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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    *** Best Play of the Month *** Let's Start the Month off with a Bang!

    «First Previous 123 ... 91011 Next Last»
    LeagueCapper
    RyanSlo
    ScoGaun316
    jimmythejap
    Papabherd
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 51522
    Posts: 254
    «First Previous 123 ... 91011 Next Last»
     
    LeagueCapper
    LeagueCapper
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    Posts: 9317
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 7:32 PM ET #201

    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

    Someone PMed me asking what I mean't about books wanting Giants money. If anyone is interested i'll lay it out here because I can't believe Pinnacle has kept this Steelers/Giants line the same the whole week.

    I have no choice but to add a few more units on the Steelers.

    Books could have listed the Giants at -4 (-110) and got just as many Giants bets. Noone wants any part of the Steelers on the road, without Palamalu, without their starting RB and backup RB, and going against the defending champs. So why do the books have the line at -3.5 at +money rather than -4 (-110)?

    Four reasons.

    1) You can get the defending champs at a more enticing line.
    2) You can get the defending champs at +money.
    3) People will be steered away from betting the Steelers at +3.5 due to the high juice (-125)
    4) Squares will buy the Giants down to -3 and lay high juice for it.

    Now this doesn't always equate to a Steelers cover, but it sure in hell means the books want you on the Giants.

    Adding:

    2 additional units to the Steelers +3.5


    Final Card

    Cowboys +4.5                                8 units
    Cowboys ML (+173)                        2 units
    Steelers +3.5                                 5 units
    Cowboys +11 / Steelers +10            5 units
    Cowboys +11 / Panthers +10.5        2 units





    Books absolutely cleaned up on this game. 90% of Giants ATS bettors were laying atleast (-125) and as high as (-135). Books were juicing the Giants at favorable lines all week
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

    Someone PMed me asking what I mean't about books wanting Giants money. If anyone is interested i'll lay it out here because I can't believe Pinnacle has kept this Steelers/Giants line the same the whole week.

    I have no choice but to add a few more units on the Steelers.

    Books could have listed the Giants at -4 (-110) and got just as many Giants bets. Noone wants any part of the Steelers on the road, without Palamalu, without their starting RB and backup RB, and going against the defending champs. So why do the books have the line at -3.5 at +money rather than -4 (-110)?

    Four reasons.

    1) You can get the defending champs at a more enticing line.
    2) You can get the defending champs at +money.
    3) People will be steered away from betting the Steelers at +3.5 due to the high juice (-125)
    4) Squares will buy the Giants down to -3 and lay high juice for it.

    Now this doesn't always equate to a Steelers cover, but it sure in hell means the books want you on the Giants.

    Adding:

    2 additional units to the Steelers +3.5


    Final Card

    Cowboys +4.5                                8 units
    Cowboys ML (+173)                        2 units
    Steelers +3.5                                 5 units
    Cowboys +11 / Steelers +10            5 units
    Cowboys +11 / Panthers +10.5        2 units





    Books absolutely cleaned up on this game. 90% of Giants ATS bettors were laying atleast (-125) and as high as (-135). Books were juicing the Giants at favorable lines all week
     
    RyanSlo
    RyanSlo
    Prospect
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    Joined: Sep, 2012
    Posts: 150
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 7:34 PM ET #202



    Reply


     
    ScoGaun316
    ScoGaun316
    Prospect
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    Joined: Jan, 2010
    Posts: 267
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 7:35 PM ET #203

    Agreed League, biggest play of year for me on Cowboys tonight. 

    ROMO IS MY person

    LETS GETTEM
    Reply
    Agreed League, biggest play of year for me on Cowboys tonight. 

    ROMO IS MY person

    LETS GETTEM
     
    jimmythejap
    jimmythejap
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    Posts: 1244
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 7:38 PM ET #204

    LC any lean dallas tt over 21,and over 47

    thanks

    Reply

    LC any lean dallas tt over 21,and over 47

    thanks

     
    Papabherd
    Papabherd
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    Posts: 526
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 7:43 PM ET #205

    Good call on the Steelers, League. Was unfortunately on the other side of that one. 
    Reply
    Good call on the Steelers, League. Was unfortunately on the other side of that one. 
     
