Posted:
#1826
Whataya mean what side the books are heavy on?
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Lines dictates the game....
Posted:
#1835
Romo is not clutch LOL... Dallas is americas team... With that said... Dallas is lovable,, ,, i simply cannot call any primetime quarter back that doesnt make the playoffs 3-4 years in a row clutch... Romo doesnt have a back bone,,, but he is a beloved qb,, and detriot are known as the thugs... Dallas advances,, and detroit covers... Halelooyah!!!!
Good call Dusty on that under
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Posted:
#1837
Quote Originally Posted by HoldingXYZ:
Romo is not clutch LOL... Dallas is americas team... With that said... Dallas is lovable,, ,, i simply cannot call any primetime quarter back that doesnt make the playoffs 3-4 years in a row clutch... Romo doesnt have a back bone,,, but he is a beloved qb,, and detriot are known as the thugs... Dallas advances,, and detroit covers... Halelooyah!!!!
Romo is not clutch LOL... Dallas is americas team... With that said... Dallas is lovable,, ,, i simply cannot call any primetime quarter back that doesnt make the playoffs 3-4 years in a row clutch... Romo doesnt have a back bone,,, but he is a beloved qb,, and detriot are known as the thugs... Dallas advances,, and detroit covers... Halelooyah!!!!
Good call Dusty on that under
Dude im not saying he is. But he has ALWAYS been labelled as an "anti-clutch" quarterback, so i was absolutely certain he would get this label off him just for a game or maybe two. The same thing with Tebow for example, awful quarterback but they 'allow' him to make sick comebacks in 4th quarters. I knew he would light up under a comeback or throw the game away, either of those things..
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Posted:
#1838
[Quote: Originally Posted by HoldingXYZ] Good call guys,, good to see you around Boston,, I tailed dusty on the under,, if detroit covers,, that's a mega blood bath lol... I have detroit and have it teased with Car... Stick around its the season!!!
Using all of my winnings from Christmas forward and going all in on the superbowl... I will be in vegas for the SB... Maybe we can all hang out,, beers on me but i dont drink haha
Vegas for the bowl !!! Its only right I've never been def going try make that happen ,as for the game I didn't watch but I see something shady went down lemme check the highlights
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Posted:
#1839
SHADY????....Don't say that about the nfl....Watch the replays yourself....lol.......Curious lines this upcoming weekend for the FINAL 8....Vegas knows exactly where to set them.....Now you got Seattle,GB, N ENG and Denver at HOME.....Take your pic------ONE or two goes down OUTRIGHT!!,,,,And one looks so impressive at home that in the final 4, with the public heavily on them, they NOSEDIVE.....That's just the way it normally goes with Vegas,,,,,Watching the lines this week, then will GMO.....And that 'discount double check guy' that the public has seen in every commercial available on TV, well, that's just the point IMO, TOO MUCH!!!!!!!!!!!!!......Later!!!!!!!!!!!!.......
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Posted:
#1840
Quote Originally Posted by mellow_wolf:
So....the only lesson learned is that week 2 games are difficult to wager and make lines for. Not enough data in a very even(talent-wise) league. It's that simple. It's not a conspiracy, though many on this site continue to staunchly think so. It's week 2, perhaps you should consider this very important fact.
So....the only lesson learned is that week 2 games are difficult to wager and make lines for. Not enough data in a very even(talent-wise) league. It's that simple. It's not a conspiracy, though many on this site continue to staunchly think so. It's week 2, perhaps you should consider this very important fact.
Do you think the NE-Jets game was fixed? Or perhaps it is more likely that bettors knew that Brady, without any targets, would struggle against a divisional foe who knows him well?
How about Vikings-Bears? Everyone knew Cutler would throw a beautiful sideline/endzone TD pass, right at the end to win the game but not cover, right? A line of -6.5 was a sketchy number at home, obviously? Fixed, without a doubt. I am stupid for not seeing this.
