Superbowl thoughts

We get it, you like Arizona. Get back to me when this line closes at 7.5 or 8. You should take my advice and wait for a better number, it will be available. But it still won't be enough.

3rd, are you there buddy?

Are you listening to yourself?????

Wow, you already know what the outcome are before the game even started.

Let me get this straight, you stated all the money is coming in on Arizona so the line have moved higher to attract more Zona backers money? So what you are saying is, Vegas have already picked a winner for the Superbowl. They confidently feel Pitt can cover the number thus moving the Pitt line higher to load up more Zona bandwagon? Just reading between your line there bud.

BUT what happen if Vegas wants to balance the action, and they have decided to make Zona more attractive since there are more money coming in on Pitt? I am seeing -7 everywhere now and like you stated, could see -8 or -9.

You said so yourself, your unloading everything on Pitt -pts and your going to unload some more on Pitt with your local.

Very dangerous move there buddy.

But your right.........

  Zona backers

My comment was nothing about me liking AZ, it was to correct your mis-read of why the line is moving and where the money is...  You should take the advice...

Show me some evidence as to why I'm wrong.

So far I'm seeing a higher % on Arizona with opposite line movement, and I'm telling you where I think this line will close.

Last week I said the Eagles line would spike to 4 or 4.5 and close at 3 or 3.5, I guess I read that one wrong too.

I don't know what everybody's malfunction is around here. You can't have an intelligent discussion here anymore. Good luck with your plays. I'll say it again - if you love Arizona so much, wait until game day and grab it at +7.5 or +8. Me, I'll be on Pittsburgh at anything up to -9.5, and my first 7 units are locked in at -6.5.

And ChoiOi, just stop posting, you are a fucking clown.

I was not commenting on last weeks line movement.  And I called the line movement last week as well, that was not hard at all to predict.

It's this weeks that I commenting on because there is about even money on both sides.  One thing to remember about the Super Bowl, is that small money (public bets) will outweigh big money (sharps) overall.  Vegas knows that the small money will keep coming in on Pitt at -7 to even out the big money that is hitting AZ +7 or is waiting for possibly a better line.  If they move off of 7 to 7.5, Vegas will get pounded by big money and they will start seeing a lot more small money coming in on AZ too.  So, the line will stay were it is at AZ +7.  It is already at (-105) for both sides.  Which means they are getting even flow on both ends...and they love it...

So, you saying that it moves to 8 is way off in my opinion.  If it does move there, I will come in and say that I was wrong and give you props... 

Yes, I know more small money is coming in on Pitt. However, you should know that big money usually waits to get a better line with the Underdog.  So, even though Vegas is getting a little more action on Pitt right now, they know that big money is waiting right around the corner to even it out when they know they can't get a better line. 

Moving the line off of 7 to 7.5 or 8, Vegas would start getting big money and small money for AZ, which would leave them with too much RISK is AZ covers...

There is nothing to gain from looking at a regular season game from over a year ago.

They don't have to shut Fitzgerald down. They have to hit these Cardinal receivers at the line of scrimmage and disrupt the timing of these routes. The Eagles did not do that. Pittsbugh gets great pressure with just the front 4, when they do blitz they will get there.

When Arizona loses, they lose big. There has been only one loss for them this season that has been by less than 7. I just don't understand why so many people feel that they are getting value with 7 points here.

The ONLY case you can make for Arizona here is if you think Pittsburgh won't get it done on offense. Pitt's defense has gotten the job done against everybody they've played. I've said all year that Ben did not look comfortable in the pocket, he looked skittish. He looked very good to me in the last two games, and having Parker healthy is a big plus for him. Arizona got worked by Celek, I wonder what kind of day Miller will have. Baltimore's defense did not rattle Ben, I have no reason to think that Arizona will.

I had Arizona, Arizona ML & Pittsburgh last week, and I'm a Colts fan, there is nothing biased about my pick here.