    LeagueCapper
    LeagueCapper
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    Posts: 9317
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 7:46 PM ET #206

    Quote Originally Posted by jimmythejap:

    LC any lean dallas tt over 21,and over 47

    thanks



    No lean on the o/u but Dallas is coming to play tonight. Just take the +4
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by jimmythejap:

    LC any lean dallas tt over 21,and over 47

    thanks



    No lean on the o/u but Dallas is coming to play tonight. Just take the +4
     
    Dirtyturca
    Dirtyturca
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    Posts: 35
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 7:48 PM ET #207

    Great call on the Gigantes bro!,
    Reply
    Great call on the Gigantes bro!,
     
    gspchamp999
    gspchamp999
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    Posts: 50
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 7:48 PM ET #208

    Tailed you on Pit, bring on DAL.

    Thanks LC

    Reply

    Tailed you on Pit, bring on DAL.

    Thanks LC

     
    tonyrome
    tonyrome
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    Posts: 3140
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 7:51 PM ET #209

    Nice, was on the steelers too ML, +3 and the under!
    I was not happy, but I was happy.
    Going to go with the boys too.
    GL.

    Reply
    Nice, was on the steelers too ML, +3 and the under!
    I was not happy, but I was happy.
    Going to go with the boys too.
    GL.

     
    davopnz
    davopnz
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    Posts: 6686
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 7:53 PM ET #210

    i like dallas but everyone is on them....i sense bloodbath..
    Reply
    i like dallas but everyone is on them....i sense bloodbath..
     
    sportryfella
    sportryfella
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    Posts: 197
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 7:57 PM ET #211

    Quote Originally Posted by davopnz:

    i like dallas but everyone is on them....i sense bloodbath..

    No joke!  Dallas was one of my favorite plays coming into this week and now looking around this place I have to wander.  I havent seen but one person that I follow on ATL.  And EVERYONE else on Dallas.  Why does this sound so odd?  A great team at home vs a inconsistent team on the road and EVERYONE is jumping on Dallas.  I've almost talked myself out of Dallas here.  Whats the deal here?

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by davopnz:

    i like dallas but everyone is on them....i sense bloodbath..

    No joke!  Dallas was one of my favorite plays coming into this week and now looking around this place I have to wander.  I havent seen but one person that I follow on ATL.  And EVERYONE else on Dallas.  Why does this sound so odd?  A great team at home vs a inconsistent team on the road and EVERYONE is jumping on Dallas.  I've almost talked myself out of Dallas here.  Whats the deal here?

     
    Rex84
    Rex84
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 8:00 PM ET #212

    Matty  Ice  large....love the Falcons on the fast Georgia Dome
    track.   ATL  is  7 - 0 on SNF all time.
    The got 3 picks against Peyton Manning a few weeks ago  &
    I cannot see Romo straightening out against the Falcons D.
    ...........
    Gotta go......Faith Hill is about to sing.
    " Waiting all day for Sunday night   ! "
    Reply
    Matty  Ice  large....love the Falcons on the fast Georgia Dome
    track.   ATL  is  7 - 0 on SNF all time.
    The got 3 picks against Peyton Manning a few weeks ago  &
    I cannot see Romo straightening out against the Falcons D.
    ...........
    Gotta go......Faith Hill is about to sing.
    " Waiting all day for Sunday night   ! "
     
    LeagueCapper
    LeagueCapper
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    Posts: 9317
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 8:31 PM ET #213

    Quote Originally Posted by tonyrome:

    Nice, was on the steelers too ML, +3 and the under!
    I was not happy, but I was happy.
    Going to go with the boys too.
    GL.



    Glad you ended up takin the Steelers
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by tonyrome:

    Nice, was on the steelers too ML, +3 and the under!
    I was not happy, but I was happy.
    Going to go with the boys too.
    GL.



