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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    phixer's nfl week 5

    «First Previous 101112 ... 202122 Next Last»
    RLeith35
    phixer
    rocketarm
    Takerphenom
    Lowme
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 114627
    Posts: 536
    «First Previous 101112 ... 202122 Next Last»
     
    RLeith35
    RLeith35
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2015 - 11:42 PM ET #226

    Quote Originally Posted by RLeith35:

    , the Super Bowl losers hit the highway, where
    life has not been kind for America’s most popular runner-ups. Especially so
    in games against undefeated opposition as defending Super Bowl losing
    teams are just 5-15 SU and 7-13 ATS since 1980, including 1-8 SU and 2-7
    ATS when they own a win percentage of less than .750 on the season.
    It doesn’t help that Seattle itself is
    0-6 SU and 0-4-2 ATS
    away at AFC
    North division sites in their franchise history. Meanwhile, the Bengals love
    knocking heads with the NFC, going 12-2-1 SU and 10-3-2 ATS in their last
    15 non-conference meeting


    By Mark Lawrence
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by RLeith35:

    , the Super Bowl losers hit the highway, where
    life has not been kind for America’s most popular runner-ups. Especially so
    in games against undefeated opposition as defending Super Bowl losing
    teams are just 5-15 SU and 7-13 ATS since 1980, including 1-8 SU and 2-7
    ATS when they own a win percentage of less than .750 on the season.
    It doesn’t help that Seattle itself is
    0-6 SU and 0-4-2 ATS
    away at AFC
    North division sites in their franchise history. Meanwhile, the Bengals love
    knocking heads with the NFC, going 12-2-1 SU and 10-3-2 ATS in their last
    15 non-conference meeting


    By Mark Lawrence
     
    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2015 - 11:51 PM ET #227

    if the tout is on the bengals - i'm relaxed
    Reply
    if the tout is on the bengals - i'm relaxed
     
    rocketarm
    rocketarm
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2015 - 11:55 PM ET #228

    I'm not lazy, but can someone recap phixer's Sunday/ Monday picks?

    I'm seeing Sea, SF, but may have missed some (my computer sucks)

    Reply

    I'm not lazy, but can someone recap phixer's Sunday/ Monday picks?

    I'm seeing Sea, SF, but may have missed some (my computer sucks)

     
    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2015 - 11:57 PM ET #229

    NFL Week 5: GB Packers vs STL Rams

    Another 4-0 ATS team is going to loose it's virginity.

    This is a 5 Units Play

    STL Rams +8.5  -110  550$


    Reply
    NFL Week 5: GB Packers vs STL Rams

    Another 4-0 ATS team is going to loose it's virginity.

    This is a 5 Units Play

    STL Rams +8.5  -110  550$


     
    Takerphenom
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2015 - 12:10 AM ET #230

    this cant be...... u like all team that i dont like for this week lol :(
    Reply
    this cant be...... u like all team that i dont like for this week lol :(
     
    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2015 - 1:10 AM ET #231

    Quote Originally Posted by Takerphenom:

    this cant be...... u like all team that i dont like for this week lol :(
    you should go with what you like. period. never change your mind because of somebody else
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Takerphenom:

    this cant be...... u like all team that i dont like for this week lol :(
    you should go with what you like. period. never change your mind because of somebody else
     
    Lowme
    Lowme
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2015 - 1:42 AM ET #232

    With you on skins hawks lions 49rs adding dallas +9 gl
    Reply
    With you on skins hawks lions 49rs adding dallas +9 gl
     
    insatiable
    insatiable
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2015 - 2:03 AM ET #233

    good luck buddy
    Reply
    good luck buddy
     
    penguins1503
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2015 - 3:38 AM ET #234

    Thee Rams +8.5 I like it!!!
    Reply
    Thee Rams +8.5 I like it!!!
     
    fadeORdie
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2015 - 4:51 AM ET #235

    I think you sweep this week.

    Love your thinking on how Vegas/NFL manipulates games to make sure no free money is given out to the squares.
    Reply
    I think you sweep this week.

