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*** Best Play of the Month *** Let's Start the Month off with a Bang!

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Posted: #51
Quote Originally Posted by Numero_Uno:

LC,

Cowboys still an 8 unit play at +4?  Just curious your thoughts.


Yeah but get it before it drops below that. I feel very strongly about the Cowboys winning SU this weekend.
 
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Posted: #52
Quote Originally Posted by Rambler882:

What are your thoughts on Denver? 


Denver at -3 is a square bettors dream. Denver looked great last weekend, but only after preparing for the Saints one-dimensional offense for two weeks. Saints defense has been bad all year so no surprise Manning lit them up. I like the spot the Bengals are in here. Let's not forget how bad the Broncos defense was before last Sunday.
 
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Posted: #53
 
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Posted: #54

[Quote: Originally Posted by LeagueCapper] I'm not making any bet based on the "due" factor. Dallas is a desperate team catching 4 points against a complacent ATL team who has beaten everyone they've faced so far. DAL has a much better defense than anyone ATL has faced despite having one of the toughest strength of schedules thus far. If you think teams give it their all each week and don't get complacent with a big division lead take a look at the Bears last week when they faced a desperate team. They needed a miracle to win that game and Carolina covered wire to wire.

Not telling anyone to tail here but those putting their money on ATL will not be enjoying the game
,,,look at how close ,, falcons home games have been,,

this diff a good call,,,large

 
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Posted: #55
Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:



Giants playcalling is terrible when they have a big lead I agree but Dallas outplayed them in every facet of the game. The Giants will continue to get everyone's superbowl and will start piling up some losses, count on it.

Dallas outplayed them in the 2nd half, Ill give them that, but the Giants defense was great in the first half, we were good enough to build a 23 point lead, you can't give that all to Dallas playing bad. Our offense average at best for the whole game.

As far as play-calling, can't disagree there.  It is so frustrating. I also do not like when people start picking us to win, that usually spells disappointment.
We perform much better in the underdog role.

....anyway, on to the picks, I would lean Steelers as well, but not as a big play (for me) I hope you are wrong about both, and not because I don't want you winning some money, only because I bleed blue, lol.


 
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Posted: #56

LC,

 

Much respect to you and your capping skills in the NFL. I took your Miami play last week and felt so good about it after reading your information on the game.

I was hoping you could help me out. I am one of 3 left in Sucide pool for 4 grand. I asked the other 2 if they want to take a grand each and play for the last grand and they both want to be greedy and go for the pot, so i really want to win.

 

Of these plays can you make a recommendation for me?

 

This is who I have left that are favored this week.

 

San Diego- Can they be trusted?

Denver- I know you dont love Denver this week

Miami- On road??

Skins- Dont like them personally vs desperate Carolina team

Detroit-not a good road team

Tampa or Raiders-no way

Seattle- This one looks tempting, since they play so well at home and Vikes do not have a deap threat.

I have Dallas but hate to take a dog on the road, If I got points I would grab them for sure.

I have eagles and Saints available but dont like either one.

 

I guess it comes down to only a few but your opinion would be appreciated! THANKS in advance for your time!

 

Good luck with PITT DALLAS PLAYS this week they seem to make sense but I will only be taking Dallas with you. I do not think Pitt D is good enough to trust them with my money

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #57

Man I need to spell check.! 

Thanks

 
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Posted: #58
Quote Originally Posted by ruderunner:

LC,

 

Much respect to you and your capping skills in the NFL. I took your Miami play last week and felt so good about it after reading your information on the game.

I was hoping you could help me out. I am one of 3 left in Sucide pool for 4 grand. I asked the other 2 if they want to take a grand each and play for the last grand and they both want to be greedy and go for the pot, so i really want to win.

 

Of these plays can you make a recommendation for me?

 

This is who I have left that are favored this week.

 

San Diego- Can they be trusted?

Denver- I know you dont love Denver this week

Miami- On road??

Skins- Dont like them personally vs desperate Carolina team

Detroit-not a good road team

Tampa or Raiders-no way

Seattle- This one looks tempting, since they play so well at home and Vikes do not have a deap threat.

I have Dallas but hate to take a dog on the road, If I got points I would grab them for sure.

I have eagles and Saints available but dont like either one.

 

I guess it comes down to only a few but your opinion would be appreciated! THANKS in advance for your time!

 

Good luck with PITT DALLAS PLAYS this week they seem to make sense but I will only be taking Dallas with you. I do not think Pitt D is good enough to trust them with my money

 

 

 



GL Rude, hope you beat those guys for being greedy, lol.

 
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Posted: #59
Quote Originally Posted by ruderunner:

LC,

 

Much respect to you and your capping skills in the NFL. I took your Miami play last week and felt so good about it after reading your information on the game.

I was hoping you could help me out. I am one of 3 left in Sucide pool for 4 grand. I asked the other 2 if they want to take a grand each and play for the last grand and they both want to be greedy and go for the pot, so i really want to win.

 

Of these plays can you make a recommendation for me?

 

This is who I have left that are favored this week.

 

San Diego- Can they be trusted?

Denver- I know you dont love Denver this week

Miami- On road??

Skins- Dont like them personally vs desperate Carolina team

Detroit-not a good road team

Tampa or Raiders-no way

Seattle- This one looks tempting, since they play so well at home and Vikes do not have a deap threat.

I have Dallas but hate to take a dog on the road, If I got points I would grab them for sure.

I have eagles and Saints available but dont like either one.

 

I guess it comes down to only a few but your opinion would be appreciated! THANKS in advance for your time!

