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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    NFL PLAYOFF TIME ...............................2024

    «First Previous 456 ... 789 Next Last»
    Boisestateand8
    theclaw
    DogbiteWilliams
    Mskeets
    begginerboy
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 12111
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    «First Previous 456 ... 789 Next Last»
     
    Boisestateand8
    Boisestateand8
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    Posted: Jan. 13, 2025 - 2:18 PM ET #76

    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

    0-3, lost 3.3 units Brutal  , I never thought these plays would go 0-3, crazy. Now I need to count on the Rams to at least get back to a reasonable loss the one team I dont have alot of faith in. 0-4 will be tough to come back from for sure. 1-3, 2 games below .500 VS 4 games below .500 Play coming later maybe get the +3 probably  not.

    Leaning Rams myself. Hoping for +3 but I doubt it gets there. Even with the game in Glendale it feels like the right side though at +2. BOL Claw. an_cheers

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    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

    0-3, lost 3.3 units Brutal  , I never thought these plays would go 0-3, crazy. Now I need to count on the Rams to at least get back to a reasonable loss the one team I dont have alot of faith in. 0-4 will be tough to come back from for sure. 1-3, 2 games below .500 VS 4 games below .500 Play coming later maybe get the +3 probably  not.

    Leaning Rams myself. Hoping for +3 but I doubt it gets there. Even with the game in Glendale it feels like the right side though at +2. BOL Claw. an_cheers

     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Jan. 13, 2025 - 7:31 PM ET #77

    Quote Originally Posted by insatiable:

    @theclaw  With you Tampa and Denver. Good luck brother

    peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by insatiable:

    @theclaw  With you Tampa and Denver. Good luck brother

    peace_5

     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Jan. 13, 2025 - 7:33 PM ET #78

    Quote Originally Posted by gambling-devil:

    @theclaw Stoud appears to be regressed as he lost his top two WRs. If he is not good, he can't do what he does yesterday .... playing point guard, pass and pass and pass as the Chargers pressed against the run. Joe Mixon would not be able to run if Stroud was not able to do what he did yesterday.

     

    peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by gambling-devil:

    @theclaw Stoud appears to be regressed as he lost his top two WRs. If he is not good, he can't do what he does yesterday .... playing point guard, pass and pass and pass as the Chargers pressed against the run. Joe Mixon would not be able to run if Stroud was not able to do what he did yesterday.

     

    peace_5

     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Jan. 13, 2025 - 7:33 PM ET #79

    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

    @theclaw   Yes, "W" = SU win and "ATSW" = against the spread win. BAL won SU but did not cover, so that query was a mixed bag.  The other query that said to fade PIT ATS did work.

    peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

    @theclaw   Yes, "W" = SU win and "ATSW" = against the spread win. BAL won SU but did not cover, so that query was a mixed bag.  The other query that said to fade PIT ATS did work.

    peace_5

     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Jan. 13, 2025 - 7:34 PM ET #80

    [Quote: Originally Posted by

     

    Boisestateand8]Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: 0-3, lost 3.3 units Brutal  , I never thought these plays would go 0-3, crazy. Now I need to count on the Rams to at least get back to a reasonable loss the one team I dont have alot of faith in. 0-4 will be tough to come back from for sure. 1-3, 2 games below .500 VS 4 games below .500 Play coming later maybe get the +3 probably  not. Leaning Rams myself. Hoping for +3 but I doubt it gets there. Even with the game in Glendale it feels like the right side though at +2. BOL Claw.[/Quote]

     

    peace_5

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    [Quote: Originally Posted by

     

    Boisestateand8]Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: 0-3, lost 3.3 units Brutal  , I never thought these plays would go 0-3, crazy. Now I need to count on the Rams to at least get back to a reasonable loss the one team I dont have alot of faith in. 0-4 will be tough to come back from for sure. 1-3, 2 games below .500 VS 4 games below .500 Play coming later maybe get the +3 probably  not. Leaning Rams myself. Hoping for +3 but I doubt it gets there. Even with the game in Glendale it feels like the right side though at +2. BOL Claw.[/Quote]

     

    peace_5

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Jan. 13, 2025 - 7:36 PM ET #81

    Rams +2.5 over Vikes --- 1.1 units

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    Rams +2.5 over Vikes --- 1.1 units

     
    Boisestateand8
    Boisestateand8
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    Posted: Jan. 13, 2025 - 7:39 PM ET #82

    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

    Rams +2.5 over Vikes --- 1.1 units

    an_cheers

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    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

    Rams +2.5 over Vikes --- 1.1 units

    an_cheers

     
    DogbiteWilliams
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    Posted: Jan. 13, 2025 - 8:12 PM ET #83

    Good luck tonight.