    Glad you ended up takin the Steelers
     
    LeagueCapper
    LeagueCapper
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    Posts: 9317
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 8:59 PM ET #214

    Perfect ball on 3rd and 20 by Romo
    Reply
    Perfect ball on 3rd and 20 by Romo
     
    bpickin
    bpickin
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 9:02 PM ET #215

    Thx for all your hard work LC. 
    Reply
    Thx for all your hard work LC. 
     
    mikesomoney
    mikesomoney
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    Posts: 1859
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 10:04 PM ET #216

    Lets go ROMO and D!
    Reply
    Lets go ROMO and D!
     
    tonyrome
    tonyrome
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    Posts: 3140
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 10:14 PM ET #217

    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:



    Glad you ended up takin the Steelers


    Well like I said, I didn't disagree with your pick, just your reasoning...but doesn't matter now, lol.
    Go Dallas!
    I have the under and I also have them to finish a teaser +12.


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:



    Glad you ended up takin the Steelers


    Well like I said, I didn't disagree with your pick, just your reasoning...but doesn't matter now, lol.
    Go Dallas!
    I have the under and I also have them to finish a teaser +12.


     
    Numero_Uno
    Numero_Uno
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 10:46 PM ET #218

    Man oh man, Garrett seems to be regressing as a head coach on a weekly basis.  My opinion is the play calling has been horrible tonight.  I almost feel bad for Romo.
    Reply
    Man oh man, Garrett seems to be regressing as a head coach on a weekly basis.  My opinion is the play calling has been horrible tonight.  I almost feel bad for Romo.
     
    mikesomoney
    mikesomoney
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    Posts: 1859
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 11:33 PM ET #219

    What garbage Dallas had that multiple times it was the RIGHT play. Redzone fails, that punt return td, missed Pi call on roddy white, and scandrick missing every tackle.
    Reply
    What garbage Dallas had that multiple times it was the RIGHT play. Redzone fails, that punt return td, missed Pi call on roddy white, and scandrick missing every tackle.
     
    LeagueCapper
    LeagueCapper
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    Posts: 9317
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 11:34 PM ET #220

    What a frustrating end to the game. 17 secs left and the cover is gone



    Jason Garrett is a terrible coach. This Cowboys team is underachieving tenfold.





    Cowboys +4.5                                8 units  
    Cowboys ML (+173)                        2 units  
    Steelers +3.5                                 5 units   
    Cowboys +11 / Steelers +10            5 units   
    Cowboys +11 / Panthers +10.5        2 units
       


    Still made money on the day but VERY VERY disappointing


    Reply
    What a frustrating end to the game. 17 secs left and the cover is gone



    Jason Garrett is a terrible coach. This Cowboys team is underachieving tenfold.





    Cowboys +4.5                                8 units  
    Cowboys ML (+173)                        2 units  
    Steelers +3.5                                 5 units   
    Cowboys +11 / Steelers +10            5 units   
    Cowboys +11 / Panthers +10.5        2 units
       


    Still made money on the day but VERY VERY disappointing


     
    LawsonJames
    LawsonJames
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 11:35 PM ET #221

    Terrible coach and terrible team.

    Get em next time LC 

    Reply
    Terrible coach and terrible team.

    Get em next time LC 

     
    gambling-devil
    gambling-devil
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    Posts: 18584
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 11:37 PM ET #222

    LC, you should be glad that the girls did not fuck your teaser
    Keep it up buddy


    Every day out of the red is a big win.
    Reply
    LC, you should be glad that the girls did not fuck your teaser
    Keep it up buddy


     
    ddhuynh_82
    ddhuynh_82
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    Posts: 26
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 11:40 PM ET #223

    It's like playing poker... I'll put my money all in all the time in that situation... sometimes we just get sucked out on the river...

    It was the right call LC.

    We'll get em next time. Woo Sah!
    Reply
    It's like playing poker... I'll put my money all in all the time in that situation... sometimes we just get sucked out on the river...

    It was the right call LC.

    We'll get em next time. Woo Sah!
     
    Rambler882
    Rambler882
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    Posts: 225
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 11:40 PM ET #224

    Tough loss with Dallas, appreciate all the work you put into your picks and can't wait to read up next week.

    Thanks again
    Reply
    Tough loss with Dallas, appreciate all the work you put into your picks and can't wait to read up next week.

    Thanks again
     
     
    ddhuynh_82
    ddhuynh_82
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    Posts: 26
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2012 - 11:41 PM ET #225

    We are in this for the long season... One game does not make us or break us. :)
    Reply
    We are in this for the long season... One game does not make us or break us. :)
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