    Love your thinking on how Vegas/NFL manipulates games to make sure no free money is given out to the squares.
     
    brandone
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2015 - 8:12 AM ET #236

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    we will know soon enough who is right and who is wrong. i also provided with the whole strategy which no one seems to relate at all regarding seattle at cincinnati game.

     

    So basically your (Tony Chau), system is a chase system predicated on vegas adjusting the number to the losing team, hoping one week they cover? Is this the relation to your strategy?

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    we will know soon enough who is right and who is wrong. i also provided with the whole strategy which no one seems to relate at all regarding seattle at cincinnati game.

     

    So basically your (Tony Chau), system is a chase system predicated on vegas adjusting the number to the losing team, hoping one week they cover? Is this the relation to your strategy?

     
    Igglez
    Igglez
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2015 - 8:46 AM ET #237

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    The Bengals are one of my favorite teams to bet on. Over the years they have produced for me more spot plays than any other NFL team. The Seahawks are one of the teams I really don't like. Because of the ref biases and them beating time after time till they made up for it and  made me the money for all the previous losses when they defeated the Broncos in the Superbowl. And this Sunday - I expect them to make me money again. Why? How?

    We were handed a mind game convincing us the Seahawks are at their worse now and since they have miraculously escaped the home loss to pathetic Lions - they must have a very little chance surviving high powered Bengals. The Seahawks are up against two 4-0 teams in the next two weeks. The Bengals week at Cincinnati and the Panthers at home the week after. And here comes again the ATS trick I was telling you this week and used it to win the TNF bet on the Colts: the Bengals are 4-0 ATS while the Seahawks are 1-3. We are going to see those numbers balancing a bit after Sunday as we will have 2-3 ATS Seahawks and 4-1 ATS Bengals. I am not even going to watch the game and not because I'm full of vanity - no, I will have better games to watch than this as the cover here for me is in a high probability. And you know why I am so self confident? Because the Bengals have a game in Buffalo the week after and if they will go there 5-0 ATS - they will not cover there and I will have triple this bet over there on the Bills, and if they miraculously cover again in Buffalo and become 6-0 ATS going into a bye week - the next game will be awaiting them in Week 8 is a pivotal game in Pittsburgh. Vegas will not have much to gain by then because everyone will be on the Steelers realizing the Bengals can't go forever winning ATS and therefore Vegas will not allow that to happen and the Bengals will lose ATS beforehand. In short - there are no limits as long as you have the money what can you do tripling your bets on a team that is either 4-0 or 0-4 ATS, because the juice is a less factor knowing that by tripling your previous bet each time - you can easily make money as long as you are disciplined and manage your money well.

    So, you've been warned. If you do not have the discipline or the money to follow the narrative above - stay out of this bet.

    . Love this phixer.  I've got a guy I follow on another site.  He only plays one or two games a week, and he's an ace.  I almost love to see a loss though, because in the 4 years ice been following him, I don't think he's lost 2 in a row, so when he loses, I absolutely HAMMER his next pick.  Like you said, if he lost that second game, I wouldn't care, because I would triple hammer the next pick.... Love your reasoning on things, I knew there was another out there.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    The Bengals are one of my favorite teams to bet on. Over the years they have produced for me more spot plays than any other NFL team. The Seahawks are one of the teams I really don't like. Because of the ref biases and them beating time after time till they made up for it and  made me the money for all the previous losses when they defeated the Broncos in the Superbowl. And this Sunday - I expect them to make me money again. Why? How?