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    Good luck tonight.

     
    Mskeets
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2025 - 6:32 AM ET #84

    Well crap… took minn.   Will tail ya next weekend… you have been good this year… I’m banking you will be plus next week. Thanks for your efforts this season.  

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    Well crap… took minn.   Will tail ya next weekend… you have been good this year… I’m banking you will be plus next week. Thanks for your efforts this season.  

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2025 - 9:13 PM ET #85

    Quote Originally Posted by Boisestateand8:

    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Rams +2.5 over Vikes --- 1.1 units

    peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by Boisestateand8:

    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Rams +2.5 over Vikes --- 1.1 units

    peace_5

     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2025 - 9:14 PM ET #86

    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

    Good luck tonight.

    peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

    Good luck tonight.

    peace_5

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2025 - 9:14 PM ET #87

    Quote Originally Posted by Mskeets:

    Well crap… took minn.   Will tail ya next weekend… you have been good this year… I’m banking you will be plus next week. Thanks for your efforts this season.

     

    Let's  hope next week goes well .............mpeace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by Mskeets:

    Well crap… took minn.   Will tail ya next weekend… you have been good this year… I’m banking you will be plus next week. Thanks for your efforts this season.

     

    Let's  hope next week goes well .............mpeace_5

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2025 - 9:17 PM ET #88

    Close Wins method ...........

    Monday  night  --- 1-0 ATS, won 1 unit

    week --- 1-3 ATS , lost 2.3 units

    needed that Rams win . And they came up big.

    Next week 1 play using this method

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    Close Wins method ...........

    Monday  night  --- 1-0 ATS, won 1 unit

    week --- 1-3 ATS , lost 2.3 units

    needed that Rams win . And they came up big.

    Next week 1 play using this method

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2025 - 9:22 PM ET #89

    Power Ratings I ...........3-3 SU & 3-3 ATS with leans

    home favorites under -6 are auto fades, hitting about 65-70% fading these teams ATS. I'll  get the record hopefully at some point

    Teams with a 6 pt diff to closing line are plays.

    Ravens -4.74 over Bills

    Lions -10.59 over Wash

    KC -4.16 over Texans

    Eagles -13.81 over Rams

     

    play is on the Eagles and Texans

     

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    Power Ratings I ...........3-3 SU & 3-3 ATS with leans

    home favorites under -6 are auto fades, hitting about 65-70% fading these teams ATS. I'll  get the record hopefully at some point

    Teams with a 6 pt diff to closing line are plays.

    Ravens -4.74 over Bills

    Lions -10.59 over Wash

    KC -4.16 over Texans

    Eagles -13.81 over Rams

     

    play is on the Eagles and Texans

     

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2025 - 9:30 PM ET #90

    Power Rating II ................ 3-3 SU & 3-1 ATS, 2 games were almost right on the line 

     

    Ravens -1.04 over Bills

    Lions -7.92 over Wash

    KC -4.55 over Texans

    Eagles -13.96 over Rams

    Eagles -8.4 ..........if we use Rams after they played well

    Eagles -14.82 .........if we use both Rams after playing well and Eagles after injuried players returned and they began playing well.

     

    Play is on Eagles and Texans

     

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    Power Rating II ................ 3-3 SU & 3-1 ATS, 2 games were almost right on the line 

     

    Ravens -1.04 over Bills

    Lions -7.92 over Wash

    KC -4.55 over Texans

    Eagles -13.96 over Rams

    Eagles -8.4 ..........if we use Rams after they played well

    Eagles -14.82 .........if we use both Rams after playing well and Eagles after injuried players returned and they began playing well.

     

    Play is on Eagles and Texans

     

     
    DogbiteWilliams
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2025 - 9:31 PM ET #91

    I've got HOU and LAR, but good luck to you and your many tailers.  You are having a MUCH better season than I am.

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    I've got HOU and LAR, but good luck to you and your many tailers.  You are having a MUCH better season than I am.

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2025 - 9:36 PM ET #92

    Close Wins.......................

    we have a play with 3 game difference 

     

    Eagles by 2 over Rams

    Ravens by 2 over Bills 

    Lions by 2 over Wash

    Texans by 9 over KC

     

    play is on the Texans

     

    Texans in WC win over LAC have performed at a level consistent with surprise teams from the WC round whom made the SB and won the SB.

     play is on the Texans this weekend.  Possible SU Texans win.

