NFL 2023 Picks+

1 locked in

Aj brown over 6.5 receptions @2.12  0.5 to win 0.56

Over this in 6 of 8

Avg 10.4 targets per game

Hurts over 30+ pass attempts in 7 of 8 games this year

Had 5 and 6 with 8 targets in each game vs dal last year. One with hurts. One with minshew. And Diggs played both games for dal.

Dallas has good passing D stats but they have only played 2 good qb (Stafford and Herbert...Purdy if u wanna count him)

Only worry is if eagles go run heavy or if hurts targets smith/goedert a bunch. 

Looking for 3-4 receptions a half

Like him in the 6-9 range 

GL all

More leans

 Cinci -1.0

Lac -3.5

Thielan over 6.5 receptions 

Diggs over 6.5 receptions...juiced heavy

DUBZ 

I love cinci this week

@ThaFazz @Fuse

Thanks for the good luck fellas

aj brown ....just barely by the skin of me teeth

Overall 9-5 +1.79 units

Flat 1-unit bettor would be up 3.58 units

9-5  +1.79  0.5-unit plays

0-0  +0  1-unit plays

Leans

Pit/cle over 3.5 fg @2.20

Ten/jax over 3.5 fg @2.15

Hill over 6.5 receptions @2.10

Aj brown over 6.5 receptions @1.88

Lamb over 6.5 receptions @1.88

Montgomery over 50.5 rush yards @1.80

Pickett under 182.5 pass yards @1.87

Gonna narrow these down

1 locked in

Hill over 6.5 receptions @2.10  0.5 to win 0.55

Over this in 6 of 9

Over this in 3 of 4 at home

Avg over 10 targets per game

Tua 30+ pass attempts in every  game except the Denver blowout

Only worry is if mia gets huge lead and goes run heavy

Looking for 3-4 catches a half

Like him in the 6-9 range

GL all

Hill odds got nuked glad I got in

5 of 7 leans I posted above already nuked

Was looking at a bunch of rushing props but doubt I'll touch em

Debating ten/jax over 3.5 fg

Hill big day. Definitely should have gone full unit here.  Mistake on my part

Overall 10-5 +2.34 units

Flat 1-unit bettor would be up 4.68 units

10-5  +2.34  0.5-unit plays

0-0  +0  1-unit plays

Actually see 5-6 plays i might like next week...prob have 1-2 max 

Posted leans in here are 56-41-1 to date

Leans 3-3 so far this week with aj brown pending

Leans for turkey day

Montgomery over 65.5 rush yards @1.92...was hoping for low 50s here...but I see why with how many yards gb give up on the ground 

Lamb over 6.5 receptions @1.80 ...comms secondary is terrible

1 locked in

Lamb over 6.5 receptions @1.80  0.5 to win 0.4

Over this in 3 of 4 home games

Short week, should have simple plays drawn up to get the ball in cd hands

Lamb had a good turkey day last year

Comms secondary is terrible. Faced Diggs, aj brown x2, Lockett and metcalf. They had 8, 8, 9, 7 and 8

Comms pass heavy team. Boys should get good chunk of possession/plays

Main worry is if boys get big lead and go run heavy

Looking for 3-4 catches a half

Like him in the 6-9 range

GL all

GL this week DUBZ 

@undermysac @Fuse

 Fellas

More leans

Cle/den under 36.0 @1.90

Ford over 47.5 rush yards @1.87...worried about split carries with hunt

Jacobs over 63.5 rush yards @1.87...chance for kc blowout and lv going pass heavy

Lamar over 47.5 rush yards @1.87...has better rushing stats in home games...should get close to this

Fields over 50.5 rush yards @1.87...should get close to this 

Aj brown over 6.5 receptions @2.03....coming off bad week...Eagles could go run heavy

Diggs over 6.5 receptions@2.05....dunno if the new OC will target him as much

1 locked in

Fields over 50.5 rush yards @1.87  0.5 to win 0.435

Over this in 3 of 6 full starts. Had 46 vs minne in week 6 in just over 1 half before leaving with thumb injury

Has 8+ rushes/scrambles in 5 of 7 games

Doesn't hurt that he touches the ball on every snap

Still not great at going through reads. Tends to look to run early

Should rush/scramble once or twice per drive as long as bears don't go 3 and out all game

Looking for him to get 9+ rushes/scrambles 

Looking for 25-30+ rush yards a half

Like him in the 40-70 range 

GL all

@dubz4dummyz

Lamb could be listing a bit on a very sore ankle as the game progresses but wish you well!

1 locked in 

Kelce over 6.5 receptions @1.87  0.5 to win 0.435

Over this in 5 of 9

Avg over 9 targets a game

Had 6 and 7 vs raiders last year

Mahomes WRs had issues with drops last week. He could look to kelce even more here

Raiders mediocre at covering TEs

Mahomes fave target/safety blanket

Close to a must win game for chiefs as far as 1st place and the bye is concerned. They should come out with effort

Only thing I don't like is mahomes sees the whole field and can spread it around. And t.swifty isn't attending the game...can't believe I just typed that but the stats are real

Looking for 3-4 catches a half

Like him in the 6-9 range

GL all

@fubah2

Good to see ya f2

 10 targets...just needed him to catch the ball....oh well cant win em all

Leans 60-46-1 including turkey day

More leans

No/atl over 3.5 fg @1.92

Cle/den under 37.0 (had 36.0 above  erase that)

GL 

@Fuse

 Fuse 

More leans

Levis under 199.5 pass yards

Ridder under 191.5 pass yards

Dtr  under 174.5 pass yards

Dobbs under 237.5 pass yards

All 4 @1.87 odds

Debated Lamar under 230.5 but lac d blows

uh-oh....atl/no over 3.5 fg was my play of the week until they announced both kickers had injured leg/back....and it flies over....not a good sign for my kelce/fields bets 

Need fields over 50.5 rush yards to bail out my week  run seabiscuit run!

Leans for next week

Den +3.5

Sf -2.0

Car/tb under 38.0