The Chargers obviously were waiting for Chip Kelly's onsides kick when they were down 27-23 with under 5 minutes left, right? Clearly fixed. How did I not know. I am dumb.
The Bills were supposed to not only cover, but win the game outright in the last 30 seconds. Obviously fixed. Why didn't I know?
The Titans knew they were going to drive 99 yards to take a 1 point lead on the 4th and then get a pick 6 on the next drive to go up 24-16. Then they gave up a TD and 2 point conversion. They subsuequently had a 3 and out and played with FG kicker Bullock's mind on 3 occasions(who missed the game FG off the left upright) to send it to OT. Where they would eventuallyose by 6. Fixed, fixed, fixed. garbage, I am dumb.
Oh yeah, clearly, the Cowboys were meant to cover the +3.5, isn't it obvious?
The Cardinals knew they would be down 21-19 and get a TD late in the 4th. Scripted to perfection.
Finally, the Bucs absolutely knew they would return an 85 yard INT for a TD in the 4th to cover the spread. I should have known.
Most dudes on here are silly.
hows about the Detroit Lions at Dallas Last Night? Great calls id say
Mr Evil.
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Posted:
#1843
There's a lot of talk about the ref picking up that flag. Not like we haven't seen that before. Yet dusty nailed it dead on. The refs did what they could. But nothing can be further from the full truth. It takes two teams to go under that total. All along they needed an under as well. Meanwhile they hit you with a back door. The refs IMO take heat off of the players. If anyone noticed. There were many questionable dropped passes. The acting was actually not bad. Little bit scripted on dez's part. Cj played it cool. The coach of Dallas made it look like he knew he had this game in the bag. The 2h line was romo -7 -6.5 how in the world would anyone lay that number on a team that looked that bad in the 1h.
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People can call him whatever they want
Posted:
#1847
Quote Originally Posted by mbialowas:
HoldingXYZ, there are some very suspicious lines for next weekend. Vegas setting a trap possibly? Looks like the want a public bloodbath
HoldingXYZ, there are some very suspicious lines for next weekend. Vegas setting a trap possibly? Looks like the want a public bloodbath
What do you think is suspicious about them? You think public hammers the faves? Very possible, especially with Denver, Pats and Seattle. Dallas always gets some action due to the scope of their fan-base. But, another angle is that the NFL fans just saw all four road teams play, and get a win. So their perception of them could be skewed by that some. People tend to put too much stock a team's last game sometimes.
Last 8 years, home teams are 19-13 SU and 13-19 ATS in this round. So definitely some dogs doing damage, and definitely games that the home team wins and doesn't cover.
The four home teams this year are a ridiculous 30-2 SU. One of those losses was Bills @ Pats, a game that NE completely mailed in as it was meaningless for them. So of the four, really only 1 legit loss all season, that was Dallas @ Seattle.
The biggest spread is Seattle at -10.5/11. Can Carolina keep that game close? Their D is pretty solid, but this is not a 3rd string QB and no running game, far from it. They'll have to play a near perfect game to stay in it, and I just don't see that out of a Cam Newton led offense, especially in that environment. But definitely not ready to lay double digits against a solid D, but I have think Seattle moves on.
Not convinced Baltimore is good enough to go any further either. They kind of played sluggish down the stretch, but did beat Pittsburgh on the road. But Pitt really struggled in the red zone and was settling for 3 points too much. Not going to win many games doing that in the playoffs. Still thinking this one over.
Colts went to Denver week 1 as 8 point dogs and lost by 7. But keep in mind Denver was up 31-10 in the 4th quarter before two late Colt scores made it appear closer. I think we'll see a similar game. Colts are good, but I am going to say they are a year away from a serious SB run. So this will not be the changing of the guard game just yet. Maybe next year we can do that in Indy and have Manning's last game ever a "bow-out" loss in his former city? How's that for a story line? Denver advances here. Might lay the points, but need to look things over more before I pull the trigger.