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    Close Wins.......................

    we have a play with 3 game difference 

     

    Eagles by 2 over Rams

    Ravens by 2 over Bills 

    Lions by 2 over Wash

    Texans by 9 over KC

     

    play is on the Texans

     

    Texans in WC win over LAC have performed at a level consistent with surprise teams from the WC round whom made the SB and won the SB.

     play is on the Texans this weekend.  Possible SU Texans win.

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2025 - 9:38 PM ET #93

    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

    I've got HOU and LAR, but good luck to you and your many tailers.  You are having a MUCH better season than I am.

     

    peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

    I've got HOU and LAR, but good luck to you and your many tailers.  You are having a MUCH better season than I am.

     

    peace_5

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2025 - 9:42 PM ET #94

    My other system .............18-14 or 19-13 depending line on Seahawks final game of -3 or -6.

     

    1 play this week on Ravens 

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    My other system .............18-14 or 19-13 depending line on Seahawks final game of -3 or -6.

     

    1 play this week on Ravens 

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2025 - 9:48 PM ET #95

    False Final Scores ................

    Bills did not come within 1 score of the 31-7 win over Broncos.

    They out-played Denver by 15 pts not 24, a 9 pt diff.

    22-15-2 ATS fading these teams, 59%.

    along with my other system on the Ravens....

    As well as Ravens being no.1 in both PR I & PR II 

    Play is on the Ravens

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    False Final Scores ................

    Bills did not come within 1 score of the 31-7 win over Broncos.

    They out-played Denver by 15 pts not 24, a 9 pt diff.

    22-15-2 ATS fading these teams, 59%.

    along with my other system on the Ravens....

    As well as Ravens being no.1 in both PR I & PR II 

    Play is on the Ravens

     
    begginerboy
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2025 - 10:41 PM ET #96

    The caveat is that these rankings fall under the assumption that the Chiefs team we will see on Sunday is the same one we saw all season. peace_5

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    The caveat is that these rankings fall under the assumption that the Chiefs team we will see on Sunday is the same one we saw all season. peace_5

     
    Boisestateand8
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2025 - 12:12 AM ET #97

    @theclaw

    Not trying to be contrary, but dome teams or warm weather teams don't do well in cold temps. Supposed to be around 25° in KC Saturday. That's a HUGE advantage for the Chiefs. Not supposed to be quite that cold in Philly, but again, the Rams aren't used to it. With you on the Eagles, not so sure about the Texans.

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    @theclaw

    Not trying to be contrary, but dome teams or warm weather teams don't do well in cold temps. Supposed to be around 25° in KC Saturday. That's a HUGE advantage for the Chiefs. Not supposed to be quite that cold in Philly, but again, the Rams aren't used to it. With you on the Eagles, not so sure about the Texans.

     
    lmb4321
    lmb4321
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2025 - 12:53 AM ET #98

    @theclaw

     One Play for me Ravens.....bol this weekend....peace_5

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    @theclaw

     One Play for me Ravens.....bol this weekend....peace_5

     
    kcblitzkrieg
    kcblitzkrieg
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2025 - 10:11 AM ET #99

    Quote Originally Posted by Boisestateand8:

    @theclaw Not trying to be contrary, but dome teams or warm weather teams don't do well in cold temps. Supposed to be around 25° in KC Saturday. That's a HUGE advantage for the Chiefs. Not supposed to be quite that cold in Philly, but again, the Rams aren't used to it. With you on the Eagles, not so sure about the Texans.

    25 is the high for the day.  wind chill temps will be in the single digits come sun down peace_5

    You will not survive here. You are not a wolf, and this is the land of wolves now...
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    Quote Originally Posted by Boisestateand8:

    @theclaw Not trying to be contrary, but dome teams or warm weather teams don't do well in cold temps. Supposed to be around 25° in KC Saturday. That's a HUGE advantage for the Chiefs. Not supposed to be quite that cold in Philly, but again, the Rams aren't used to it. With you on the Eagles, not so sure about the Texans.

    25 is the high for the day.  wind chill temps will be in the single digits come sun down peace_5

     
     
    Boisestateand8
    Boisestateand8
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2025 - 10:54 AM ET #100

    @kcblitzkrieg

     Brrrrr peace_5

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    @kcblitzkrieg

     Brrrrr peace_5

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