2009 Tour de France

Cancellara, Martinez, Arroyo, Moncoutie, Pellizotti are in a 12 man escape group.

Moncoutie has 2 team mates with him. If this escape group gets away it's advantage Moncoutie for a stage win if he can rediscover his form from the Dauphine.

Take Moncoutie vs Astarloza at -139?

Take it!

They won't make it to the line, Astana is pushing hard and Contador wants the stage and the yellow. I like all your plays on Sastre.

Bet365 is now offerint the field over Contador @ 1.45, it shows how confident they are.

The field is now @ 1.60  You might be surprised by the final km has only 3.2 % gradient, Sastre or Evans could outsprint super Alberto.

You still have 2 men for the win, watch for Evans

Got Sastre covered

Got Liquigas covered without Nibali

Adding a further 1 unit on Kreuziger @ $26

Got Moncoutie covered but he won't survive a brave solo attempt.

Evans, Schleck, Menchov won't win today. Confident I have the winner!

Time to win some easy money...Menchov isn't that bad, pick up over Martin @ 2.00 There's no way the young man get risk to the leaders

Great timing on this pick. Nicely done Bolar .

I ended up 3-3 with a lost of 4.1 units.

Moncoutie fucked me up once again, he finished 97th exactly one spot in front of Pellizotti, what a bad luck.  Menchov felt asleep, I won't back him anymore.

Record : 29-40, -49.7 units

With Moncoutie one spot down, I would have won 5.2 units instead...

Rest day tomorrow.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

In play!

.3 units Sastre @ $75
.5 units Trofimov @ $25 - he's the descender in the break group.
.5 units Sanchez @ $29

.7 units Schleck A @ $22

This works well.

Get another long shot tomorrow. I already have the rider in mind! Had him in mind for tomorrow's stage since the Tour began. All will be revealed tomorrow.

You had the 1st and I called Casard 2nd !

I ended up 3-2 with 3 units in profit.  Not so bad.  I'll be posting my plays tomorrow morning.

I might go in a bar to watch the race, French people are probably getting crazy during a race when there's a frenchman in front.

Overall :

Record : 32-42, -46.7 units

Let's see if Lightning strikes 4 times.

.2 unit Rolland @ $126
.2 unit Popovych @ $126
.2 unit Monfort @ $101
.2 unit Spilak @ $81
.2 unit Rogers @ $81
.2 unit Martinez @ $81
.2 unit Knees @ $81
.3 unit Txurruka @ $67
.3 unit Garate @ $67
.2 unit Feillu @ $67
.4 unit Moreau @ $67
.3 unit Kreuziger @ $51
.3 unit Anton @ $51
.8 unit Moncoutie @ $26

And my big play!

1 unit Gerdemann @ $67

It's about time Moreau shows his colours. Has the climbing legs. Gerdemann has good history here. He made his name on the Col de la Colombière in 2007. About time he shows something. 12 minutes down. Will be allowed in a break.

Columbia need to save face in the mountains too. White is gone. Send Rogers or Monfort up the road.

Good luck!

I had already placed LLS over Nocentini but none of your other bets figures on Pinnacle. I've placed 5 plays at 3 units each :

Frank Schleck vs Carlos Sastre @1.794
Roman Kreuziger vs Kim Kirchen @2.24
Mikel Astarloza vs Sandy Casar @ 1.606
Luis Leon Sanchez vs Rinaldo Nocentini @ 1.82
Vladimir Karpets vs Jurgen Van Den Broeck @ 2.33

I added two dogs this morning 1 unit each

Lance Armstrong vs Andreas Kloden @ 2.140
Christian Knees vs Linus Gerdemann @ 2.23

The race in starting in about 3hrs, enjoy this long day in the moutains.