I think Dallas has the best chance of the dogs to win. They've had a decent season, and snuck one out yesterday against the Lions. Teams with decent offenses can move the ball on Green Bay and score. I think they also have two potential angles that could work in their favor. First is the weather. Might be really cold next week in Green Bay. I haven't seen a forecast yet, but it's f***king nasty cold here in Chicago now, and supposed to be worse mid-to-late week. The worse the weather is, the more in neutralizes things, and the more the variance for unexpected things to happen increases. 2nd angle is Rodger's health. He overcame his calf issue against Detroit and got a win, but you could tell he was not nearly as mobile as normal. And for a pocket passer, Rodgers is pretty mobile and effective running it sometimes. Actually had one of the higher yards per rush for QB's this year. He doesn't run often, but he can be effective when he does, so any nagging injury might take that option away, or neutralize it some. Of course, Green Bay is still plenty good enough to win this by 10+, so not sure what my play will be.
So, I still think a good chance all four teams win. Hardy a bold prediction, but that's just what I think. I'll give the Ravens and Cowboys the best chance at the upset. I think we get the Brady-Manning rematch you the NFL and Networks want. It could be their last meaningful head to head game. Although they will play again next year at some point, assuming Manning doesn't retire and both are healthy. Then we have Green Bay going back to Seattle, where they lost week one, and more infamously lost on the Fail Mary play a couple years ago with the replacement refs. That loss ultimately forced Green Bay into a WC game and a road game @ SF in the next round, rather than a bye and home game. If Dallas pulls off the upset, you have good story lines there too. Another rematch of Seattle's only home loss, and Dallas trying to avenge the Romo slip up from year's back.
Those are my initial thoughts on the games, similar to what I posted the other night, but wanted to expand on things a little after seeing Sunday's games.
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Posted:
#1848
bk
dallas had everything go wrong in that detroit game. so now they get a second chance, and plenty of "mistakes to work on" i expect jason garret to have the team ready to play ball.
romo to throw earlier the d to catch int's
the football world will wake up once dallas beats gb.
my 2 cents
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Posted:
#1849
Heres what im thinking:
- Ravens +7.0 [Flacco is ELITE - maybe Ravens tt over]
- Seattle Seahawks -11.0 [RIP Carolina]
- Under 40.5 in Seattle - Carolina [Carolina will not get more than 1TD]
- Cowboys +6.0 [Cowboys can hang around with Packers here, i think Cowboys play better against good teams and blow more against bad teams, and they made a comeback against Lions so i think they are going into this one with energy]
- Denver no play for me. This could likely for me end with exatly 7 points with right on the spread im thinking under 54.5 here (lets not get 31-24 plawks) Colts gotta keep the ball on the floor and run time off the clock, if this becomes a slug fest then they will lose badly. You gotta dictate the pace of the game if you wanna beat Denver. So run the ball, manage clock, limit mistakes, no turnovers, then Colts have a shot here. If not then gg. So under 54.5 is the play here.
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Posted:
#1850
Well guys, as far as winning a game outright, right now I think it's Dallas....But gotta watch that line.....Now, Wilson just won a Super Bowl last year....Flacco the year before....And Rodgers, Brady Ditto....So, of the remaining, I'd say Romo has the best shot, and with them barely escaping at home, the selection makes more sense....Luck's turn will come, but the Colts still aren't on par.......Remember that the NFL lovessssssss PARITY.....This is also about hot teams going in....Hey, Seattle, G. Bay and New Eng. also fit that bill along with Dallas.........Again, being redundant, I believe ONE of those four, or an away, will come out looking unbeatable, then FLOP for the championship.....It's called the 'mind game!'.....You think one way, the line says go, and there you go, but down the sewer....Yep!!!-----I've been there and so have all of you, I'm sure!....Will keep rethinking and watching the lines.....
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