Posted:
#201
I'd like the see Eagles roll big , I think they could.
KC seemed to get so lucky a number of times this season .
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NFL PLAYOFF TIME ...............................2024
Posted:
#204
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
9bviously Eagles are the play using PR I & PR II. And using my playoff only PR I. Eagles had the much better regular season and playoff run. But the best I heard it explained on you tube was, of the players and coaches who will be making the most important game changing decisions ate all on KC. Mahomes or Hurts Head coaches Defensive coordinators The time to go against Brady or Mahomes is when bigger favorites and with public. On them. Not the case here. But the only play for me is Eagles or no play. I will live and die by my methods and advanced metrics but we all know these don't work with Brady and Mahomes.
9bviously Eagles are the play using PR I & PR II. And using my playoff only PR I. Eagles had the much better regular season and playoff run. But the best I heard it explained on you tube was, of the players and coaches who will be making the most important game changing decisions ate all on KC. Mahomes or Hurts Head coaches Defensive coordinators The time to go against Brady or Mahomes is when bigger favorites and with public. On them. Not the case here. But the only play for me is Eagles or no play. I will live and die by my methods and advanced metrics but we all know these don't work with Brady and Mahomes.
Many sports bettors who favor PHL look to SB LVII and say PHL has since strengthened their rushing OFF and overall DEF. Many sports bettors who favor KC look to coaching and QB edges. In the playoffs Nick Sirianni is SU 5-3 and ATS 4-4. This season with a stronger DEF and a top-notch rushing attack PHL with NS at the helm is SU 3-0 and ATS 2-1. PHL's average PO margin is 16.7 points.
In those 3 PO games PHL averaged 34.7 rushes and just 23.0 passes, limiting the opponenets' chances at an INT. This is a Conjecture Query which is based on a reasonable assumption about today's matchup, not past performances:
PO = 1 and rushes - passes > 1.5 KC might curtail SB somewhat, but I still predict that PHL will have at least two more rushes than passes.
SU: 217-38-2 (10.5,85.1%)
ATS: 204-48-5 (8.8,81.0%)
I got absorbed with this post and forgot about the game which is already underway. Good luck everybody.
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Posted:
#206
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: 9bviously Eagles are the play using PR I & PR II. And using my playoff only PR I. Eagles had the much better regular season and playoff run. But the best I heard it explained on you tube was, of the players and coaches who will be making the most important game changing decisions ate all on KC. Mahomes or Hurts Head coaches Defensive coordinators The time to go against Brady or Mahomes is when bigger favorites and with public. On them. Not the case here. But the only play for me is Eagles or no play. I will live and die by my methods and advanced metrics but we all know these don't work with Brady and Mahomes. Many sports bettors who favor PHL look to SB LVII and say PHL has since strengthened their rushing OFF and overall DEF. Many sports bettors who favor KC look to coaching and QB edges. In the playoffs Nick Sirianni is SU 5-3 and ATS 4-4. This season with a stronger DEF and a top-notch rushing attack PHL with NS at the helm is SU 3-0 and ATS 2-1. PHL's average PO margin is 16.7 points. In those 3 PO games PHL averaged 34.7 rushes and just 23.0 passes, limiting the opponenets' chances at an INT. This is a Conjecture Query which is based on a reasonable assumption about today's matchup, not past performances: PO = 1 and rushes - passes > 1.5 KC might curtail SB somewhat, but I still predict that PHL will have at least two more rushes than passes. SU: 217-38-2 (10.5,85.1%) ATS: 204-48-5 (8.8,81.0%) I got absorbed with this post and forgot about the game which is already underway. Good luck everybody.
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: 9bviously Eagles are the play using PR I & PR II. And using my playoff only PR I. Eagles had the much better regular season and playoff run. But the best I heard it explained on you tube was, of the players and coaches who will be making the most important game changing decisions ate all on KC. Mahomes or Hurts Head coaches Defensive coordinators The time to go against Brady or Mahomes is when bigger favorites and with public. On them. Not the case here. But the only play for me is Eagles or no play. I will live and die by my methods and advanced metrics but we all know these don't work with Brady and Mahomes. Many sports bettors who favor PHL look to SB LVII and say PHL has since strengthened their rushing OFF and overall DEF. Many sports bettors who favor KC look to coaching and QB edges. In the playoffs Nick Sirianni is SU 5-3 and ATS 4-4. This season with a stronger DEF and a top-notch rushing attack PHL with NS at the helm is SU 3-0 and ATS 2-1. PHL's average PO margin is 16.7 points. In those 3 PO games PHL averaged 34.7 rushes and just 23.0 passes, limiting the opponenets' chances at an INT. This is a Conjecture Query which is based on a reasonable assumption about today's matchup, not past performances: PO = 1 and rushes - passes > 1.5 KC might curtail SB somewhat, but I still predict that PHL will have at least two more rushes than passes. SU: 217-38-2 (10.5,85.1%) ATS: 204-48-5 (8.8,81.0%) I got absorbed with this post and forgot about the game which is already underway. Good luck everybody.
1
Posted:
#208
Yep, everything broke just right for Eagles and they are destroying KC.
KC's offensive line a big problem all season is really being exposed.
Without time no QB can produce a come-back.
It is hard to see Mahomes and KC get blownout even worse but I would not back KC 2cd half.
My only play would have been Eagles if it was close depending how the 1st half went.
1
Posted:
#215
Always nice to finish with a win.
And very nice to see justice delivered as I called most of the season KC was not a SB Champion quality team.
I'm actually surprised they made the SB. Hats off to them for that. Realistically they did do about as good as could be expected based on the overall quality of the team.
Close Wins gets the win and goes 2-4 ATS in the playoffs.
Worst record ever following last years 3-3 ATS record.
Next season will likely be a good year for the method.
Expected wins did it again calling for a big win. Eagles had alot of points left.
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.......
Posted:
#217
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
thanks to everyone for all the comments and kind words this season ............................ I hope to make it back for NBA Playoffs but likely at the start of round 2.
thanks to everyone for all the comments and kind words this season ............................ I hope to make it back for NBA Playoffs but likely at the start of round 2.
Even though I seldom tail, I am certainly looking forward to that.
Enjoy the NFL offseason.
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