    We were handed a mind game convincing us the Seahawks are at their worse now and since they have miraculously escaped the home loss to pathetic Lions - they must have a very little chance surviving high powered Bengals. The Seahawks are up against two 4-0 teams in the next two weeks. The Bengals week at Cincinnati and the Panthers at home the week after. And here comes again the ATS trick I was telling you this week and used it to win the TNF bet on the Colts: the Bengals are 4-0 ATS while the Seahawks are 1-3. We are going to see those numbers balancing a bit after Sunday as we will have 2-3 ATS Seahawks and 4-1 ATS Bengals. I am not even going to watch the game and not because I'm full of vanity - no, I will have better games to watch than this as the cover here for me is in a high probability. And you know why I am so self confident? Because the Bengals have a game in Buffalo the week after and if they will go there 5-0 ATS - they will not cover there and I will have triple this bet over there on the Bills, and if they miraculously cover again in Buffalo and become 6-0 ATS going into a bye week - the next game will be awaiting them in Week 8 is a pivotal game in Pittsburgh. Vegas will not have much to gain by then because everyone will be on the Steelers realizing the Bengals can't go forever winning ATS and therefore Vegas will not allow that to happen and the Bengals will lose ATS beforehand. In short - there are no limits as long as you have the money what can you do tripling your bets on a team that is either 4-0 or 0-4 ATS, because the juice is a less factor knowing that by tripling your previous bet each time - you can easily make money as long as you are disciplined and manage your money well.

    So, you've been warned. If you do not have the discipline or the money to follow the narrative above - stay out of this bet.

    . Love this phixer.  I've got a guy I follow on another site.  He only plays one or two games a week, and he's an ace.  I almost love to see a loss though, because in the 4 years ice been following him, I don't think he's lost 2 in a row, so when he loses, I absolutely HAMMER his next pick.  Like you said, if he lost that second game, I wouldn't care, because I would triple hammer the next pick.... Love your reasoning on things, I knew there was another out there.
     
    HenneGivnSunday
    HenneGivnSunday
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2015 - 8:46 AM ET #238

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    you should go with what you like. period. never change your mind because of somebody else


    Taken directly from the rule book of life. Great advice Phix & BOL to you this week. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    you should go with what you like. period. never change your mind because of somebody else


    Taken directly from the rule book of life. Great advice Phix & BOL to you this week. 
     
    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2015 - 9:23 AM ET #239

    Quote Originally Posted by brandone:

     

    So basically your (Tony Chau), system is a chase system predicated on vegas adjusting the number to the losing team, hoping one week they cover? Is this the relation to your strategy?

    have no idea who is tony chau - but "basically" - the "chasing" strategy you call is for me even simpler  pre planned martingale X3. not anywhere and anytime but taken from a certain point that i think i won't need even one application of what i call martingale and you call chasing. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by brandone:

     

    So basically your (Tony Chau), system is a chase system predicated on vegas adjusting the number to the losing team, hoping one week they cover? Is this the relation to your strategy?

    have no idea who is tony chau - but "basically" - the "chasing" strategy you call is for me even simpler  pre planned martingale X3. not anywhere and anytime but taken from a certain point that i think i won't need even one application of what i call martingale and you call chasing. 
     
    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2015 - 9:27 AM ET #240

    Quote Originally Posted by rocketarm:

    I'm not lazy, but can someone recap phixer's Sunday/ Monday picks?

    I'm seeing Sea, SF, but may have missed some (my computer sucks)

    youre lazy to list back and youre too lazy to have your computer fixed. may be even you were to lazy to earn few bucks to have someone else fix your computer. but basically - youre lazy. wake up. the life spot you were given is going to waste
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by rocketarm:

    I'm not lazy, but can someone recap phixer's Sunday/ Monday picks?

    I'm seeing Sea, SF, but may have missed some (my computer sucks)

    youre lazy to list back and youre too lazy to have your computer fixed. may be even you were to lazy to earn few bucks to have someone else fix your computer. but basically - youre lazy. wake up. the life spot you were given is going to waste
     
    walleyetime
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2015 - 9:32 AM ET #241

    phixer st louis is the way i was leaning now i know im on them
    Reply
    phixer st louis is the way i was leaning now i know im on them
     
    kroep76
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2015 - 9:41 AM ET #242

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    youre lazy to list back and youre too lazy to have your computer fixed. may be even you were to lazy to earn few bucks to have someone else fix your computer. but basically - youre lazy. wake up. the life spot you were given is going to waste

    Well Said Phix!!!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    youre lazy to list back and youre too lazy to have your computer fixed. may be even you were to lazy to earn few bucks to have someone else fix your computer. but basically - youre lazy. wake up. the life spot you were given is going to waste

    Well Said Phix!!!
     