 

Good luck with PITT DALLAS PLAYS this week they seem to make sense but I will only be taking Dallas with you. I do not think Pitt D is good enough to trust them with my money

 

 

 



Of the teams you mentioned, the only ones i would consider are SD, SEA, and DAL.

As you know, i'm very high on DAL this weekend but can understand you not wanting to take a road dog.

 
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Posted: #60
Will be adding a few more plays before the end of the night
 
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Posted: #61
Is there any motivation for Atlanta here because I think they feel like they are flying under the radar and at 7-0 isn't that a slap in their face?
 
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Posted: #62
I couldn't disagree more with these 2 picks, but respect you enough to make them no plays.

gl 
 
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Posted: #63
Quote Originally Posted by IgetMoney101:

Is there any motivation for Atlanta here because I think they feel like they are flying under the radar and at 7-0 isn't that a slap in their face?



This has me a bit............. but the bets are in, so let the games begin...............
 
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Posted: #64
Quote Originally Posted by IgetMoney101:

Is there any motivation for Atlanta here because I think they feel like they are flying under the radar and at 7-0 isn't that a slap in their face?


They aren't really flying under the radar though. Lots of analysts say ATL is 2nd best in the NFC behind the Giants and I've already heard tons of people say Matty Ice is the clear-cut favorite to be MVP
 
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Posted: #65
Narrowed down the rest of the card to the following, will most likely add plays and units on a couple of these soon:

Panthers (should win SU)
Titans (should win SU, PS I have the Bears to win the division if that means anything)
Ravens ATS
 
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Posted: #66
I jumped on Den and Chi from the get go based on a few things I read.  I still think the Bears should be able to win because the only thing going against them is people thinking they do not care or are looking ahead.

With all the veterans on the team across the board I see them still getting up for the game.  The defense is always looking to pitch a shut out and they came to play against the lowly Panthers.  I'd like to somehow find out how the team has played in a similar spot while under Lovie Smith.  Not recommending anyone to pound the Bears because I do think the line is shady and it really is not a great spot, but I do not recommend betting against.

As for Denver, I regret making that play big time.  Just going to cross my fingers and hope I hit 1 of Chi/Den.

I like Car/Bal this week as well.
 
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Posted: #67
Last year in the second half of the season we saw a regression from Cam Newton after teams started to tear apart game films. Will we see the same from RGIII

RGIII as a favorite is ATS 0-2
SKINS and PANTHER's games the DOGS are 12-3
Teams post STEELERS and FAVS next week ATS 12-24

ONE UNIT CAR +3.5

 
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Posted: #68
Rambler882 - Tons of stuff going against CHI here. Not only the look ahead or the game not meaning much to them. I'll post more about it shortly.

shivaseven - Good stuff
 
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Posted: #69
GL LeagueCapper 
 
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Posted: #70
You're gonna break my heart for betting Den/Chi aren't you?
 
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Posted: #71
Quote Originally Posted by ruderunner:

LC,

 

Much respect to you and your capping skills in the NFL. I took your Miami play last week and felt so good about it after reading your information on the game.

I was hoping you could help me out. I am one of 3 left in Sucide pool for 4 grand. I asked the other 2 if they want to take a grand each and play for the last grand and they both want to be greedy and go for the pot, so i really want to win.

 

Of these plays can you make a recommendation for me?

 

This is who I have left that are favored this week.

 

San Diego- Can they be trusted?

Denver- I know you dont love Denver this week

Miami- On road??

Skins- Dont like them personally vs desperate Carolina team

Detroit-not a good road team

Tampa or Raiders-no way

Seattle- This one looks tempting, since they play so well at home and Vikes do not have a deap threat.

I have Dallas but hate to take a dog on the road, If I got points I would grab them for sure.

I have eagles and Saints available but dont like either one.

 

I guess it comes down to only a few but your opinion would be appreciated! THANKS in advance for your time!

 

Good luck with PITT DALLAS PLAYS this week they seem to make sense but I will only be taking Dallas with you. I do not think Pitt D is good enough to trust them with my money

 

 

 

 

Of those teams I'd take the Redskins.

According to my meterics, the Skins are out-playing their opponents on the field in "the key stat battles" that have a high correlation to victory by the largest amount of any team over the final score in their games.

In other words they are the most undervalued team in the league and they need a win in the worst way and are playing a team they certainly can beat. I'd be very surprised if they don't win this game somewhat easily ............................................................... 

 
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Posted: #72
LC, in all due respect...
Saying a team may lose because the game "doesn't mean much" is like saying you don't need 1 of the numbers on your phone because you have 8 others.
There are 16 games in the season and unless this is week 16 and you have a bye before the playoffs, or you are mathematically eliminated from the playoffs, EVERY game means something.



 
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Posted: #73
This is such and interesting game, especially from the standpoint of the sharps being on Dallas and the squares on ATL, if you disagree I would be curious to hear why.

So, who will win,  sharps or squares?

 
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Posted: #74
I'm curious to your thoughts on the Thursday night game. Who do u like between Chargers/Chiefs and why? Thanks LC!
 
 
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Posted: #75
Quote Originally Posted by tonyrome:

LC, in all due respect...
Saying a team may lose because the game "doesn't mean much" is like saying you don't need 1 of the numbers on your phone because you have 8 others.
There are 16 games in the season and unless this is week 16 and you have a bye before the playoffs, or you are mathematically eliminated from the playoffs, EVERY game means something.






Tony, everyone caps the games differently.......some people dont understand why some cappers cap a team looking ahead..........its just one of many angles some cappers use. Not all agree but I for one definitely use that angle. Doesnt always work but imo, works way more times than not................
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