NFL PLAYOFF TIME ...............................2024

I pointed out some years ago how Mahomes was winning in similar ways to Brady and if you wanted a crystal ball just look at what Brady did and that should be what Mahomes does.

OK, after Brady won his 3rd SB in 4 years and the year after he repeated.

Mahomes has won his 3rd SB in 5 years and is now in the year after he repeated .

Brady over the his next 8 playoffs, does not in include 2008 season when he was out with injury.

6-11 ATS...........2 of the 6 ATS wins in WC game

1-5 ATS off a ATS win

Only 1 ATS winning year of the 8 and that was not the next seasons off his repeat and involved winning ATS in WC game.

His 1st playoff game off a bye 0-1 ATS

His 1st Divisional round game 0-1 ATS not the same game as off a bye

 A stretch of  Over 3 playoff years ........ 0-5 ATS...4 playoff years 1-7 ATS.

Backing these over-valued teams does not seem like a good idea no matter how great the QB might be.

Texans +9 over KC --- 1.1 units

Texans +6 1st half --- 1.1 units

Tie in 1st half +950 --- .3 units to win 2.8 units

@theclaw

 Hey Claw… I tail you lots so don’t take this the wrong way… but the chiefs regular season… they are exactly where they hoped to be 6 months ago… I think they cover today… late pick 6 .. blocked field goal… something goofy…. But my gut says watch out for these chiefs…  they are 3 games from history… mahome and Reid are perfect for this situation….  I worry zero for teasing the chiefs….   Just my 2 cents… because they were so poor regular season… I think they cover.  

@Mskeets

 Patriots were 1 game from immortality 19-0 but unfortunately didn’t happen so be careful fellas

@PatsRoll5

 Yes sir… I actually have philly beating chiefs in super bowl…. When they got Barkley this summer… I said they win super bowl… that’s just my initial gut reaction… so I’m sticking with it… I hope philly looks ready this weekend.. they did not look so good last time they played.   I’m in Missouri … so I’m a chiefs fan… they are improved also this year…  if they can hold up on offensive line… they are going to super bowl… they will not lose 3 games from history and in arrowhead… they will go to Super Bowl if o line can play well.  

I won’t be surprised is Chiefs lose outright

Chiefs will get smoked by Ravens, or Bills.  I grew up in KC.  I'm a Chiefs fan also.

BOL Claw. I'm against you on this one but BOL anyways! 

Eagles -6.5 (-118) over Rams --- 1.18 units

Ravens -1 (-115) over Bills --- 1.15 units

0-2-1 , lost 1.4 units

Boy oh boy oh boy, Texans hung in there pretty good but KC's defense made the big plays when needed.

Spags ran those blitz at the right time and Texans didn't seem to make any adjustments.  Having some hot receivers, some dump off routes.

At some point Texans offense needed to score but they couldn't do it the KC defense too tough for them.

Did get the push with that safety at the end. Good thing I waited out the line and found the +9 at my local book.

I did see covers in the contest had Texans +10 I did play that but I never saw a +10 anywhere I can make a play.

Maybe that was off-shore books.

I can understand people liking the Chiefs for sure. They always seem to get it done regardless............

When you least expect it , bang ...............

Yep, it's coming ...............

Good job you got the win ...............

I'll be fading chiefs in the next round, if they win then I'll fade them again in super bowl for 2x. Very Very tough to 3-peat, don't see it happening.

good luck today.

chiefs looked awful last season about week 15-16… I think that was a perfect game for them yesterday… got their butts whipped for most part… just what they needed after 3 week break.  I’ll be on chiefs next game.  

Rams rams rams.. $$$$ and... Búfalo bills mafia ????????????????????????good luck men.. Superbowl.. Chiefs vs Washintong $$$

GL  on your plays @theclaw

@theclaw

 Nah, I pushed thanks to that damn intentional safety. Then lost today with Philly thanks to a pair of missed PATs. 

@Boisestateand8

 That and the safety, terrible play calling by the Eagles at and key moments 

Hey Claw lot of respect for you and what you do buddy. Just trying to get your insight on the national title game tomorrow. 
Would you lean Ohio state -8.5 or notre dame +8.5 ?

We are usually on the same sides with all the games that your on I’m usually always on the same side. 

my lean is on Ohio state -8.5 just want your opinion. Thanks.  

And obviously next week we will both be on the same sides of both games which is Philly -4.5 vs Washington and against KC is a auto play for us lol 

@theclaw

 what are your parameters for the close wins system?  3 points or maybe even 4 points final score?  curious about this as Washington would have 8 close games going 7-1 SU if its a 4 point game or if the game went to OT.  Philly would be 2-2 

This is Washingtons problem in a week