    NFL-1975
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2015 - 9:50 AM ET #243

     This week 
    Reply
     This week 
     
    brandone
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2015 - 9:55 AM ET #244

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    have no idea who is tony chau - but "basically" - the "chasing" strategy you call is for me even simpler  pre planned martingale X3. not anywhere and anytime but taken from a certain point that i think i won't need even one application of what i call martingale and you call chasing. 

    So,..How many times since you're not chasing, do you double, or triple your bet wager, before you stop? Correct me if I'm wrong, but I would guess it's 3 since the system is X3.

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    have no idea who is tony chau - but "basically" - the "chasing" strategy you call is for me even simpler  pre planned martingale X3. not anywhere and anytime but taken from a certain point that i think i won't need even one application of what i call martingale and you call chasing. 

    So,..How many times since you're not chasing, do you double, or triple your bet wager, before you stop? Correct me if I'm wrong, but I would guess it's 3 since the system is X3.

     
    Vegas1311
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    Posted: Oct. 11, 2015 - 10:08 AM ET #245

    Phix,

    Not sure if you remember me from your NBA playoff thread last year. I posted my plays on your thread. Anyway, need some advice on a middle opportunity today.

    Pending: 565/500 6.5 teaser with GB -2 remaining. If it pushes on 2 I lose (stupid book)

    I can get Rams at 10 at -130 and 10.5 at -140. What would you bet to hit that possible huge middle with key numbers 3,4,7,10? Thanks for any advice
    Reply
    Phix,

    Not sure if you remember me from your NBA playoff thread last year. I posted my plays on your thread. Anyway, need some advice on a middle opportunity today.

    Pending: 565/500 6.5 teaser with GB -2 remaining. If it pushes on 2 I lose (stupid book)

    I can get Rams at 10 at -130 and 10.5 at -140. What would you bet to hit that possible huge middle with key numbers 3,4,7,10? Thanks for any advice
     
    Safe-Cracker
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    Posts: 73
    Posted: Oct. 11, 2015 - 10:35 AM ET #246

    Let's get it Phix
    Reply
    Let's get it Phix
     
    Noobsteroldhead
    Noobsteroldhead
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    Posts: 17
    Posted: Oct. 11, 2015 - 10:42 AM ET #247

    Thx for posting your picks and thoughts.. As always great stuff. Good luck today brother.
    Im thinking the brownies might cover. That's always a close game, except for today probaly.
    Reply
    Thx for posting your picks and thoughts.. As always great stuff. Good luck today brother.
    Im thinking the brownies might cover. That's always a close game, except for today probaly.
     
    Wizerguy
    Wizerguy
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    Posts: 38336
    Posted: Oct. 11, 2015 - 10:42 AM ET #248

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    joe public is all over the arizona. all over. the line is too fishy and the lions are due. 


    Detroits revenge from last year also...so the motivation is there

    gl
    - The storms will come, the storms will pass -
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    joe public is all over the arizona. all over. the line is too fishy and the lions are due. 


    Detroits revenge from last year also...so the motivation is there

    gl
     
    JorgeMtzBrohez
    JorgeMtzBrohez
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    Posts: 472
    Posted: Oct. 11, 2015 - 10:57 AM ET #249

    If someone that´s been following the thread could be kind enough to sum up the picks.

    From what I could pick up the picks are the following:

    1. Rams 
    2. Detroit
    3. Seattle
    4. SF

    Did I miss any?

    Thanks and GL
    Reply
    If someone that´s been following the thread could be kind enough to sum up the picks.

    From what I could pick up the picks are the following:

    1. Rams 
    2. Detroit
    3. Seattle
    4. SF

    Did I miss any?

    Thanks and GL
     
     
    Irish1986
    Irish1986
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    Posts: 111
    Posted: Oct. 11, 2015 - 10:59 AM ET #250

    Wash+7 also wash+4 1st half 
    Reply
    Wash+7 also wash+4 1st half 
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