, 1.6 units to win 1.5. Playing this that Japan has not had an under game yet.

Also going to play two two dogs on the 1.5, line maybe on hits for a profit. Japan +1.5 vs Swe, and GBR +1.5 vs Cdn, 1.1 units to win 1.4 and 1.1 to win 1.7. Be back later today for Men's afternoon action,

 

Already on Fra/Swiss under this afternoon.

One more GBR vs Norway this afternoon at + money on the over at 11.5. 4 units to win 4.4.

Men's Final Draw

China +1.5 vs Can, 1 unit to win 2.9. For fun bet. Also have 1.6 units on the over 12.5, to win 1.87.

GBR/Nor over 11.5, 4 units to win 4.4.

Swe/Den under 11.5, 2.28 units to win 2.

Swiss/Fra under 11.5, 3.5 units to win 3. Swiss -1.5, 2.1 units to win 1.5.

Total after the morning draw 81-57 +65.81 units.

One big one already for the Ladies draw tonight, Japan/Denmark over 12.5, 6.5 units to win 5.

Good to see the GBR/ Norway over hit. 85-59 +73.3 units.

 

Our last draw, so here we go.

As noted above person/Den over 12.5, 6.5 units to win 5. Also on Den, 2.5 to win 2 units

 

USA/Swiss over 12.5, 3.78 units to win 3.5. U.S. +1.5, 1.2 units to win 1.2

 

Swe/Germ over 11.5 3.35 units to win 2.5. Also Germ +1.5, 1.5 uints to win 1.5

 

Rus +1.5 vs Can, 1 unit to win 1.7

USA straight up 1.1 uints to win 2.5 And that will do it.